Reichler and colleagues used weather observations and 4,000 years worth of supercomputer simulations of weather to show a surprising association between decade - scale, periodic changes in stratospheric wind patterns known as the polar vortex, and similar rhythmic changes in deep -
sea circulation patterns.
The effects on
sea circulation patterns and weather are complex and difficult to tease out from natural variation, requiring long - term observation.
Not exact matches
The researchers identified several key
circulation patterns that affected the winter temperatures from 1979 to 2013, particularly the Arctic Oscillation (a climate
pattern that circulates around the Arctic Ocean and tends to confine colder air to the polar latitudes) and a second
pattern they call Warm Arctic and Cold Eurasia (WACE), which they found correlates to
sea ice loss as well as to particularly strong winters.
Mori et al. identified two
circulation patterns that drove winter temperatures in Eurasia from 1979 to 2013: the Arctic Oscillation (which confines colder air to the polar latitudes) and a
pattern dubbed «Warm Arctic and Cold Eurasia» (WACE), which correlated both to
sea - ice loss in the Barents - Kara Sea and to particularly cold winters; its impact has more than doubled the probability of severe winters in central Euras
sea - ice loss in the Barents - Kara
Sea and to particularly cold winters; its impact has more than doubled the probability of severe winters in central Euras
Sea and to particularly cold winters; its impact has more than doubled the probability of severe winters in central Eurasia.
Ongoing changes in ocean
circulation patterns, which are helping to drive warm water from other parts of the
sea closer to the Antarctic continent, are also believed to be a major factor.
If there's anything more complicated than the global forces of thermal expansion, ice sheet melt and ocean
circulation that contribute to worldwide
sea - level rise, it might be the forces of real estate speculation and the race - based historical housing
patterns that color present - day gentrification in Miami.
At a global scale, the increased melting of the ice sheet contributes to rising
sea level and may impact global ocean
circulation patterns through the so - called «thermohaline
circulation'that sustains among others, the Gulf Stream, which keeps Europe warm.
Data collected by ship and model simulations suggest that increased Pacific Winter Water (PWW), driven by
circulation patterns and retreating
sea ice in the summer season, is primarily responsible for this OA expansion, according to Di Qi, the paper's lead author and a doctoral student of Liqi Chen, the lead PI in China.
The researchers warn, however, that the future evolution of the AMO remains uncertain, with many factors potentially affecting how it interacts with atmospheric
circulation patterns, such as Arctic
sea ice loss, changes in solar radiation, volcanic eruptions and concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.
«Our future studies will look to compare the role of the AMO compared to Arctic
sea ice anomalies, which have also been shown to affect atmospheric
circulation patterns and promote colder, more extreme winters.»
Researchers from the University of California Irvine have shown that a phenomenon known as the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO)-- a natural
pattern of variation in North Atlantic
sea surface temperatures that switches between a positive and negative phase every 60 - 70 years — can affect an atmospheric
circulation pattern, known as the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), that influences the temperature and precipitation over the Northern Hemisphere in winter.
The atmospheric
circulation response seems to be sensitive to the magnitude and geographic
pattern of
sea - ice loss and, in some cases, to the background climate state.
As discussed in the Climate chapter, large - scale atmospheric
circulation patterns connected to changes in
sea - surface temperatures strongly influence natural variations in precipitation and temperature (e.g., Cayan et al. 1999; Mantua and Hare 2002).
Glacial retreat affects ocean
circulation patterns, fisheries and global
sea level rise.
The assessment considered the impacts of several key drivers of climate change:
sea level change; alterations in precipitation
patterns and subsequent delivery of freshwater, nutrients, and sediment; increased ocean temperature; alterations in
circulation patterns; changes in frequency and intensity of coastal storms; and increased levels of atmospheric CO2.
Would somebody here, like to explain to me how we can lose Arctic
Sea ice (in part or in whole) without changing the atmospheric
circulation patterns?
«As the Arctic
sea - ice cover continues to disappear and the snow cover melts ever earlier over vast regions of Eurasia and North America, it is expected that large - scale
circulation patterns throughout the northern hemisphere will become increasingly influenced by Arctic Amplification.»
However, if the loss of Arctic
Sea ice has significantly changed global atmospheric
circulation patterns, then we are dealing with a different system that has only been in existence since 2007, and we do not know how often to expect crop failures.
«It is believed that in the late 1950s and early 1960s, freshwater and
sea ice accumulated in the Beaufort Gyre as a consequence of the prevailing Arctic atmospheric
circulation patterns (anti-cyclonic around an Arctic high pressure center.)
The reason is that the Holocene has a different
pattern of ocean
circulation with vigorous convection in the Greenland - Norwegian
Seas.
All climate models tell us that it is the Arctic
sea ice cover that declines first, and that Antarctic ice extent falls only later, and may even (as observed) temporarily increase in response to changing
patterns of atmospheric
circulation.
