Much of the confusion arises because so much of
scientific modeling of climate impacts assumes a wide variety of possible stabilization targets, which gives a wide range of impacts, which makes it seem like scientists don't know what's going to happen.
Ljungqvist said many existing
scientific models of climate change over-estimated assumptions that rising temperatures would make dry areas drier and wet areas wetter, with more extreme heatwaves, droughts, downpours and droughts.
Not exact matches
Darin Kingston
of d.light, whose profitable solar - powered LED lanterns simultaneously address poverty, education, air pollution / toxic fumes / health risks, energy savings, carbon footprint, and more Janine Benyus, biomimicry pioneer who finds
models in the natural world for everything from extracting water from fog (as a desert beetle does) to construction materials (spider silk) to designing flood - resistant buildings by studying anthills in India's monsoon
climate, and shows what's possible when you invite the planet to join your design thinking team Dean Cycon, whose coffee company has not only exclusively sold organic fairly traded gourmet coffee and cocoa beans since its founding in 1993, but has funded dozens
of village - led community development projects in the lands where he sources his beans John Kremer, whose concept
of exponential growth through «biological marketing,» just as a single kernel
of corn grows into a plant bearing thousands
of new kernels, could completely change your business strategy Amory Lovins
of the Rocky Mountain Institute, who built a near - net - zero - energy luxury home back in 1983, and has developed a
scientific, economically viable plan to get the entire economy off oil, coal, and nuclear and onto renewables — while keeping and even improving our high standard
of living
Dr. Richard Lindzen
of MIT, served on IPCC: ««One
of the things the
scientific community is pretty agreed on is those things will have virtually no impact on
climate no matter what the
models say.
Professor Dan Lunt, from the School
of Geographical Sciences and Cabot Institute at the University
of Bristol said: «Because
climate models are based on fundamental
scientific processes, they are able not only to simulate the
climate of the modern Earth, but can also be easily adapted to simulate any planet, real or imagined, so long as the underlying continental positions and heights, and ocean depths are known.»
The massive projects needed now — such as devising a
model of climate change detailed enough to be truly predictive or batteries efficient enough to compete with gasoline — can not wait or depend on chancy funding, he believes.He added that a strong national commitment to goal - centered basic science could help solve other important problems by drawing America's talented young people into
scientific work and providing them with better opportunities for aspiring researchers to build careers with a realistic chance
of making both a significant
scientific contribution and a decent living.
A new
scientific paper by a University
of Maryland - led international team
of distinguished scientists, including five members
of the National Academies, argues that there are critical two - way feedbacks missing from current
climate models that are used to inform environmental,
climate, and economic policies.
Through the Advanced
Scientific Computing Research Leadership Computing Challenge program, Thornton's team was awarded 85 million compute hours to improve the Accelerated
Climate Modeling for Energy (ACME) effort, a project sponsored by Earth System
Modeling program within DOE's Office
of Biological and Environmental Research.
A recent explosion in
climate data and
models has, however, led to a reassessment
of its influence, according to Stephen C. Riser and M. Susan Lozier in a feature piece published in this month's
Scientific American.
The three papers remove a major stumbling block to a
scientific consensus, says Benjamin Santer
of Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, lead author
of the
climate model study.
Although the
scientific credibility
of the film drew criticism from
climate scientists, the scenario
of an abrupt collapse
of the AMOC, as a consequence
of anthropogenic greenhouse warming, was never assessed with a state -
of - the - art
climate model.
Among the
scientific advances that will be required is better integration
of weather and
climate models to improve decadal
climate information to help people plan,» Moss said.
In addition, atmospheric scientist Dr. Hendrik Tennekes, a
scientific pioneer in the development
of numerical weather prediction and former director
of research at The Netherlands» Royal National Meteorological Institute, recently compared scientists who promote computer
models predicting future
climate doom to unlicensed «software engineers.»
