Sentences with phrase «scenario for climate»

Scenario for a climate disaster movie suggests itself — when the Earth's magnetic field goes to nothing on the way to reversing polarity.
Morton delivers a utopian scenario for climate engineering while still giving enough attention to its possible pitfalls and missteps to reveal just how difficult such a path would be to craft in reality.
And the worst case scenario for climate change policy in this country?
Since none of the four models considered by the Mediterranean study consistently out - performed the others in simulating present - day climate, the researchers combined their results to produce a single composite scenario for each climate variable.2 To prevent the GCM with the greatest sensitivity from dominating the scenarios, they first had to standardise the model results.
40 %: expected loss by 2050 of the region's original biodiversity under a «business as usual» scenario for climate change (with loss of 35 - 36 % expected under the three «pathways to sustainability»)
If the planet is to avert the worst scenarios for climate change, the optimistic long - run forecasts for oil demand growth put forward by energy giants such as Exxon can be thrown out the window.
With TeraGrid, the Cornell lab plans to marry such models to scenarios for climate change from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, in hopes of predicting migratory changes — and perhaps extinctions — for hundreds of species.
The film starts at the end, spinning through a fast - forward collection of the worst possible worst - case scenarios for climate should no effort be made to curb greenhouse gases.
Access our latest modelling and analysis to gain insight into potential future scenarios for climate change globally.
This article is part of the Special Issue on «A Framework for the Development of New Socioeconomic Scenarios for Climate Change Research» edited by Nebojsa Nakicenovic, Robert Lempert, and Anthony Janetos.
Scenarios for Climate Adaptation report.
TGICA also contributes to building capacity in the use of data and scenarios for climate - related research in developing and transition - economy regions and countries.
Moreover, the faster - than - predicted change in global climate (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 2007) and the different available scenarios for climate change suggest an increase in aridity for the semi-arid regions of the globe and the Mediterranean region in the near future.
It may well be the case that only the systems that produce forcings eg volcanic eruption, solar winds, sunspot activity and the like could be non ergodic but still capable of yielding scenarios for climate modelling purposes.
Theoretical scenarios for climate mitigation typically reflect their creators» technological preferences and analytical assumptions while all too often failing to account for the cost, rate, and scale at which low - carbon energy technologies can be deployed.
Develop a risk assessment of overall investments if the best - and worst - case scenarios for climate change play out in terms of potential financial losses.
Among other positions, Prof. Dr. Nakicenovic is Member of the United Nations Secretary General High - Level Technical Group on Sustainable for Energy for All Initiative; Member of the Advisory Council of the German Government on Global Change (WBGU); Member of the International Council for Science (ICSU) Committee on Scientific Planning and Review; Co-Chair, Scientific Steering Committee of the Global Carbon Project (GCP); Member of the Board, Climate Change Centre Austria (CCCA); Member of the Working Group of the Austrian Panel on Climate Change (AG - APCC); Member of the Panel on Socioeconomic Scenarios for Climate Change Impact and Response Assessments; Member of the Renewable Energy Policy Network for the 21st Century (REN21) Steering Committee; Member of the International Advisory Board of the Helmholtz Programme on Technology, and Member of the Earth League.
The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment.
Note that a new practice at the IPCC is the back - to - back holding of an expert meeting on scenarios with lead author meetings, to ensure coordination with the scientific community which is developing a new generation of socioeconomic scenarios for climate change impacts, adaptation and mitigation research.
It's very difficult to find reliable / consistent figures for any type of energy source decades out in the future, and it's equally difficult to compare the various proposed scenarios for climate change amelioration.

