Part II examined the century - to millennial
scale sea level record.
Not exact matches
But as long as greenhouse gases continue to build up in the atmosphere unabated, the
scales are heavily weighted toward more
record heat, ever lower
sea ice
levels and ever higher
seas.
Hansen's paper last summer looked at 3 time
scales — 10s, 100s, and 1000s of years — for the scary
sea level rises and decided that millennial was out: the geological
record showed that if the
seas were to rise, they'd rise pretty fast.
Paleontological
records indicate that global mean
sea level is highly sensitive to temperature (7) and that ice sheets, the most important contributors to large - magnitude
sea -
level change, can respond to warming on century time
scales (8), while models suggest ice sheets require millennia to approach equilibrium (9).
Based on local
sea level records spanning the last 2000 years, there is medium confidence that fluctuations in GMSL during this interval have not exceeded ~ ± 0.25 m on time
scales of a few hundred years.
To give the impacts of
sea level rise a human
scale, Hummel and her team
recorded the number of people served by each vulnerable treatment facility.
There are, however, significant interannual and decadal -
scale fluctuations about the average rate of
sea level rise in all
records.
Different approaches have been used to compute the mean rate of 20th century global mean
sea level (GMSL) rise from the available tide gauge data: computing average rates from only very long, nearly continuous
records; using more numerous but shorter
records and filters to separate nonlinear trends from decadal -
scale quasi-periodic variability; neural network methods; computing regional
sea level for specific basins then averaging; or projecting tide gauge
records onto empirical orthogonal functions (EOFs) computed from modern altimetry or EOFs from ocean models.