The only other year on record that
saw less sea ice in April was 2016.
Not exact matches
As the Arctic summers are getting warmer we may
see an acceleration of global warming, because reduced
sea ice in the Arctic will remove
less CO2 from the atmosphere, Danish scientists report.
He said that sensitivity includes water vapour and arctic
sea ice, but I suspect that the changes in
sea ice in the models are much
less than we are
seeing in practice.
However recently I've found myself wavering on the issue of how fast we'll
see a transition to a virtually
sea ice free state (
less than 1M km ^ 2 off the Canadian Arctic Archipelago and the north of Greenland) and it's because of the PIOMAS volume results.
Though most of the CMIP5 models project a nearly
ice - free Arctic (
sea ice extent
less than 1 × 106 km2 for at least 5 consecutive years) at the end of summer by 2100 in the RCP8.5 scenario (
see Section 12.4.6.1), some show large changes in the near term as well.
Taylor also debunked the notion that
less sea ice means
less polar bears by pointing out that southern regions of the bears» home with low levels of
ice are
seeing booming bear populations.
It's still cutting - edge research and there's no smoking gun, but there's evidence that with
less sea ice, you put a lot of heat from the ocean into the atmosphere, and the circulation of the atmosphere responds to that... We've
seen a tendency for autumns with low
sea ice cover to be followed by a negative Arctic Oscillation.
«Now I think we're
seeing a feedback that involves
less sea ice that allows more heat to be transported into the atmosphere.»
If
sea ice cover was 50 %
less 5,000 years ago and polar bears were very much alive and well, it is hard to
see how claims of their extinction are credible from future
ice loss.
At the same time, the
ice in the Beaufort and Chukchi
Seas is
seeing less multiyear
ice drifting in from the Canadian Arctic, with more first - year
ice prevalent in 2011 than in past years.