Then apply it to regional -
scale model outputs?
If you could somehow separate out the micro-climate effects from scatter (e.g. T - storms) using recent data, could you apply that to the regional -
scale model outputs?
Not exact matches
No matter how powerful the computer used or how impressive the
model output, any
model of a natural system is only as good as the authors» understanding of the interaction between the physical laws that define their subject and the potential of simple small -
scale interactions to produce large -
scale complexity, more readily summarised as:
The SFLF pilot
model seems to be a very attractive option for small farmers who can significantly increase their income by harmonizing and synchronizing selected operations to achieve
scale and gain bargaining power in input purchase and
output sales.
Power
outputs range from 90 kW / 122 hp to 200 kW / 272 hp; the torque
scale starts at 230 and goes up to 350 Nm; fuel consumption ranges between 5.8 and 9.5 litres per 100 kilometres depending on the engine
model and
output class, and has been reduced by up to 10.8 percent compared with the outgoing Sports Coupé.
This solo exhibition introduces the artist's idiosyncratic
output through eight printed Explications, some of which have never been shown before, alongside
models of large -
scale projects and the film work The Velocity of Thought (2006).
Are efforts best used in making global
model output more applicable to the local
scale, or in increasing the local skill and resolution of global
models?
These is
output from the large
scale global
models used to assess climate change in the past, and make projections for the future.
That means that the potential for natural variability to be more dominant on shorter time
scales is high — and indeed, Connolley and Bracegirdle show a lot of variance in the
model output on those time
scales.
It contains a suite of routines for downscaling coarse
scale global climate
model (GCM)
output to a fine spatial resolution.
Output, generated on the monthly time
scale, is disaggregated to daily values with a weather generator and used to drive soybean yields in the crop
model DSSAT - CSM, for which preliminary results are discussed.
The arguments put forward are that climate
models, which produce
output at a wide range of spatial and temporal
scales, but it is claimed that the only become skillful at global
scale with 30 - year temporal resolution.
We spatially aggregate
model output and observations over the contiguous USA using data from 70 stations, and we perform comparison at several temporal
scales, including a climatic (30 - year)
scale.
Among these, he noted the close agreement between climate
model output and observations down to spatial
scales smaller than continents, which forms a part of the detection and attribution literature.
Comparisons between these reconstructions and the
output of Earth system
models provide evaluation opportunities to improve our understanding of climate forcings on time
scales that are not adequately represented by the instrumental record.
But complex
models of that sort can easily produce more than 100 prognostic and diagnostic climate variable
outputs, at each of around a million grid points, for each
model day, and almost all of these are averages which need to be downscaled to get useful information at point
scale.
Moreover, the availability of the
output from climate
models and the advisability of using climate
model results at particular
scales, from the point of view of the climate modellers, ultimately determines what
scales can and should be used.
Sure, but if it takes 500 years to notice them, I'm pretty sure the AOGCM
models give meaningless
output on that
scale anyway.
So I do not think that ensemble
outputs of climate
models would perform better at any local
scale than at the global
scale.
Indefinite time
scales, natural contributions, many adjustable parameters, uncertain response to CO2, averaging of
model outputs, non linearity, chaos and the absence of successful predictions are all reasons to continue to challenge the present
models.
Climate change was assessed by means of two Long Ashton Research Station - Weather Generator (LARS - WG) weather generators and all
outputs from the available general circulation
models in the
Model for the Assessment of Greenhouse - gas Induced Climate Change - SCENario GENerator (MAGICC - SCENGEN) software, in combination with different emission scenarios at the regional scale, while the Providing Regional Climates for Impacts Studies (PRECIS) model has been used for projections at the local s
Model for the Assessment of Greenhouse - gas Induced Climate Change - SCENario GENerator (MAGICC - SCENGEN) software, in combination with different emission scenarios at the regional
scale, while the Providing Regional Climates for Impacts Studies (PRECIS)
model has been used for projections at the local s
model has been used for projections at the local
scale.
Fraedrich & Blender did find long - range persistence on century time
scales, but only for fluctuations (not for temperature), and only in the
output of computer
model runs.
Update (May 2012): The
scaling of the
model output on the original graph was incorrect, and the graph has been replaced with a corrected version.
My error was in assuming that the
model output (which were in units W yr / m2) were
scaled for the ocean area only, when in fact they were
scaled for the entire global surface area (see fig. 2 in Hansen et al, 2005).
Observations of the climate system and the
output of
models are a combination of a forced climate change signal and internally generated natural variability which, because it is random and unpredictable on long climate time -
scales, is characterised as climate noise.