The 12 - month
running average global temperature broke the record three times in 2010, according to NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) data.
Not exact matches
The chief reason the OMP has no foreign diversification is that long -
run returns on Canadian stocks are better than the
global average, and nearly as good as returns on U.S. stocks (best performing country over the past two centuries).
But U.S. domestic corporate profitability is
running 50 pct above the long - term
average, while
global profits have soared even higher.
A federal report released in November 2016 laid out a strategy for the United States to «deeply decarbonize» its economy by 2050, and said that developing carbon dioxide removal techniques «may be necessary in the long
run to constrain
global average temperature increases to well below 2 °C.»
MELBOURNE, AUSTRALIA — In the
run - up to national elections on 21 August, the country's top science body, the Australian Academy of Science (AAS), has weighed in on the climate change debate with a report backing the mainstream scientific view that human - induced climate change is real and that a business - as - usual approach to carbon emissions will lead to a «catastrophic» four - to five - degree increase in
average global temperatures.
To remove short - term noise, they plotted a 12 month
running average of
Global Tropospheric Temperature Anomaly (GTTA, the light grey line) and the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI, the black line).
The FPA
Global Value Strategy will seek to provide above -
average capital appreciation over the long term while attempting to minimize the risk of capital losses by investing in well -
run, financially robust, high - quality businesses around the world, in both developed and emerging markets.
Fig. 5 The «Cold Sun» forecast of Vahrenholt and Lüning compared with
global surface temperatures of the British Meteorological Service (HadCRUT data),
running average over 37 months.
Jacob (and many, many others) seem to think that if model A, when
run from 1900 to present, predicts the relatively flat,
global average surface temperature record over the past decade, is a better match to reality than model B which does not.
(2) What proportion of model
runs from a multi-model ensemble produce
global mean temperatures at or below (on
average) the actual measurement for the last 10 years?
Action on climate change needs to be scaled up and accelerated without delay if the world is to have a
running chance of keeping a
global average temperature rise below 2 degrees Celsius this century.
Here the adjustment is determined by (1) calculating the collocated ship - buoy SST difference over the
global ocean from 1982 - 2012, (2) calculating the
global areal weighted
average of ship - buoy SST difference, (3) applying a 12 - month
running filter to the
global averaged ship - buoy SST difference, and (4) evaluating the mean difference and its STD of ship - buoy SSTs based on the data from 1990 to 2012 (the data are noisy before 1990 due to sparse buoy observations).
Global average surface temperature anomalies, 2000 - 2100, as projected by MAGICC
run with the original RCPs as well as with the set of RCPs modified to reflect the EPA 30 % emissions reductions from U.S power plants.
Figure 4: Seasonal and annual (with a 12 - month
running average) northern hemisphere snow cover extent (data from Rutgers University
Global Snow Lab)
Blue line is a five year
running average of HadCRUT
global surface air temperature (Huang 2000).
The tireless climate science fraud Dr. Tim Ball has
run snarling from a challenge to place a small wager in support of his claims that the
global average temperature will fall, rather than rise, in the next 20 years.
Although short term trends can be misleading, like the 22 year
run up from 1976 to 1998, the dramatic drop of
global average temperature in 2008 may be indicative of a change in character of the climate.
Proof that CO2 has no effect on climate and identification of the two factors that do cause reported climate change (sunspot number is the only independent variable) are at http://agwunveiled.blogspot.com (now with 5 - year
running -
average smoothing of measured
average global temperature (AGT), the near - perfect explanation of AGT since before 1900; R ^ 2 = 0.97 +).
According to data from the reanalysis produced by the European Centre for Medium - Range Weather Forecasts, the January to October combined land and ocean
global average temperature would place 2014 as third or fourth highest for this dataset, which
runs from 1958.
If we're really serious about understanding if and when sunspot activity had anything to do with
global warming, we ought to start evaluating from the time when the
running average annual SSN is the highest (going back from now), which is 68.9, 1936 - now.
The interesting 2nd plot of Berkeley TAVG temperature anomalies over the same time frame, also plotted as a 21 - year
running average, shows anomalous
global warming since 1975 appears unrelated to group sunspot activity.
Running 60 - month
averages of
global air temperature at a height of two metres (left - hand axis) and estimated change from the beginning of the industrial era (right - hand axis) according to different datasets: ERA - Interim (Copernicus Climate Change Service, ECMWF); GISTEMP (NASA); HadCRUT4 (Met Office Hadley Centre), NOAAGlobalTemp (NOAA); and JRA - 55 (JMA).
While
global temperatures were
running a bit below climate models between 2005 and 2014, the last few years have been pretty close to the model
average.
I also adopted the same
running average analysis technique featured by IPCC in its analysis of
Global Temperature Trends.
And, of course, we do not need to
global climate models to
run impact models with an annual
average increase in the mean surface air temperature of +1 C and +2 C prescribed for the Netherlands.
Running twelve - month
averages of
global - mean and European - mean surface air temperature anomalies relative to 1981 - 2010, based on monthly values from January 1979 to March 2018.
Running twelve - month
averages of
global - mean and European - mean surface air temperature anomalies relative to 1981 - 2010, based on monthly values from January 1979 to April 2018.
