One shift from the 2011 analysis is the inclusion in several cases of more than one analysis of
the same extreme event.
Not exact matches
«But the
event tonight has been overshadowed by the presence, not just at conference but on the
same platform as some senior members of the party, of people of such
extreme and offensive views.»
The study's findings showed that volatile elements undergo the
same chemical reactions during
extreme temperature and pressure
events whether taking place on Earth or in outer space.
We have been informed that some
events may come together, for example an earthquake at the
same time as
extreme heat, or
extreme wind at the
same time as
extreme rainfall or runoff.
The nearby rural areas experienced no change over the
same period, remaining at five
extreme heat
event days per year.
That means 5 million Europeans who are currently under threat of flooding from
extreme sea level
events that occur every 100 years could face that
same risk annually, according to the new study.
With a changing global climate, the panel members said, what seem to be abnormally frequent, intense or otherwise
extreme weather phenomena may become the new «normal» at the
same time that humans, expanding to populate more geographical nooks and crannies, become increasingly vulnerable to these
events.
Nassim Taleb of «Black Swan» fame teaches us the very
same basic principle with his «hockey stick» with intense life changing
events on one
extreme and small gentle changes on the other.
Doesn't using a «baseline for anomaly calculation» «equal to the time span being analyzed» decrease REAL
extreme weather
event probabilities much the
same way as using a sliding baseline minimizes the slope of temperature increase?
These variability trends indicate that the frequency of
extremes (more drought
events and more heavy precipitation
events) has increased whereas the mean has remained approximately the
same.
Internationally, with developing countries especially vulnerable to the effects of
extreme weather
events, I recommend support for adaptation on the
same scale as the president's $ 15bn five - year plan for aids relief.
In Australia, the
extreme events are bushfires, which come from
extreme heat and wind at the
same time, and are probably more linked to temperature than cyclones.
This shows how some aspects of
extreme events can be increased by global warming at the
same time as decreasing over time.
Thirty years ago, the popular theory was that the Earth was heading into another ice age, and the
same extreme weather
events that some people are blaming on global warming were blamed on global COOLING!
I realize that I am writing this at the
same time as world growing seasons are disrupted by
extreme weather
events, floods and draught.
I also think that some sceptics have too readily seized on this as evidence of future cooling in the
same way that the strong advocated of cAGW seize on any and all
extreme weather
events as evidence of «climate change».
Climate scientists use the
same statistical techniques to determine global warming's influence in
extreme climate
events as public health researchers use to investigate the health impacts of smoking and asbestos exposure.
For instance,
extreme weather
events occurred with about the
same frequency during the 1945 - 77 global cooling period as they do today, yet no climate scientist pointed to human activity as being responsible in the earlier period.
are going to say the
same thing regardless of what the trends in temperature, sea level rise, and
extreme events dictate.
For the first time, the report includes a discussion of climate - related «surprises,» or unanticipated changes, in which tipping points in the Earth's systems are crossed or climate - related
extreme events happen at the
same time, creating «compound
extreme events,» multiplying the potential damage and destruction.
«So you end up with the conclusion that human influence made a particular winter snow
event worse, even though it is also — at the
same time — reducing the risk of
extreme winter snow
events.»
Now Dr Cai and colleagues report once again in Nature Climate Change that the
same is true for what one might call the oscillation's downside: global warming is likely to double the frequency of
extreme La Niña
events, too.
Whatever the spin the goal is always the
same: to exploit the personal tragedies of the disaster victims for political gain by dishonestly pretending that natural
extreme weather
events are somehow connected with «man - made climate change.»
Today, a new review paper in Nature Climate Change suggests we can expect more of the
same in future, with rising temperatures set to almost double the frequency of
extreme El Niño
events.
A previous study by many of the
same authors found that if global carbon emissions aren't curbed,
extreme La Niña
events could become more frequent in the 21st century — up from once every 23 years to once every 13 years.
It also passed, on the
same day, both of the «
extreme events» it was subjected to.
The title of this post is taken from an article of the
same name by Michael Ferrari, who raises the issue of
extreme weather
event black swans in the context of climate change.
We're getting these blocking
events — where a stationary high keeps weather systems in the
same location for several days, perhaps a week or more — that can bring real
extremes.
Discussing attribution, is not the
same as taking
extreme events as indicators that warming is occurring.
Thus: the
same amount of global warming boosts the probability of really
extreme events, like the recent US heat wave, far more than it boosts more moderate
events.
The probability spread of one U.S. hurricane is the
same for both
extreme events, however, with both warm and cold phases exhibiting a 90 % confidence interval of 13 percent: warm phase from 45 to 58 percent, cold phase from 18 to 31 percent.
Scientists have long taken a similarly cautious stance, but more are starting to drop the caveat and link climate change directly to intense storms and other
extreme weather
events, such as the warm 2012 winter in the eastern U.S. and the frigid one in Europe at the
same time.
This so - called «meta - analysis» allows scientists to draw statistical significance from the combined studies even when a single study might not be considered conclusive — in much the
same sense that no single weather
event can be said to result from climate change but the statistical trend indicates that more
extreme weather
events will become more frequent in a warming world.
More importantly, the
same study does find connections to specific
extreme weather
events and man - made climate change.