Forecasting smaller -
scale averages becomes more and more problematic as the scale decreases.
Not exact matches
The greatest improvements should be seen among schools that had already received one F grade from the state, since their students would
become eligible for vouchers if they received a second F. To test this hypothesis,
average FCAT
scale - score improvements for schools were broken out by the grade they received the year before.
Specifically, the department's final regulations allow performance indexes, but not
average scale scores, to
become the primary status metric of accountability [viii].
I realize that a few folks posting here believe that these actions might make FICO scores somewhat useless in another year... but if I were the suspicious type, I'd be betting that a reduction in
average FICO scores for Americans on a massive
scale — the
scale that can be created by reducing credit limits suddenly on many millions of card holders — is something that the Credit Industry is betting will
become its * salvation * in a few more years, aside from simply «reducing their exposure to risk» today.
The actual prevailing view of the paleoclimate research community that emerged during the early 1990s, when long - term proxy data
became more widely available and it was possible to synthesize them into estimates of large -
scale temperature changes in past centuries, was that the
average temperature over the Northern Hemisphere varied by significantly less than 1 degree C in previous centuries (i.e., the variations in past centuries were small compared to the observed 20th century warming).
Yes, there was work for geoscientists in diversified areas before «global warming»
became known to
average people and they would have gone into any number of subjects as a graduate student if human induced changes in greenhouse turned out (after calculation and experiment) to be unimportant at a global
scale.
«Change is not synonymous to nonstationarity, since even an ideal stationary white noise process involves change, which however
becomes less and less distinct as the time
scale of viewing the process (e.g., time
scale of
averaging) increases.
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/04/17/giss-metar-dial-m-for-missing-minus-signs-its-worse-than-we-thought/ So losing the minus sign means -10
becomes +10 for a day, which changes the
average for the month from -10 to +1.5 (N.B. example not to
scale!)
Robert Brown: «what you are effectively saying is that when computed for the gas at some
scale height is no longer even approximately smooth on the
scale of parcel volumes computing
averages as if it is continuous
becomes problematic.
Might the «weather» of orbital cycles be impacted by K / T but not the «climate» — perhaps the trajectories of obliquity, precession and eccentricity would
become completely different given sufficient time, but maybe with the same general character — periods and amplitudes and
average values being similar enough that a casual glance at any given time segment (on the necessary
scale to characterize the orbital cycle «climate») wouldn't look like anything different.