Running twelve - month
averages of
global - mean and European - mean surface air temperature anomalies relative to 1981 - 2010, based on monthly values from January 1979 to February 2018.
The proof and identification of the two factors that do cause reported climate change (sunspot number is the only independent variable) are at http://agwunveiled.blogspot.com (now with 5 - year
running -
average smoothing of measured
average global temperature (AGT), the near - perfect explanation of AGT since before 1900; R ^ 2 = 0.97 +).
Global temperature (red, NASA GISS) and Total solar irradiance (blue, 1880 to 1978 from Solanki, 1979 to 2009 from PMOD), with 11 - year
running averages.
And since «
global climate» obviously doesn't mean this year or last, I'll stick to the definition implied by the IPCC's definition of Transient Climate Response, namely a 20 - year
running average.
Being sensitive means we need to look long and hard for the smallest nit in the natter — the invisible nuance — i.e., we must continue to ignore the failure of Western education and their miserable performance based on the all too easily measureable product that is coming out of the state -
run dropout factories — and, rename the earnings of the productive so that now our paychecks are government revenues needed to invest in teasing out some unmeasurable human influence on a mythical 30 year
average global temperature.
Normally you can
run GCM for centuries with a stable realistic surface temperature, but take the CO2 out, and in 5 - 10 years it has dropped 30 C in
global average temperature and is half - covered in sea ice due to a powerful water vapor feedback in response to any
global temperature change.
By weighted
averages, if every year the
global temperature is in the range and with the distribution of the
global temperatures of the last ten years, then the cumulative 30 - year
running mean by 2024 will continue to accelerate upward in trend, as cooler years drop out of the mean replaced by warmer years.
One [dataset], held at the National Climate Data Centre (NCDC),
run by America's National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, suggests that
global temperatures rose by an
average of 0.074 C since 1997.
Which is why I support a change from a
global average to a three month
running average by climate zone.
The
global average cooling is 0.35 °C, nearly nine times as high as for the
average of
runs 2 to 5.
The growing divergence between models and observations even on a
global average, and the lack of mathematical foundation to the statement that the fluctuations between
runs of the same models and between
runs of different models «are noise» [73] forbids their use as justification of economic or political decisions.
69) In explaining the
average temperature standstill we are currently experiencing, the Met Office Hadley Centre
ran a series of computer climate predictions and found in many of the computer
runs there were decade - long standstills but none for 15 years — so it expects
global warming to resume swiftly.
[8] Weather systems passing through California originate globally, and the
average global increase in temperature has been 1 °C, indicating significant risk that storms arriving in California may be warming and converting additional snow pack to mountain
run - off.
Since the Call to Action
run by the initiative started just 18 months ago, it has grown by an
average of more than 2 commitments per week: setting the standard for meaningful corporate climate action that is sufficiently ambitious to help keep
global warming well below 2 degrees.
The growing divergence between models and observations even on a
global average, and the lack of mathematical foundation to the statement that the fluctuations between
runs of the same models and between
runs of different models «are noise» [Monckton, 29 July 2014] forbids their use as justification of economic or political decisions.
[CAPTION: Fig. 1 Violinplots of monthly surface temperature results for 9 GISS ER historical model
runs (1880 - 2003), their
average (orange), and the HadCRUT3
global surface temperature dataset (red).
Fig. 1 Violinplots of monthly surface temperature results for 9 GISS ER historical model
runs (1880 - 2003), their
average (orange), and the HadCRUT3
global surface temperature dataset (red).
Figure 1:
Global surface and lower atmosphere temperature data from 5 data sets (with a 12 - month
running average) before and after applying the statistical methodology of Foster and Rahmstorf (2011) to remove the influences of ENSO and solar and volcanic activity.
We've calculated the trend in the
global average surface temperature simulated to have occurred starting in every year since 1950 and ending in 2012 for every *
run of every climate model used in the new IPCC report.
At current annual rates of ~ 41 Gt CO2 for fossil fuels, industrial and land - use emissions combined (Le Quéré et al 2017), time is
running out on our ability to keep
global average temperature increases below 2 °C and, even more immediately, anything close to 1.5 °C (Rogelj et al 2015).
I don't think he did anything with cloud height or cloud cover, so I'm confused by your question, but either way the plots reflect monthly
global average data with a 12
running mean applied to smooth out the seasonal cycle.
They need these «equal treatment and equally possible» limits on each dimensions of each simulation and all the manifestly hot -
running models to maintain the fiction that the
average of an estimated future world is hot, very hot, unless we have over the keys to the
global energy economy.
extreme heat; or b) a nuclear winter; or most likely c) extreme heat followed by a nuclear winter — Joe Neubarth writes: «The program is
running and we are rushing to an abrupt end...
Global Average Surface Temperature (GAST) is going up to 17ºC in the next few years — this will kill @ 7 billion people... When about 6 billion people have died from global heating, they will use nuclear weapons to refreeze the Arctic...&
Global Average Surface Temperature (GAST) is going up to 17ºC in the next few years — this will kill @ 7 billion people... When about 6 billion people have died from
global heating, they will use nuclear weapons to refreeze the Arctic...&
global heating, they will use nuclear weapons to refreeze the Arctic...»