Sentences with phrase «scenarios for global»

The IPCC chose to plot the «business as usual» scenario (RCP 8.5 — continued increase in GHG emissions), then scenarios for global GHG emission peaks in the year 2080 (RCP 6.0), 2040 - 2050 (RCP 4.5), and 2020 (RCP 2.6).

Scenarios for Global Emissions from Air Traffic.

Google Books «Economic Scenarios for Global Change».

«Likely scenarios for global spread of devastating crop disease.»

Global temperatures could rise dramatically in 2100 compared with current conditions (dark red areas) under some scenarios for global greenhouse gas emissions.

As Strauss's words suggest, this worst - case scenario for global warming, which envisions 2 degrees as early as 2040 and as much as 5 degrees by 2100, is not necessarily the one that will be realized.

Any reasonable scenario for global development over the next century is likely to project technological change, which as we have seen in the past century would likely include changes in energy creation and consumption technologies, as well as the propagation of the kind of normal environmental policies that we have seen in the developed world in the past century, such as control of sulfur pollution.

Many climate skeptics argue that the most likely scenario for global warming is that human emissions of CO2 and other greenhouse gases will cause mild warming, a geographic mixture of winners and losers, and what problems arise can be met by adaptation.

This gives an idea of just how bad a worst case scenario for global warming could concievably get.

I suppose, for 99 % of policymakers and the media it is a black swan, but in fact even the worst - case scenario for global warming isn't technically a black swan.

Not exact matches

Internal studies by a group of analysts within Shell known as the «scenarios» team had concluded that global demand for oil might peak in as little as a decade — essentially tomorrow in an industry that plans in quarter - century increments.

Under this scenario, by 2040 global energy demand will be significantly larger than it is now; oil, coal, and natural gas each will account for about one - quarter of total demand, and solar and wind together will account for roughly 5 %.

Whether or not that happens — and frankly, it's an extreme example of the worst - case scenario for US shale producers — a glut of global oil inventories is already weighing on oil prices.

It modeled the implications for the company of a requirement for emissions to decline to levels consistent with a so - called «2 °C world» after 2030 and also looked at a number of alternative scenarios based on divergent ranges in global growth and trade, geopolitics, technological innovation and responses to climate change.

Under the first scenario, global oil stocks would rise by 109 million barrels for the year.

If, however, our scenario had been a different topic — say, a student had experienced extreme poverty for the first time, or realized the magnitude of the global AIDS crisis and wanted to talk to her pastor about how her faith speaks to that — I imagine the response would have been easier for our students to get out and distinctly Christian.

The best estimates of the increase in global temperatures range from 1.8 to 4.0 degrees C for the various emission scenarios, with higher emissions leading to higher temperatures.

According to a study published online this week in Science, University of Minnesota researchers, building from studies of nitrogen levels in Lake Superior, uncovered a good news / bad news scenario for lake health that has long - term, global implications for pollution control efforts.

Contagion Steven Soderbergh skillfully deploys an all - star cast in this taut pandemic thriller — made extra-terrifying by a global outbreak scenario too plausible for comfort.

Rising fish populations could improve food security for seafood - eating societies and boost global fishing profits by $ 53 billion per year, creating a «triple win» scenario, the researchers predict.

For example, the rise would be 0.3 to 3.3 feet lower than global rise under the intermediate scenario.

«Regional sea - level scenarios: Helping US Northeast plan for faster - than - global rise: Global sea level could rise by as much as 8 feet by 2100 in a worst - case scenario.&global rise: Global sea level could rise by as much as 8 feet by 2100 in a worst - case scenario.&Global sea level could rise by as much as 8 feet by 2100 in a worst - case scenario.»

The report, «Global and Regional Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the United States,» provides regional sea - level rise scenarios and tools for coastal preparedness planning and risk maScenarios for the United States,» provides regional sea - level rise scenarios and tools for coastal preparedness planning and risk mascenarios and tools for coastal preparedness planning and risk management.

«We do not under most conceivable scenarios support or encourage introduction of species to habitats outside of their historical range,» says Matt Lewis, a spokesman for the species program of the Washington, D.C. — based global environmental group, the World Wildlife Fund.

The methods established in the new study can be used in future for applied purposes — for example for local protection measures, for environmental assessments by authorities, or to integrate the long - term effects of road building into scenarios of the World Bank regarding global biodiversity changes.

He suggests three global scenarios for the next century.

To date, the group, known as the Global Human Body Models Consortium (GHBMC), has created a 173 - pound adult model and continues to make updates for a broader range of body types and scenarios.

Modelling flood risk in Europe — global warming the biggest influence In the framework of the HELIX FP7 Project, scientists analysed the differences in projected changes in flood risk at country scale under global warming scenarios of 1.5, 2 and 3 degrees from pre-industrial levels, and discussed reasons for the observed outcomes.

Sanderson and his colleagues put together an analysis for various global scenarios under an eight - year Trump presidency.

For assessing the global ocean - carbon sink, McKinley and her co-authors from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory, NCAR and the University of Colorado Boulder used the model to establish a long - running climate scenario from historical data.

The new study aimed to systematically pinpoint the drivers of water demand in the energy system, examining 41 scenarios for the future energy system that are compatible with limiting future climate change to below the 2 °C target, which were identified by the IIASA - led 2012 Global Energy Assessment.

