Sentences with phrase «scientific consensus estimates»
It reproduced a preliminary graph from a non-physical sciences group showing lower than scientific consensus estimates for temperature increase through 2100 and conflated it with an entirely Economist - manufactured news item erroneously stating scientists are finding climate sensitivity is lower than previously expected (Hint: it's not).
https://robertscribbler.com/ Not exact matches
(such version is able to claim being scientific, even while contradicting rather moderate warming estimates based on IPCC consensus)
We show how the maintained consensus about the quantitative estimate of a central scientific concept in the anthropogenic climate - change field — namely, climate sensitivity — operates as an «anchoring device» in «science for policy».
We show how the maintained consensus about the quantitative estimate of a central scientific concept in the anthropogenic climate - change field — namely, climate sensitivity — operates as an «anchoring device» in «science for policy».
Other ways that the standard or «consensus» calculations bias the climate sensitivity upward also exist and are also not negligible (or at least there is no scientific case that they are negligible), but for now it is sufficient to think about, and try to estimate, the magnitude of the increase in H2O and latent heat flow from surface to upper troposphere.
No @RichardTol, a survey of vocal opponents of the mainstream is not a valid estimate of scientific consensus https://t.co/G8b2oK6Ojw (1/2)
Over recent years, various organizations have set out to estimate just how widespread the supposed «scientific consensus» on AGW actually is.
On average, being in one of the treatment groups (vs. the control group) significantly increases respondents» estimate of the scientific consensus (by 12.80 %).
Subjects were asked to provide an estimate (0 % — 100 %) of the perceived level of scientific consensus on human - caused climate change at both the beginning (pre-test) and at the end of the survey (post-test).
Moreover, a change in a respondent's estimate of the scientific consensus significantly influences the belief that climate change is happening, human - caused, and the extent to which they worry about the issue (note that belief in climate change and human causation also directly influence level of «worry»).
Last summer, climate communication researchers at George Mason University and Yale University published a commentary urging the science community to reiterate the scientific consensus on climate change — that 97 percent of scientists support the conclusion that climate change is real, and humans are causing it — citing studies showing that exposing individuals to this message can increase their estimates of the scientific consensus by 10 to 20 percent.
The only thing I find noteworthy is that it further reinforces the point that there is no scientific consensus on a best estimate for equilibrium climate sensitivity, which is entirely in agreement with the IPCC's statement in AR5 WG1 SPM: «No best estimate for equilibrium climate sensitivity can now be given because of a lack of agreement on values across assessed lines of evidence and studies.»
I doubt you realize it, but the «consensus» mean has been falling and if it weren't for scientific inertia would be back to the no feedback initial estimate.
RE: 4th Error -RCB- Poses an objection to the non-scientific term catastrophic [NOTE: Scientific «consensus» is often being used & / or implied in standard climate - change discourse - Yet Consensus is a Political Term - NOT a Scientific Term]- HOWEVER - When Jim Hansen, the IPCC & Al Gore, et - al - go from predicting 450 — 500 ppm CO2 to 800 — 1000ppm by the end of the 21st century -LCB- said to the be highest atmospheric CO2 content in 20 — 30 Million YRS -RCB-; — & estimates for aver global temps by 21st century's end go from 2 * C to 6 * C to 10 * C; — & increased sea level estimates go from 10 - 20 cm to 50 - 60 cm to 1M — 2M -LCB- which would totally submerge the Maldives & partially so Bangladesh -RCB-; — predictions of the total melting of the Himalayan Ice caps by 2050, near total melting of Greenland's ice sheet & partial melting of Antarctica's ice sheet before the 21st century's end; — massive crop failures; — more intense & frequent hurricane -LCB- ala Katrina -RCB- for much longer seasonal durations, etc, etc, etc... — IMO That's Sounds pretty damned CATASTROPHIC to ME!
After showing the misinformation, I asked people to estimate the scientific consensus on human - caused global warming, in order to measure any effect.