Yale Environment 360 asked some leading climate scientists to discuss what they consider to be the most noteworthy or surprising findings in the recently released report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's working group on the physical
science of a warming world.
Not exact matches
First off, yes: There's consensus that the
science of climate change predicts that in a
warming world, hurricanes will become more intense, carry more rain, and cause worse coastal flooding linked in part to sea level rise.
You likely deny evolution and global
warming for no other reason than it makes you uncomfortable and hold
science to the impossibly high standard
of having to explain every conceivable mystery about the natural
World before you will accept it, but some moron at a pulpit doing magic hand signals
of a Sundaymorning is enough to convince you he is communicating with some sky - god and turning grocery store bread and wine into flesh and blood.
Thinking
of himself as a grand
world - historical figure, attuned to the latest intellectual trend (preferably one with a tinge
of futurism and
science, like global
warming), demonstrating his own incomparable depth and farsightedness.
You likely deny global
warming for no other reason than it makes you uncomfortable and hold
science to the impossibly high standard
of having to explain every conceivable mystery about the natural
World before you will accept it, but some moron rolling around a floor speaking in tongues is enough to convince you he is channeling a spirit.
WHETHER Antarctica's ice will survive a
warmer world is one
of the great puzzles
of climate
science.
These findings from University
of Melbourne Scientists at the ARC Centre
of Excellence for Climate System
Science, reported in Nature Climate Change, are the result
of research looking at how Australian extremes in heat, drought, precipitation and ocean
warming will change in a
world 1.5 °C and 2 °C
warmer than pre-industrial conditions.
Stepping into that gap — at the request
of the Danish government — will be the International Scientific Congress on Climate Change, a collection
of the
world's top scientists and economists set to meet in Copenhagen in March 2009 to deliver an updated state
of the
science on global
warming.
The 2011 UNEP / WMO assessment and the related article by Shindell et al. in
Science in 2012 indicate that an aggressive program to limit emissions
of these substances could relatively inexpensively cut projected
warming between the present and 2050 in half while also having tremendous co-benefits for health, air quality, and improved energy efficiency, in the US and around the
world.
The research performed at the Weizmann Institute
of Science shows that part
of this will be due to the mechanism they demonstrated, and the other part is tied to the fact that storms are born at a higher latitude in a
warmer world.
But as the
world warms they will shrink and temperatures will rise ever higher, according to a study that could help to resolve one
of the biggest uncertainties in climate
science.
In a study published this week in
Science, UCI climatologists outline the results
of computer simulations showing a
world subjected to nearly three more centuries
of unbridled global
warming.
Results
of a new study by researchers at the Northeast Climate
Science Center (NECSC) at the University
of Massachusetts Amherst suggest that temperatures across the northeastern United States will increase much faster than the global average, so that the 2 - degrees Celsius
warming target adopted in the recent Paris Agreement on climate change will be reached about 20 years earlier for this part
of the U.S. compared to the
world as a whole.
«I've always thought that the phrase «global
warming» was something
of a misnomer because it suggests that the phenomenon is something that is uniform around the
world, that it's all about temperature, and that it's gradual,» Holdren said yesterday at the annual AAAS Forum on
Science and Technology Policy in Washington, D.C. (AAAS publishes ScienceInsider.)
The leak
of the Heartland memos — including a disputed one purporting to outline a strategy to pay a Department
of Energy contractor to prepare school curriculum teaching children that the
science behind man - made global
warming is unsettled — rocked the climate
world last week when they were released to bloggers.
That a
warmer world is likely to lead to increased winter rainfall, particularly intense periods
of rainfall, over the UK, comes from well understood
science.
The Project The Raising Risk Awareness project seeks to assess the role
of human - induced climate change in the risk
of extreme weather events in developing countries and identify how such scientific evidence could help to bridge the
science - communications - policy gap, and enable these countries and communities to become more resilient in a
warming world.
That finding, detailed in the journal
Science Advances, fits with the conclusions
of an earlier study by Swain and his colleagues that suggested such persistent ridging was more likely to occur in a
world with human - caused
warming than one without it.
What, specifically, is the reason that you are «skeptical»
of the conclusions
of the overwhelming majority
of the
world's climate scientists and every relevant scientific organization in the
world, including the national
science academies
of every major country in the
world, that anthropogenic global
warming is a reality?
Our
science is a little more solid today, but researchers still aren't 100 % sure how and why the virus spreads, and they remain stumped about why some parts
of the
world have such a pronounced winter flu season with almost no flu activity in
warmer months.