To get a sense for how this probability, or risk of such a storm, will change in the future, he performed the same analysis, this time embedding the hurricane model within six global climate models, and running each model from the years 2081 to 2100, under a future scenario in which the world's climate changes as a result of unmitigated growth of greenhouse gas emissions.

The consequences of global sea level rise could be even scarier than the worst - case scenarios predicted by the dominant climate models, which don't fully account for the fast breakup of ice sheets and glaciers, NASA scientists said today (Aug. 26) at a press briefing.

Meehl and his colleagues used two sophisticated computer models of global climate to predict what would happen under various scenarios for greenhouse gas emission controls, taking into account the oceanic time lag.

Co-author Dr Eleanor Burke, from the Met Office Hadley Centre, said: «The advantage of our approach is that permafrost loss can be estimated for any policy - relevant global warming scenario.

On the high end, recent work suggests that 4 feet is plausible.23, 3,6,7,8 In the context of risk - based analysis, some decision makers may wish to use a wider range of scenarios, from 8 inches to 6.6 feet by 2100.10,2 In particular, the high end of these scenarios may be useful for decision makers with a low tolerance for risk (see Figure 2.26 on global sea level rise).10, 2 Although scientists can not yet assign likelihood to any particular scenario, in general, higher emissions scenarios that lead to more warming would be expected to lead to higher amounts of sea level rise.

«For preparing climate change scenarios for Argentina, the Global Model HadCM3 (UK) on IPCC scenarios has been utilizFor preparing climate change scenarios for Argentina, the Global Model HadCM3 (UK) on IPCC scenarios has been utilizfor Argentina, the Global Model HadCM3 (UK) on IPCC scenarios has been utilized.

These actions produced models that account for the influence of smaller features than can be resolved in a global climate model and yielded composite climate scenarios suitable for analysis of specific local climate impacts.

Two global scenarios, one of low greenhouse - gas emissions and the other of medium emissions, were created for each model.

By comparison, scenarios for fossil fuel emissions for the 21st century range from about 600 billion tons (if we can keep total global emissions at current levels) to over 2500 billion tons if the world increases its reliance on combustion of coal as economic growth and population increase dramatically.

To investigate cloud — climate feedbacks in iRAM, the authors ran several global warming scenarios with boundary conditions appropriate for late twenty - first - century conditions (specifically, warming signals based on IPCC AR4 SRES A1B simulations).

«It is ironic that high concentrations of molecules with high global warming potential (GWP), the worst - case scenario for Earth's climate, is the optimal scenario for detecting an alien civilization, as GWP increases with stronger infrared absorption and longer atmospheric lifetime,» say the authors.

Given that we're mainly looking at the global mean surface temperature anomaly, the most appropriate comparison is for the net forcings for each scenario.

«This work was a foundational reference case for the recently released RCP4.5 model scenario, one of four scenarios that will be used by modeling groups around the globe to make realistic projections of future climate change,» said Dr. Steven J. Smith, scientist at the Joint Global Change Research Institute, a partnership between PNNL and the University of Maryland, and lead research author.

Within the last few days I've read in news services of Dr. Mike Raupach «s and Dr. Pep Canadell's report for the Aussie CSIRO Global Carbon Project that emissions have intensified and carbon - loading of the atmosphere has increased near or beyond IPCC worst - case scenarios.

A possible scenario for the internal structure of Titan, which includes a global subsurface ocean beneath an icy [continue reading]

James A. Edmonds • Member, IPCC Steering Committee on «New Integrated Scenarios» (2006 - present) • Lead Author, Working Group III, «Framing Issues,» IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (2007) • Lead Author, Working Group III, «Global, Regional, and National Costs and Ancillary Benefits of Mitigation,» IPCC Third Assessment Report (2001) • Lead Author, Working Group III, «Decision - Making Frameworks,» IPCC Third Assessment Report (2001) • Lead Author, Working Group III, Summary for Policy Makers, IPCC Third Assessment Report (2001) • Lead Author, Working Group II, «Energy Supply Mitigation Options,» IPCC Second Assessment Report (1996) • Lead Author, Working Group II, «Mitigation: Cross-Sectoral and Other Issues,» IPCC Second Assessment Report (1996) • Lead Author, Working Group III, «Estimating the Costs of Mitigating Greenhouse Gases,» IPCC Second Assessment Report (1996) • Lead Author, Working Group III, «A Review of Mitigation Cost Studies,» IPCC Second Assessment Report (1996) • Lead Author, Working Group III, «Integrated Assessment of Climate Change: An Overview and Comparison of Approaches and Results,» IPCC Second Assessment Report (1996) • Lead Author, IPCC Special Report, Climate Change 1994: Radiative Forcing of Climate Change and An Evaluation of the IPCC IS92 Emission Scenarios (1994) • Lead Author, IPCC Special Report, Climate Change 1992: The Supplementary Report to the IPCC Scientific Assessment (1992) • Major contributor, IPCC First Assessment Report, Working Group III, Response Strategies Working Group (1991).

Global climate projections from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, showing temperature and precipitation trends for two different future scenarios, as described in the Climate chapter of this assessment (IPCC 2014a).

To derive the climate projections for this assessment, we employed 20 general circulation models to consider two scenarios of global carbon emissions: one where atmospheric greenhouse gases are stabilized by the end of the century and the other where it grows on its current path (the stabilization [RCP4.5] and business - as - usual [RCP8.5] emission scenarios, respectively).

Under one scenario, the researchers projected that global food production could fall by 15 percent, but when they accounted for large emissions decreases, that figure shrank to a 9 percent drop in food production.