To understand potential impacts of climate change for societies and ecosystems,
scientists use scenarios to explore implications of a range of possible futures.
Not exact matches
The pure science of the theory NEVER says to «imagine» anything, though many
scientists speaking to a public not as well versed in science do
use metaphor, analogy, and imagined
scenarios to help people grasp the concept.
Computer
scientists are
used to dealing with hundreds or thousands of variables and running what - if
scenarios.
«People have imagined
scenarios where
scientists could
use CRISPR to generate a virulent pathogen,» he says.
Using statistically modeled maps drawn from satellite data and other sources, U.S. Geological Survey
scientists have projected that the near - surface permafrost that presently underlies 38 percent of boreal and arctic Alaska would be reduced by 16 to 24 percent by the end of the 21st century under widely accepted climate
scenarios.
But global CO2 emissions are still on track to meet or exceed the most extreme emissions
scenarios outlined by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change in its 2007 report, and by the
scenarios the panel will
use in the report it will release next year,
scientists with the Global Carbon Project said.
To better plan for potential effects due to climate change,
scientists using the North American Breeding Bird Survey and Audubon Christmas Bird Count employed correlative distribution modeling, to assess geographic range shifts for nearly 600 North American bird species during both the breeding and non-breeding seasons under a range of future climate change
scenarios through the end of the century.
I recently calculated hypothetical future temperatures by plugging different ECS values into a so - called energy balance model, which
scientists use to investigate possible climate
scenarios.
Scientists expect this doubling to occur later this century if nations continue to burn fossil fuels as they do now — the «business as usual»
scenario — instead of curtailing fossil - fuel
use.
Using research about genetically modified foods and trans fats, study participants were randomly assigned to evaluate one of 15 different partnership
scenarios that included varying combinations of
scientists from a university, a government agency, a non-governmental organization and a large food company.
The
scientists were able to
use a test
scenario in the Greenland Sea to demonstrate that ALES + returns water levels for ice - covered and open ocean regions which are significantly more precise than the results of previous evaluation methods.
The CyberMotion Simulator is a novel all - purpose motion simulator that provides
scientists the unique opportunity to test future
scenarios of
using virtual reality in flight while observing their behavior.
Genomic data enabled the
scientists to tell these two
scenarios apart, which would have changed the treatment philosophy
used — this would be difficult
using standard diagnostic methods.
In the present
scenario,
scientists can collaborate
using virtual platforms such as collaboration success wizard, In4Grants, and VIVO for sharing research ideas and generating strategies for securing international grants.
Scientists used modeling to simulate various growing
scenarios, and found a climate footprint ranging from -11 to 10 grams of carbon dioxide per mega-joule — the standard way of measuring greenhouse gas emissions.
Scientists have developed and
used Global Climate Models (GCMs) to simulate the global climate and make projections of future AT and other climatic variables under different carbon emission
scenarios in the 21st century.
«The findings of the study indicate that simple causal relationships between the evolution of brain size, tool
use and tooth size are unlikely to hold true when considering the complex
scenarios of hominin evolution and the extended time periods during which evolutionary change has occurred,» said Aida Gómez - Robles, lead author of the paper and a postdoctoral
scientist at GW's CASHP.
To understand how these sensitive butterflies might respond to future dry spells, the
scientists then
used different
scenarios of carbon dioxide emissions to predict the frequency of future droughts up to the year 2100.
By
using simulations that were created by running the same model multiple times, with only tiny differences in the initial starting conditions, the
scientists could examine the range of summertime temperatures we might expect in the future for the «business - as - usual» and reduced - emissions
scenarios.
On the high end, recent work suggests that 4 feet is plausible.23, 3,6,7,8 In the context of risk - based analysis, some decision makers may wish to
use a wider range of
scenarios, from 8 inches to 6.6 feet by 2100.10,2 In particular, the high end of these
scenarios may be useful for decision makers with a low tolerance for risk (see Figure 2.26 on global sea level rise).10, 2 Although
scientists can not yet assign likelihood to any particular
scenario, in general, higher emissions
scenarios that lead to more warming would be expected to lead to higher amounts of sea level rise.
Using scenarios that assume different clearing and reforestation rates, the
scientists modelled how many forest fragments can be expected by 2050.
«This work was a foundational reference case for the recently released RCP4.5 model
scenario, one of four
scenarios that will be
used by modeling groups around the globe to make realistic projections of future climate change,» said Dr. Steven J. Smith,
scientist at the Joint Global Change Research Institute, a partnership between PNNL and the University of Maryland, and lead research author.
Methods: A global collaboration of
scientists responded to a request from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, and generated a set of four
scenarios to represent future greenhouse gas emissions and land
use change.
Scientists demonstrate
scenarios for
using neutrino detectors in nuclear interim storage facilities...
Using stem cells, the
scientists created models of the disease in a dish that displayed different genetic
scenarios, identifying individual and shared defects that could inform treatment efforts.
Using lavish CGI, ten renowned
scientists from various fields sketch plausible
scenarios that include devastating firestorms, gigantic tsunamis, months of icy cold and darkness... Heightening the intensity of the human drama, a selection of individuals is portrayed coping with the wasteland that once was the Earth.
Thus, climate
scientists and energy - economic modelers have developed hundreds of plausible
scenarios of future emissions and
used them to identify emissions pathways that might achieve climate policy goals.
From the abstract: «The emission
scenarios used by the IPCC and by mainstream climate
scientists are largely derived from the predicted demand for fossil fuels, and in our view take insufficient consideration of the constrained emissions that are likely due to the depletion of these fuels.
Two University of British Columbia
scientists recently published a study calling into question
scientists»
use of the RCP 8.5
scenario.
As well as the groups mentioned above,
scenarios are
used extensively by
scientists, policy makers, NGOs and commentators as a common framework through which they can discuss climate change, exchange ideas and communicate with each other effectively.
Part 1 provides background to the
scenarios used by climate
scientists.
A study of the future global economy has concluded that the standard worst - case
scenario used by climate
scientists is actually not the worst case.
It is doubtful whether this rather routine task of running the
scenarios, which is undertaken only because IPCC asks for it, is an optimal
use of skilled GCM
scientists and massive supercomputer power.
I recently calculated hypothetical future temperatures by plugging different ECS values into a so - called energy balance model, which
scientists use to investigate possible climate
scenarios.
One common question should be, as inquiries and investigations occur, is whether the «science» was legitimate and merely
used by others for their own purposes or whether some
scientists themselves were involved directly and cooperatively in creating the
scenarios desired by partisan others in analogy to the supposedly independent, outside, accounting firms that vetted Enron.
The Global Calculator
uses data reviewed by international experts to look at
scenarios for meeting the 2C target, which
scientists say is needed to avoid dangerous climate change.
If our
use of the IPCC's own predictions of future CO2 growth on the A2
scenario, and its own equation for converting those predictions to equilibrium temperature, leads to predictions of temperature response that are different from those of the IPCC, then it may be that we are doing the sums wrong, in which case a true
scientist would point out what we are doing wrong.