The team of researchers say their findings also suggest that the fluctuations of large -
scale climate drivers have changed, leading to more frequent events associated with El Niño or La Niña.
Not exact matches
«We weren't anticipating that there were going to be these two distinct regions,» said Reiner, who was surprised to see that a global
climate driver had such fine -
scale consequences.
Scientists have long predicted large -
scale responses of infectious diseases to
climate change, giving rise to a polarizing debate, especially concerning human pathogens for which socioeconomic
drivers and control measures can limit the detection of
climate - mediated changes.
An unprecedented analysis of North Pacific ocean circulation over the past 1.2 million years has found that sea ice formation in coastal regions is a key
driver of deep ocean circulation, influencing
climate on regional and global
scales.
Lyons and coauthors, along with research groups from around world over, are focusing current efforts on the timing and
drivers of oxygenation in the late Proterozoic, favoring a combination of global -
scale mountain building, evolutionary controls on the way carbon is cycled in the biosphere, and concomitant
climate events.
The results indicate that although land - use change is currently considered as the major
driver of pollinator declines in Europe,
climate is the most important factor limiting the distribution of pollinators at large spatial
scales.
The study incorporates multiple environmental
drivers — notably
climate and fire — at large spatial
scales for a significant number of species and populations.
Findings of thousands of scientists have determined that the biggest
driver of warming of the planet and the resulting
climate change is industrial -
scale coal burning.
Primary
driver for long
scale climate change is orbital configuration.
It merely highlights the fallacy of looking for one single «
driver» that explains
climate variations on all time
scales.
Certainly, there is no reason to believe that CO2 as a
climate driver has been undermined in any way, especially on shorter time
scales.
A major focus of this work is to explore the propagation of uncertainty from external
drivers to actual impacts of
climate change on time -
scales of up to 30 years.
In a paper in Geoscience Canada, Veizer (2005) states that «the multitude of empirical observations favours celestial phenomena as the most important
driver of terrestrial
climate on most time
scales `.
Global -
scale variations are therefore much smaller, and they reflect changes in global
climate drivers, for example in greenhouse gas concentrations or in solar activity.
Since a primary
driver of the Earth's
climate from year to year is the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) acts on time
scales on the order of 2 - 7 years, and the fact that the bulk of the Southern Hemisphere hurricane season occurs from October — March, a reasonable interpretation of global hurricane activity requires a better metric than simply calendar year totals.
Most authors identify government practices as being far more influential
drivers than
climate variability, noting also that similar changes in
climate did not stimulate conflicts of the same magnitude in neighboring regions, and that in the past people in Darfur were able to cope with
climate variability in ways that avoided large
scale violence.
However, to understand the large
scale patterns in
climate and their changes and
drivers,
climate models are not only useful, but increasingly necessary to make skillful predictions for the future.
Furthermore, CO2 isn't the only greenhouse gas and
climate change isn't strictly relegated to GHG emissions nor are CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere the only
climate driver (i.e., there are many
drivers of
climate which take place on the millions of years time -
scale).
Precipitation extremes and small -
scale variability are essential
drivers in many
climate change impact studies.
Drivers of the land
climate system have larger effects at regional and local
scales than on global
climate, which is controlled primarily by processes of global radiation balance.
In Cancún, the imperative of including agriculture and biofuels; or to decide on a blueprint for mitigation of emissions caused by bunker fuels; or to define system - wide, large -
scale levers for market - based action on mitigation and adaptation; or, establish new approaches that differentiate and foster innovation for
climate from technological
drivers in other areas and in the past, were all avoided.
In March 2005, Jan Veizer, one of Canada's top Earth scientists, published a comprehensive review of recent findings and concluded that «empirical observations on all time
scales point to celestial phenomena as the principal
driver of
climate, with greenhouse gases acting only as potential amplifiers.»
It is only over the longer time
scales (decades) that the additional predictability that comes from external
drivers of
climate change (for instance, carbon dioxide, air pollution and ozone depletion) can start to be useful — but that's another post.
These cycles are clearly the primary
drivers of
climate change on the
scale of roughly 100,000 years, 40,000 years and 20,000 years.
Unlike you, I do not have a «Magic 8 Ball», but I see that a considerable amount of money is being spent to do a large -
scale test at CERN of the GCR cloud nucleation hypothesis suggested by Henrik Svensmark (and others) to have been a significant
driver of our
climate, which Svensmark et al. tested in at a small
scale in the laboratory.
Because the
drivers of
climate change are truly global, even dedicated action at the regional
scale has limited prospects for ameliorating regional -
scale impacts.
At all human - relevant time -
scales, the Sun is the dominant
driver of our ever - changing
climate.
It is not possible to calculate the effect of anthropogenic CO2 until we know within closer limits what the natural variation is.For example if you look at the ice core data for the Holocene and if you believe that CO2 is the
climate driver you would have to conclude that on a scale of thousands of years CO2 was an Ice House — not a green house gas.For the data and an estimate of the coming cooling for the next few hundred years check the post» Climate Forecasting for Britain's Seven Alarmist Scientists and for UK Politicians.
climate driver you would have to conclude that on a
scale of thousands of years CO2 was an Ice House — not a green house gas.For the data and an estimate of the coming cooling for the next few hundred years check the post»
Climate Forecasting for Britain's Seven Alarmist Scientists and for UK Politicians.
Climate Forecasting for Britain's Seven Alarmist Scientists and for UK Politicians.»
So while it may be theoretically possible to predict long -
scale climate changes, it may still be impossible to discern the true
drivers of these
climate systems amidst the chaos, making the long - term prediction problem moot.