To put the matter simply, the
science of Dendrochronology uses tree ring Rings in fossilised pine trees have proven that the
world was much
warmer than previously thought - with measurements dating back to 138BC
Creation
science vs. evolution, Genetic engineering, Homelessness, Euthanasia & assisted suicide, Pledge
of Allegiance, Endangered Species, Organ Donation, Aging Population, Civil Rights, Racial Profiling, Drunk driving, Human Rights,
World population, Children's rights, Alcohol & drinking, Gay Marriage, Disabilities Act, Acid Rain, Gangs, Drunk Driving, Animal Experimentation, War On Drugs, Language Policy, Famine Relief Efforts, Intellectual Property, Creationism, Moral Decisions, Civil rights, Organ & body donation, Nuclear proliferation, Sweatshops, Tobacco, American Education Reform, Cameras in Courtrooms, Sex Education, Missile Defense System, Adoption, City Curfews, Legal System, Civil Liberties, Bilingual Education, Global
warming, Violence in schools, Legalization
of marijuana, Immigration, Violence, Juvenile Crime, Social Welfare, Peace, Space Exploration, Physician - Assisted Suicide, Consumer Protection, Islamic Fundamentalism, Fathers» / Mothers» Rights In Divorce, Racial profiling, AIDS, Censorship, Environmental protection, Gun control, Affirmative action, Islamic Fundamentalism, Human Cloning, Minimum Wage, Dating Campus Issues, Campaign Finance Reform, Immigration, Garbage And Waste, Iraq, Fat Tax On Food, Federal Deficit, Family Violence, Agriculture Technology, Afghanistan, Smoking, Animal rights, Gender issues, Ethnic Violence, Intellectual Property, Foreign Policy, Dieting, Drug Policy, Social Welfare, War Crimes, Bilingual Education, Surrogate Mothers, Health Care System, Peer Pressure, Human Cloning, Speed Limits, Poverty, Same sex marriage, Homosexuality, Government vs. religion, Famine, Cuba, Amnesty, Endangered Oceans, Gay Rights, Legal System, Learning Disabilities, Islamic Fundamentalism Oceans, Living Wills, Biodiversity, Bio Fuels, Fraud, Garbage And Waste, Africa Aid, Women in the Military, Minorities, Pro Choice Movement, Zero Tolerance, Hate Crime, Antarctica Research, Gay Parents, Medical Ethics, Homeland Security, Terrorism, Binge drinking, Abortion, Welfare, Prayer in schools, Gangs, Death Penalty, Depression, Race Relations, Climate Change Policy, Agricultural Policy, Domestic Violence, Endangered, Endangered Species, Mass media Regulation, Conserving The Environment, Government Deregulation, Food Safety, Addiction, Gay Marriages, Academic Dishonesty, Organized Crime, Women's Rights, Chain Gangs, Anorexia Treatment, Water Pollution, Internet Hate Speech, Airline Safety Rules, Polygamy, Oil Spills, Legal System, Youth Violence, Computer Games.
# 86
warm Northern re-greetings Pat, Being
of Scottish ancestry, I rather go down fighting the good fight, than sit down and watch the show go bad, complacency rules the
world, even people in key
science positions follow the business as usual flow, but it does not mean we all have to agree to do nothing.
Nature Journal
of Science, ranked as the
world's most cited scientific periodical, has just published the definitive study on Global
Warming that proves the dominant controller
of temperatures in the Earth's atmosphere is due to galactic cosmic rays and the sun, rather than by man.
And the statement about «storms that are growing stronger with each passing hurricane season» is hard to square with the
science on hurricanes in a
warming world, which has gotten more nuanced
of late, as we've explored here a few times.
It's a review
of a University
of Minnesota social
sciences seminar on «how to get the
world to stop talking and do something about global
warming.»
They're implying that settling on a global
warming policy (or the lack
of it) is somehow special, somehow a matter
of science and economics and politics that stands apart from one's
world view or ethics or religious beliefs.
I know that is hard when it comes to such a politically charged issue as anthro global
warming... but as new data and information comes in, the spirit
of science should be to analyze and interpret it, with the intent to find the truth about our
world — not prove someone else wrong or ourselves right.
Of course, there are quite a few experts in climate science and policy who warn that debating whether the research pointing to a disruptive human climate influence is, or is not, settled is a complete distraction from the reality that the basics are not in dispute (more CO2 = warming world = rising seas and lots of changing climate patterns
Of course, there are quite a few experts in climate
science and policy who warn that debating whether the research pointing to a disruptive human climate influence is, or is not, settled is a complete distraction from the reality that the basics are not in dispute (more CO2 =
warming world = rising seas and lots
of changing climate patterns
of changing climate patterns).