Not exact matches

Research group Climate Central has created a plug - in for Google Earth that illustrates how catastrophic an «extreme» sea - level rise scenario would be if the flooding happened now, based on projections in a 2017 report from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Agency (NOAA).
It modeled the implications for the company of a requirement for emissions to decline to levels consistent with a so - called «2 °C world» after 2030 and also looked at a number of alternative scenarios based on divergent ranges in global growth and trade, geopolitics, technological innovation and responses to climate change.
Politicians who advocate for more bitumen pipelines and LNG exports are making a «have your cake and eat it too argument» because there is no way Canada can meet its climate change commitments under such a scenario says David Hughes, one of the nation's top energy experts.
For some time now many scientists, even and perhaps especially those connected to the climate alarmism movement, have worried about the exaggerations and downright apocalyptic scenarios which have come out of the writings of some of their scientific colleagues like James Hansen or James Lovelock,....
a small watering action under a dry climate scenario to provide flows to waterways and partial inundation of semi-permanent wetlands during spring (considered to be the minimum necessary for consolidating ecological outcomes from the large watering event in 2014);
maybe you don't understand that Wenger's words are simply an attempt to recover some of the market value that was lost due to the way they have mishandled his contract negotiations, which means that everyone, once again, knows that we have little to no leverage when it comes to negotiating a transfer... much like we did with RVP, when we sold the EPL trophy to ManU for less than $ 25 million... any reputable team with a sporting director would never have allowed this situation to occur again and if they had heads would roll... if handled correctly the worst case scenario would have seen us get a minimum of $ 65 million for a player of his ilk in the present economic climate and we could have used those funds to purchase the best available striker in the early days of the transfer window... just imagine what outsiders must think about the state of our team if all you did was read the headlines... sadly, things might just might be worse than they think
«But while the document projects some worrisome scenarios for the region's birdlife, it also serves as a «climate call to action,» not only to conservationists, but to all who love nature in its myriad forms,» Clayton noted.
The active - shooter scenario is one that no employers want to encounter, but it's one they must prepare for given today's heightened terror climate, former NYPD Commissioner Bill Bratton said at Epstein Becker & Green PC's annual workplace briefing in Manhattan.
«I can't imagine a scenario where U.S. companies are not in that game,» echoed U.S. Special Envoy for Climate Change Jonathan Pershing.
Finally, it's necessary to plan for multiple future climate scenarios by coordinating engineers, economists and conservationists.
Through planning scenario workshops, CISA works with community leaders, scientists, and decision - makers to explore possible impacts of climate change and options for managing them.
«You should plan for 2050, while also considering what options to follow under more extreme scenarios after 2050,» said Kopp, who also co-directs Rutgers» Coastal Climate Risk & Resilience (C2R2) initiative.
Ben ten Brink, researcher at the Planbureau voor de Leefomgeving (PBL): «This scenario is conceivable for regions that face a combination of impactful developments, such as strong population growth, poverty, climate change, a weak economic system and a feeble government.
For the study, Dr. Toohey and his colleagues from GEOMAR and the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology in Hamburg have used an aerosol - climate model to track 70 different eruption scenarios while analyzing the distribution of the sulfur particlFor the study, Dr. Toohey and his colleagues from GEOMAR and the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology in Hamburg have used an aerosol - climate model to track 70 different eruption scenarios while analyzing the distribution of the sulfur particlfor Meteorology in Hamburg have used an aerosol - climate model to track 70 different eruption scenarios while analyzing the distribution of the sulfur particles.
This enabled the team to estimate how temperature - related mortality rates will change under alternative scenarios of climate change, defined by the four Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) established by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for climate modelling and research iclimate change, defined by the four Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) established by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for climate modelling and research iClimate Change for climate modelling and research iclimate modelling and research in 2014.
Such work is necessary for more accurately predicting future climate trends and helping governments prepare for the most severe scenarios, says study coauthor Amy Hessl, a physical geographer at West Virginia University in Morgantown.
To better plan for potential effects due to climate change, scientists using the North American Breeding Bird Survey and Audubon Christmas Bird Count employed correlative distribution modeling, to assess geographic range shifts for nearly 600 North American bird species during both the breeding and non-breeding seasons under a range of future climate change scenarios through the end of the century.
Smil has forced climate advocates to reckon with the vast inertia sustaining the modern world's dependence on fossil fuels, and to question many of the rosy assumptions underlying scenarios for a rapid shift to alternatives.
«If the initial atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration were half its actual value, we would currently be experiencing the climate expected for the year 2050,» says Archer, setting out one possible scenario.
To produce visualizations that show temperature and precipitation changes similar to those included in the IPCC report, the NASA Center for Climate Simulation calculated average temperature and precipitation changes from models that ran the four different emissions scenarios.
Rising sea levels and human activities are fast creating a «worst case scenario» for Native Americans of the Mississippi Delta who stand to lose not just their homes, but their irreplaceable heritage, to climate change.
However, there is a still a knowledge and communication gap as to how the various climate change scenarios can be interpreted, and what they really mean for European forests.
In the new work, Surabi Menon of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies and colleagues used aerosol data collected from 46 ground stations in China to assess four different climate modeling scenarios.
The international team of co-authors, led by Peter Clark of Oregon State University, generated new scenarios for temperature rise, glacial melting, sea - level rise and coastal flooding based on state - of - the - art climate and ice sheet models.
For their scenario calculations, the AWI modellers plugged in atmospheric CO2 concentrations in excess of 500 ppm, a level in keeping with the forecasts released by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
However, comparing the results of the climate simulations for the most recent interglacial with scenario calculations for the future reveals substantial differences: thanks to the more intense solar radiation, back then the air temperatures at higher latitudes were also a few degrees higher than at present.
For assessing the global ocean - carbon sink, McKinley and her co-authors from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory, NCAR and the University of Colorado Boulder used the model to establish a long - running climate scenario from historical data.
Including the elevation effects in the model increases the estimated sea - level rise by a small but significant amount (5 % enhancement of melt by 2100 and 10 % by 2200 for a climate warming scenario).
In their paper, called «Adaptation Optimization of Residential Buildings under Hurricane Threat Considering Climate Change in a Lifecycle Context,» Frangopol and Dong present a systematic framework for the optimal adaptation of residential buildings at a large scale under various scenarios of impending climate change during a long - term inClimate Change in a Lifecycle Context,» Frangopol and Dong present a systematic framework for the optimal adaptation of residential buildings at a large scale under various scenarios of impending climate change during a long - term inclimate change during a long - term interval.
In using the model to assess the ocean - carbon sink, the researchers assumed a «business as usual» carbon dioxide emissions trajectory, the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 scenario found in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for 2006 - 2010, where emissions continue to rise throughout the 21st century.
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