The researchers then employed a number
of scientific theories and a set
of sophisticated calculations to arrive at a mathematical framework to diagnose how
climate model resolution affected the simulation
of the location and dynamics
of the jet stream.
PNNL is using an integrative research approach that draws on our depth and breadth
of capabilities in atmospheric chemistry,
climate physics,
modeling, and measurement to address critical
scientific questions related to the role
of aerosols in the
climate system.
He is a co-chair
of the U.S. Department
of Energy's Atmospheric Systems Research Cloud - Aerosol - Precipitation Interactions Working Group, co-chair
of the CESM
Climate - Chemistry Working Group, and served 6 years on the
Scientific Steering Committee for the Community Earth System
Model.
Mission The mission
of PNNL's Aerosol
Climate Initiative is to advance the current scientific understanding and parameterization of aerosol processes and properties to improve comprehensive climate modeling frameworks and to inform policy decisions related to global climate change and the environmental impacts of ae
Climate Initiative is to advance the current
scientific understanding and parameterization
of aerosol processes and properties to improve comprehensive
climate modeling frameworks and to inform policy decisions related to global climate change and the environmental impacts of ae
climate modeling frameworks and to inform policy decisions related to global
climate change and the environmental impacts of ae
climate change and the environmental impacts
of aerosols.
Briegleb, B.P., et al., 2004:
Scientific Description
of the Sea Ice Component in the Community
Climate System
Model, Version Three.
He explains how he once thought that
climate change theory was based solely on computer
models, where in fact it's based on
scientific measurements
of both modern and ancient
climates.
The C - ROADS
model was reviewed by an external
scientific review committee, chaired by Sir Robert Watson, former Chair
of the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC).
The
model was reviewed by an external
scientific review committee, chaired by Sir Robert Watson, former Chair
of the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC).
Jo's
scientific interests include radiative transfer in the atmosphere,
climate modelling, radiative forcing
of climate change and the influence
of solar irradiance variability on
climate.
Global
climate models are the
scientific community's best tools for understanding the detailed dynamics
of the global
climate system and the way those dynamics change in response to greenhouse gas emissions and other human activities.
By Kenneth Richard «Consensus» Science Takes A Hit In 2017 During 2017, 485
scientific papers have been published that cast doubt on the position that anthropogenic CO2 emissions function as the
climate's fundamental control knob... or that otherwise question the efficacy
of climate models or the related «consensus» positions commonly endorsed by policymakers and mainstream media.
But global
climate models are developed by the
scientific community as a tool for gaining fundamental insights into the mechanisms and feedbacks
of the
climate system
With an underlying
scientific climate equation created by environmental economist Dr. Yoram Bauman, players are sure to experience hours
of entertainment in a provocative and satirical, yet realistically -
modeled simulation genre.
I suppose in the abstract this would be dull as doornails if not unhelpful, and so probably it's best to explain it with examples and in the context
of climate modeling, but I wanted to describe it in the abstract, just because I think what keeps a lot
of people from appreciating
climate science (or even why it's hard to appreciate) has to do with very basic ideas about not just «the
scientific process» but with the narrower or perhaps more easily describable process
of modeling.
Real
climate maybe failing to convince that CA website which is full
of skeptics but on the whole this website has been
scientific at all times and hence faithful to the data, the
models and the
climate science.
I would welcome any amount
of scientific investment by fossil fuel interests to research alternative
models to the consensus
model of Earth's
climate.
«Over the past several years a clear
scientific consensus has emerged,» Cohen wrote in September 1982, reporting on Exxon's own analysis
of climate models.
Ironically, while some continue to attack this nearly decade - old work, the actual
scientific community has moved well beyond the earlier studies, focusing now on the detailed patterns
of modeled and reconstructed
climate changes in past centuries, and insights into the roles
of external forcing and internal modes
of variability (such as the North Atlantic Oscillation or «NAO» and the «El Nino / Southern Oscillation» or «ENSO») in explaining this past variability.
