Sentences with phrase «science of extreme event»

The science of extreme event attribution has advanced rapidly in recent years, giving new insight to the ways that human - caused climate change can influence the magnitude or frequency of some extreme weather events.

This is possible and the emerging science of extreme event attribution is doing exactly that.

But the problem with building the science of extreme events is that, by definition, they are rare.

Not exact matches

Historic Environment Scotland report that Ewan Hyslop, Head of Technical Research and Science at HES, said: «Climate change poses a number of very real threats to Scotland's historic environment, from an increased frequency of extreme and unpredictable weather events to rising sea - levels.»

«Rather than trying to assess the probability of an extreme event occurring, a group of researchers suggest viewing the event as a given and assessing to which degree changes in the thermodynamic state (which we know has been influenced by climate change) altered the severity of the impact of the event,» notes Dorit Hammerling, section leader for statistics and data science at the Institute for Mathematics Applied to Geosciences, National Center for Atmospheric Research.

According to a 2013 study of California farmers, factors like exposure to extreme weather events and perceived changes in water availability made farmers more likely to believe in climate change, while negative experiences with environmental policies can make farmers less likely to believe that climate change is occurring, said Meredith Niles, a postdoctoral research fellow at Harvard's Sustainability Science Program and lead author of the study.

Still a young science, attribution research seeks to strengthen understanding of the factors that contribute to extreme events.

«The responses of fish species to extreme weather events will need to be considered when planning management strategies to ensure efforts are appropriately targeted to maintain key population segments and critical evacuation routes,» said Dave Secor, the study's co-author at the University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science's Chesapeake Biological Laboratory.

Playing the climate blame game The question of whether climate change is responsible for extreme weather events like the heatwave that set Russia alight in 2010 is one of the hottest topics in climate science.

NCAR, which is financed in part by the National Science Foundation, has spent several years searching for ways to extend the predicability of floods, droughts, heat waves and other extreme weather events from weeks to months as a way to give weather - sensitive sectors such as agriculture more time to protect themselves against costly losses.

Climate scientist Christopher Field, director of the Department of Global Ecology of the Carnegie Institution for Science at Stanford University in Palo Alto, California, emphasized the scientific consensus that global temperatures are rising and that climate change is likely to contribute to extreme weather events.

In recent years, a brand of research called «climate attribution science» has sprouted from this question, examining the impact of extreme events to determine how much — often in fractional terms — is related to human - induced climate change, and how much to natural variability (whether in climate patterns such as the El Niño / La Niña - Southern Oscillation, sea - surface temperatures, changes in incoming solar radiation, or a host of other possible factors).

Professor Michael Norton, EASAC's Environment Programme Director states, «Our 2013 Extreme Weather Events report — which was based on the findings of the Norwegian Academy of Science and Letters and the Norwegian Meteorological Institute — has been updated and the latest data supports our original conclusions: there has been and continues to be a significant increase in the frequency of extreme weather events, making climate proofing all the more uEvents report — which was based on the findings of the Norwegian Academy of Science and Letters and the Norwegian Meteorological Institute — has been updated and the latest data supports our original conclusions: there has been and continues to be a significant increase in the frequency of extreme weather events, making climate proofing all the more uevents, making climate proofing all the more urgent.

«New data confirm increased frequency of extreme weather events: European national science academies urge further action on climate change adaptation.»

New data show that extreme weather events have become more frequent over the past 36 years, with a significant uptick in floods and other hydrological events compared even with five years ago, according to a new publication, «Extreme weather events in Europe: Preparing for climate change adaptation: an update on EASAC's 2013 study» by the European Academies» Science Advisory Council (EASAC), a body made up of 27 national science academies in the European Union, Norway, and SwitzScience Advisory Council (EASAC), a body made up of 27 national science academies in the European Union, Norway, and Switzscience academies in the European Union, Norway, and Switzerland.

The letter, which was spearheaded by the American Association for the Advancement of Science, warns of the numerous threats posed by climate change — including extreme weather events, regional water scarcity, heat waves and wildfires.

«We came as close as one can to demonstrating a direct link between climate change and a large family of extreme recent weather events,» said Michael Mann, distinguished professor of atmospheric science and director, Earth System Science Center, Pennscience and director, Earth System Science Center, PennScience Center, Penn State.

The frequency of large - scale tornado outbreaks is increasing in the United States, particularly when it comes to the most extreme events, according to research recently published in Science.

The planet is getting warmer, ocean temperatures are rising, the polar ice caps are melting, and all of the incontrovertible science of climate change is that more extreme - weather events are an inevitable consequence.

Scientists at the Department of Energy's Pacific Northwest National Laboratory are applying atmospheric science research capabilities to improve our understanding of long - term weather trends and better predict extreme weather events like these — and it all starts with studying clouds.

Such mixed results aren't unusual in attribution science, which seeks to look for the causes, whether climate change or natural fluctuations, that change the odds of extreme weather events.

In the last week we've seen new peer - reviewed science published, linking at least half of 2012's extreme weather events to a human carbon footprint in the atmosphere and on the weather and climate.

The Project The Raising Risk Awareness project seeks to assess the role of human - induced climate change in the risk of extreme weather events in developing countries and identify how such scientific evidence could help to bridge the science - communications - policy gap, and enable these countries and communities to become more resilient in a warming world.

The Raising Risk Awareness project seeks to assess the contribution of anthropogenic climate change and other external drivers (e.g.» El Niño») to the occurrence of extreme weather events in developing countries in East Africa and South East Asia, and identify how such information could help to bridge the science - communications policy gap, and enable these countries and communities to become more climate resilient.