Former Vice President Al Gore has spent decades immersing himself in the
science and policy
of global
warming, visiting the poles, writing two books largely framed around the issue, and traveling the
world giving a climate presentation that began on 35 - millimeter carousels and evolved into a snazzy Keynote extravaganza and Oscar - winning documentary.
The highlighted points
of emphasis in the report have been the dominant focus
of research in the field
of science communication and
science studies for the past 15 years and the basis for recent innovative projects such as the
World Wide Views on Global
Warming initiative.
Paul Voosen, one
of the most talented journalists probing human - driven climate change and related energy issues, has written an award - worthy two - part report for Greenwire on one
of the most enduring sources
of uncertainty in climate
science — how the complicated response
of clouds in a
warming world limits understanding
of how hot it could get from a given rise in greenhouse gas concentrations:
The 2000 paper
Warming of the
World Ocean can be found here
Science 2000 287: 2225 - 2229.
The PBS Frontline documentary, written and directed by Martin Smith, explores the
world to explain why there has been such a persistent gap between the growing body
of science pointing to an increasingly human -
warmed world and action by policymakers, politicians and the public to limit risks.
That a
warmer world was bad for humanity -(that was not really
science based, but more
of conjecture) c.
The statement is one conclusion in the final draft
of a summary the IPCC is preparing for
world policymakers on the state
of the climate and climate
science as part
of its fifth assessment report on global
warming.
Remember that in the 1970's the entire
world climate
science community agreed that we were heading for another ice age based on a
warming period
of over 30 years.
In 2013, researchers with the
World Bank took a look at the
science on projected effects
of 4 °C
warming and were appalled by what they found.
quote: «Despite the 97 % expert consensus on human - caused global
warming supported by peer - reviewed research, expert opinion, the IPCC reports, and National Academies
of Science and other scientific organizations from around the
world, a large segment
of the population remains unconvinced on the issue.»
Earlier this year, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), a United Nations - affiliated network
of climate scientists that constitutes conventional wisdom on global
warming, projected in its latest voluminous climate -
science report that the
world is likely to blow past the two - degrees marker by 2100.
Dr. S. Fred Singer, one
of the
world's earliest and most credible critics
of the theory that global
warming is man - made and dangerous, will be recognized with an award for Lifetime Achievement in Climate
Science at an international conference on global
warming taking place July 7 — 9 in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Richard Allan, reader in climate
science at the University
of Reading, said: «Global
warming is not «at a standstill» but does seem to have slowed down since 2000 in comparison to the rapid
warming of the
world since the 1970s.»
Earlier this year, he co-wrote an article in the peer - reviewed Chinese
Science Bulletin with fellow climate denialists arguing that the IPCC's models are inaccurate and the
world won't
warm dangerously by the end
of the century.
Meanwhile, the good news (if further research bears it out) that the
world's
warming has been slowed, at least for a few years, needs to be leavened with the realisation, yet again, that there are significant uncertainties in
science's understanding
of the climate — and thus unquantifiable risks ahead.
The end -
of - the -
world prognostications from the Left
of global
warming catastrophe that never came but, the Left never cared if they were right or wrong about that and it does not worry them that the EPA prefers politics to
science.
Science can not settle all arguments about how the
world should respond to global
warming, because the answer to that question involves values, varying perceptions
of risk, and political ideology, in addition to what we know (and don't know) about the climate system.
Stern, The Economics
of Climate Change, 4 — 5, 11 — 16, 95, 193, 220 — 34, 637, 649 — 51; «Evidence
of Human - Caused Global
Warming is Now «Unequivocal,»»
Science Daily, http://www.sciencedaily.com; Browne, «The Ethics
of Climate Change,» 100; Spratt and Sutton, Climate Code Red, 30; Editors, «Climate Fatigue,» Scientific American 298, no. 6 (June 2008): 39; Ted Trainer, «A Short Critique
of the Stern Review,» Real -
World Economics Review, 45 (2008), http://www.paecon.net/PAEReview/issue45/Trainer45.pdf, 54 — 58.
This book presents an overview
of the
science related to global
warming and explains climate projections (what they are and how they are made), presenting observed changes in the natural
world which are in line with the projections.
While climate
science can effectively inform us about the range
of possible consequences
of a
warming world, there is a large amount
of irresolvable uncertainty inherent in climate forecasting.
«Even with just a further 3C
of warming — well within the range to which the UN climate
science panel expects temperatures to rise by the end
of the century — nearly one - fifth
of the planet's 720
world heritage sites will affected as ice sheets melt and
warming oceans expand.»