The designation SOI represents the SOI model, which includes a monotonic increasing trend,
the scaled SOI signal, and any forcings due to volcanic disturbances.
As a next step, can you overlay the following onto the same graph: line (1) GISS global temperature anomaly, monthly since 1979; line (2) the series (1) less
the scaled SOI and volcano factors.
Not exact matches
Soi Green Mango is to Koh Samui what
Soi Cowboy is to Bangkok and Walking Street is to Pattaya, albeit on a smaller
scale.
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Reliable data on decadal variability of the Earth's radiation budget are hard to come by, but to provide some reality check I based my setting of the
scaling factor between radiative forcing and the
SOI / PDOI index on the tropical data of Wielecki et al 2002 (as corrected in response to Trenberth's criticism here.)
Based on this estimate and on the typical magnitude of Spencer's combined
SOI / PDOI index, I chose a
scaling factor (Roy's a) of 0.27 W / m2..
«The following figure shows how well the application of a
scaled, lagged
SOI and then a
scaled, damped volcanic disturbance mapped to a growing trend matches that of the NASA's GISS temperature record.»
The
SOI is
scaled to fit the subdecadal fluctuations across all the years with a nominal 6 month lag to model the global propagation.
I use the
SOI from NCAR and then apply a
scaling factor and slight filter lag, between 6 and 7 months: http://www.cgd.ucar.edu/cas/catalog/climind/
soi.html
If he allows for the century
scale solar trickle charging, climate «sensitivity» to atmospheric forcing is ~ 1C per doubling and sensitivity to solar forcing is about twice originally estimated since solar tends to power the
SOI / ENSO cycles.
Webby modulates these using various dubious
scalings to poorly reproduce the
SOI.
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The
SOI - R is comprised of 9 items scored using a 9 - point Likert - type
scale.