Burger isn't sure whether extreme event attribution science is strong enough yet to stand up in court, but his team is in the middle of an in - depth analysis to answer just that question.

Noah Diffenbaugh, a senior fellow at the Woods Institute for the Environment at Stanford University, said the new analysis represented a «valuable step» in attribution work, a field of climate science that's developed in the past decade in an effort to understand the role of climate change in specific extreme events.

Over the last five years, the BAMS report has examined more than 100 events as part of a burgeoning sub-field of climate science that uses observations and climate models to show how human - caused warming has already affected the odds or severity of many of the weather extremes we experience now.

SHOW SUMMARY: Thomas Peterson from World Meteorological Assoc. and NOAA on science of extreme weather events hitting us.

The trait, he proposed, comes to the surface when such people confront strong messaging on the need for emissions reductions amid enduringly murky science on what's driving some particular extreme environmental phenomenon in the world — whether a brief period of widespread melting on the Greenland ice sheet, a potent drought, a tornado outbreak or the extreme event of the moment, the hybrid nor» easter / hurricane known on Twitter as #Frankenstorm.

According to the latest science, in most cases (outside of extreme heat waves) the connections between today's extreme weather events and human - driven climate change range from weak (hurricanes) to nil (tornadoes)-- and the dominant driver of losses in such events is fast - paced development or settlement in places with fundamental climatic or coastal vulnerability.

Even if you leave climate science completely out of it and just measure extreme temperatures, the statistical record of global temperatures shows that three - standard deviation events have increased from 0.25 % of the time (from 1951 - 1980) to 10 % of the time now.

The journal Nature has published a helpful update on scientists» efforts to narrow one of the biggest gaps in climate science — the inability to reliably gauge the role of greenhouse - driven warming in determining the intensity of the kinds of extreme climate events that matter most to societies — from hurricanes to heat waves.

As such, nominations were requested for experts who can integrate findings of climate change science, who have expertise in vulnerability, impacts, and adaptation to extreme events, and who have experience in the disaster risk management communities.

In 2016, the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine released a report analyzing the state of extreme event attribution science.

Although attribution science is clearer for some types of events than for others, it is an important step to provide predictive forecasts of extreme events at longer lead times, reducing risks and improving preparedness.

In the last week we've seen new peer - reviewed science published, linking at least half of 2012's extreme weather events to a human carbon footprint in the atmosphere and on the weather and climate.

LUCKNOW: The intense heat wave condition that is sweeping across India currently could be another manifestation of an extreme weather event, said researchers from the New Delhi - based research and advocacy organisation, Centre for Science and Environment (CSE), in a statement on Thursday.

«The messages of the two points outlined in the extract above are: (1) the claims about increases in frequency and intensity of extreme events are generally not supported by actual observations and, (2) official information about climate science is largely controlled by agencies through (a) funding choices for research and (b) by the carefullyselected (i.e. biased) authorship of reports such as the EPA Endangerment Finding and the National Climate Assessment.»

Also See: Watch Now: Climate Depot's Morano on Fox News Mocking «Climate Astrology»: «This is now akin to the predictions of Nostradamus or the Mayan calendar» — Morano: «There is no way anyone can falsify the global warming theory now because any weather event that happens «proves» their case... Man - made global warming has ceased to be a science, it is now the level of your daily horoscope» — Gore [in 2006 film] did not warn us of extreme blizzards and record cold winters coming»

In summary, there is little new about climate science in the report, and nothing at all new about attribution of past warming and extreme weather events to human activity, projections of future warming and its effects, or potential for catastrophic changes.

But examining temperature anomalies separate from atmospheric circulation changes is dubious science at best and blaming global warming does nothing to improve early storm warnings or accurately assess the frequency of extreme events.

The science of climate change «attribution» — linking specific extreme weather events to the effects of global warming — is making substantial progress, so it is becoming increasingly possible for scientists to tie particular weather patterns to climate change.

Bob Ward, policy and communications Director of the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the environment at the London School of Economics and Political Science, claims the link between extreme weather events and climate change is clear, and that criticisms about the evidence for an increase in disaster losses is nothing new and is merely a repetition of criticisms that date back to 2006 because the IPCC's procedures for reviewing scientific work is currently under the spotlight.

The report pays particular attention to extreme events in the U.S., where the science of event attribution has evolved significantly, especially in the aftermath of recent extreme events, for example, the recent California drought.

So that whole risk way of thinking around extreme events, I think, again, brings a new set of challenges to climate science that we didn't really confront before.

He was sceptical about science that linked climate change to the increased likelihood of extreme weather events or bushfires.

Extreme weather attribution is however an emerging and rapidly advancing science, and there is increasing capacity to estimate the change in magnitude and occurrence of specific types of extreme events in a warming world.

The Raising Risk Awareness project seeks to assess the contribution of anthropogenic climate change and other external drivers (e.g.» El Niño») to the occurrence of extreme weather events in developing countries in East Africa and South East Asia, and identify how such information could help to bridge the science - communications policy gap, and enable these countries and communities to become more climate resilient.

Since we are seeing more and more of this type of devastating extreme events driven by stalled weather patterns, let's briefly review the science.

The Project The Raising Risk Awareness project seeks to assess the role of human - induced climate change in the risk of extreme weather events in developing countries and identify how such scientific evidence could help to bridge the science - communications - policy gap, and enable these countries and communities to become more resilient in a warming world.