«Current
climate change
models greatly underestimate the amount
of methane being released by thawing permafrost in the Canadian Arctic, according to Canada's National Institute
of Scientific Research (INRS).
By now, enough
of the hard work
of measuring and
modeling has been done to provide high
scientific confidence that while we are and will affect the north Atlantic with
climate change, and this will have consequences, it is very unlikely that there will be a huge and abrupt change in the coming decades.
Building this ability will require careful monitoring
of climate conditions, improved
models for projecting changes, and the interpretation and synthesis
of scientific data using novel analysis techniques.
The coalition did, however, as the article reported, remove from an internal report by the
scientific advisory committee a section that said that «contrarian» theories
of why global temperatures appeared to be rising «do not offer convincing arguments against the conventional
model of greenhouse gas emission - induced
climate change.»
As some, the Creative Department at Porter Novelli, for example, have been putting a credible face on
climate models for 21 years or more, the
scientific input may be secondary, for as was remarked even earlier, with the advent
of television, advertising has become more important than products.
That said, the
scientific case is not helped at all when exaggerations are made by some
of the «green» movement, or by people who claim they understand the
climate science and then make dire predictions, probably well beyond the 90 % confidence limits derived from the actual
climate modelling.
Tuning
models principally to reproduce a short 30y segment
of uncertain
climate data and then extrapolating an exponential forcing 100y outside the data is not
scientific.
The current press campaign against Dr Soon began after he had co-authored a paper titled Why
models run hot: results from an irreducibly simple
climate model, published in January 2015 in China's leading learned journal
of scientific research, the Science Bulletin
of the Chinese Academy
of Sciences, co-sponsored by the National Natural Science Foundation
of China.
To start in, for the
scientific story, a good starting - point is the keystone essay on the basic discoveries about The Carbon Dioxide Greenhouse Effect, followed perhaps by attempts to explain changes with Simple
Models of Climate.
The challenges are significant, but the record
of progress suggests that within the next decade the
scientific community will develop fully coupled dynamical (prognostic)
models of the full Earth system (e.g., the coupled physical
climate, biogeochemical, human sub-systems) that can be employed on multi-decadal time - scales and at spatial scales relevant to strategic impact assessment.
Scientific robustness regarding
climate model ensembles is in the heart
of the project.
Thanks to a growing body
of scientific evidence and improved computer
models that can project
climate changes more accurately and in much finer detail, each report has proclaimed with greater and greater certainty that human activity is the main cause
of global warming.
This kind
of insufficient
scientific understanding is not a good basis for high confidence in the
climate model simulations and projections.
All these consistent
scientific results illustrate that the current
climate models used to predict future
climate are lacking important parts
of the physics»
The same observations and numerical tools that enable new
scientific discoveries have the potential to transform
modeling of the
climate system.
As I said in my reply to Wegman, ordinarily I would agree with him that science shouldn't be conducted through blogs, but in the case
of climate science an opinion about global warming in general, or the validity
of multiproxy reconstructions or
climate models in particular seems to constitute for some a political viewpoint that must be either trumpeted from the rooftops or suppressed by any means possible regardless
of its
scientific merit.
The
scientific focus is on better understanding
of climate variability and
climate trends using paleo (past)-
climate data, instrumental data, and numerical
models and theory to assess the importance
of internal and external forcing
of past, present and future
climate.
The truth is that ALEC has crafted
model legislation that misrepresents the science
of climate change and hosted prominent
climate science deniers at its conferences, and ALEC officials — including CEO Lisa Nelson — have refused to acknowledge or outright denied the
scientific consensus that burning fossil fuels and other human activities are causing
climate change.
«Consensus» Science Takes A Hit In 2017 During 2017, 485
scientific papers have been published that cast doubt on the position that anthropogenic CO2 emissions function as the
climate's fundamental control knob... or that otherwise question the efficacy
of climate models or the related «consensus» positions commonly endorsed by policymakers and mainstream media.