With the line now -2.5, don't be surprised to
see sharp bettors buyback the Jaguars based on line value alone.
It's also predictable to
see that sharp bettors are waiting for the line to reach 3, since that's the most significant key number for football bettors.
Not exact matches
As it gets closer to game time, we'll
see if there are some
sharp bettors looking to «buy back» on the other side.
It will be intriguing to
see how
sharp bettors feel about USC this week, as there may be some value on Cal if they get up to +7.
As you can
see, over 30 % of games we analyzed finished with a 3 - point or 7 - point margin of victory, showing exactly why
sharp bettors consider these to be «key numbers».
Sportsbooks and
sharp bettors have been high on the Falcons, and even with the public support it would be surprising to
see this line get to +3.
We've
seen well - educated individuals bypass more traditional professions in favor of starting their own betting syndicates, and these are the
sharp bettors that are worth following.
As you can
see from the line history above, public
bettors on FSU +7.5 or +7 were already taking the «
sharp» side.
However, you'll
see that the money is nearly split 50/50, meaning that larger bets being made by
sharper bettors are coming in on Cincy.
Right off the bat, you can
see that the
sharp bettors are bullish on Clinton and bearish on Sanders.
As you can
see from the line chart, there have been three steam moves triggered on the Clippers which confirms that
sharp bettors like the chalk in this matchup.
Sharp action: Recreational
bettors see a higher - ranked, undefeated Badgers team getting points and jump aboard, while wiseguys haven't hesitated to lay the points with the Buckeye.
Typically in this space we focus on historically profitable betting systems, various prop betting opportunities and other tools for making
sharper bets, but we still
see many
bettors repeating the same mistakes.
During the regular season we'll typically
see the majority of square
bettors hammering the favorite, but sportsbooks take enough action from
sharp bettors to mitigate their risk.
I imagine we'll
see Jacksonville +7 again at some point before the game, but they'll need to start getting some more attention from
sharp bettors to cross over the key number and move to +6.5.
Bettors may be surprised to
see that
sharp action is taking the Broncos, especially considering that Peyton Manning will be out and that Tom Brady has gone 53 - 34 ATS (60.9 %) as a visitor.
Although many fans may be anxious to
see Goff's debut,
sharp bettors clearly believe this move represents a downgrade — even if it's in the best long - term interests of the franchise.
I'm very curious to
see if this line falls below Washington -2.5, and if it does, if
sharper bettors will quickly pounce on the home side.
We frequently
see bettors place more value in cherry - picked stats based on small sample sizes than consistently profitable
sharp money indicators like reverse line movement.
Early
bettors had a couple months to grab a better line on BC and now that it's reached -4.5, we could
see some
sharper action on the other side.
We encourage all Sportsbook Insider subscribers to continue monitoring the
Sharp Action report to see if Creighton continues to be a favorite play among sharp bettors closer to tip -
Sharp Action report to
see if Creighton continues to be a favorite play among
sharp bettors closer to tip -
sharp bettors closer to tip - off.
While recreational
bettors can't get enough of the «over»,
sharp bettors see this as an opportunity to buyback the public overreaction by playing the «under».
I'd guess that
sharp bettors are done betting on the Ducks
seeing as they're a two - touchdown favorite at this point.
That means
bettors should be paying attention to those
sharper books like Bookmaker and Pinnacle to
see where the market is trending.
As you can
see, public
bettors are on the Warriors but
sharper bettors are on the Spurs.
Since then we have
seen steady
sharp money on the Patriots pushing the line back to -2 -107, as
bettors expect George Mason playing close to home to overcome the Wichita State Shockers.
Baseball Handicapping - Umpires Pitchers - Over the years our posting forums have
seen some of the
sharpest bettors and bookmakers offer their expertise on various subjects.