Water temperature, «
sea roughness», the changing
patterns of oceanic
circulation, and the use of carbon by marine creatures - all of these factors play up against one another.
Diminishing Arctic
sea ice can cause changes in atmospheric
circulation that lead to a
circulation pattern that is different than the «negative phase» of the Arctic Oscillation.
Shifting currents, increased freshwater input from melting
sea ice and glaciers, and changes in upper and lower
sea - level
circulation patterns are already occurring, and they'll progress rapidly if anthropogenic greenhouse gas emission continues under a business - as - usual scenario.
But, the flipside of this is that changes in the thermohaline
circulation patterns can alter local water densities, and hence local water volumes, i.e., local
sea levels.
Francis, who wasn't involved with either study, is one of the main proponents of an idea that by altering how much heat the ocean lets out,
sea ice melt and Arctic warming can also change atmospheric
circulation patterns, in particular by making the jet stream form larger peaks, or highs, and troughs, or lows.
The loss of Arctic
Sea ice could alter ocean
circulation patterns and trigger changes in global climate
patterns.
Even if it is assumed that 100 % of the recent global
sea level rise is caused by anthropogenic
sea level rise (an assumption that will be examined in Part II), local
sea level rise can be dominated by ocean
circulation patterns, land use practices and astronomical tides.
Climate change may cause changes in migratory
patterns, destroy habitat (particularly in nutrient - rich polar
seas), and drastically change ocean
circulation, vertical mixing and overall climate
patterns.
The loss of the normal ocean
circulation could cause drastic shifts in weather
patterns, and continued loss of ice in Greenland will lead to the continued rise in
sea level, threatening coastal cities around the globe.
Atmospheric -
circulation patterns in June — July were generally favorable for preservation of
sea ice, at least compared to the same period in summer 2007.
The deluge of fresh meltwater entering the
sea could also disrupt ocean
circulation patterns and harm marine organisms, members of this study's team added.
By examining the spatial
pattern of both types of climate variation, the scientists found that the anthropogenic global warming signal was relatively spatially uniform over the tropical oceans and thus would not have a large effect on the atmospheric
circulation, whereas the PDO shift in the 1990s consisted of warming in the tropical west Pacific and cooling in the subtropical and east tropical Pacific, which would enhance the existing
sea surface temperature difference and thus intensify the
circulation.
The report finds no proof to back up IPCC hysteria that blames CO2 for melting polar ice caps, rising
sea levels, disastrous changes in ocean
circulation, or calamitous differences in precipitation
patterns and river flows.
Two wind
patterns in the Indian Ocean, known as the Hadley
circulation and the Walker
circulation, interact with the Indo - Pacific warm pool to drive
sea level changes.
The Quaternary glacial history of the Arctic Ocean is characterized by the repeated build - up and decay of circum - Arctic ice sheets on the continental shelves, the development and disintegration of ice shelves, and related changes in ocean -
circulation patterns and
sea ice cover50, 51,52,53,54,55.
The climate models have gotten more complex, for sure, with thousands of estimated parameters for warming potential, vorticity,
circulation patterns, absorption of heat, pressure, energy, and momentum by various layers or atmosphere, land, ocean, and
sea - ice.
The air responds to a change in it's own resistor efficiency by changing it's own
circulation patterns to again meet the requirement that the surface air temperature and the
sea surface temperature be the same on average globally.
Ongoing changes in ocean
circulation patterns, which are helping to drive warm water from other parts of the
sea closer to the Antarctic continent, are also believed to be a major factor.
The large interannual to decadal hydroclimatic variability in winter precipitation is highly influenced by
sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the tropical Pacific Ocean and associated changes in large - scale atmospheric
circulation patterns [16].
This Section places particular emphasis on current knowledge of past changes in key climate variables: temperature, precipitation and atmospheric moisture, snow cover, extent of land and
sea ice,
sea level,
patterns in atmospheric and oceanic
circulation, extreme weather and climate events, and overall features of the climate variability.
This trend is expected to continue and has implications for hydropower production, ocean
circulation patterns, fisheries, and global
sea level rise.
Figure 1 shows the
pattern of
circulation reversals that relates to the differences referenced in Koerner's 1973 paper (which is titled The Mass Balance of the
Sea Ice of the Arctic Ocean).
Scientists have recently observed major changes in these glaciers: several have broken up at the ocean end (the terminus), and many have doubled the speed at which they are retreating.2, 5 This has meant a major increase in the amount of ice and water they discharge into the ocean, contributing to
sea - level rise, which threatens low - lying populations.2, 3,5 Accelerated melting also adds freshwater to the oceans, altering ecosystems and changing ocean
circulation and regional weather
patterns.7 (See Greenland ice sheet hotspot for more information.)
In the Beaufort and Chukchi
seas, ice distribution mimicks the Beaufort Gyre
circulation pattern with advection of ice from the high Canadian Arctic into the Beaufort
Sea and export of ice northward in the Chukchi
Sea.
This report discusses our current understanding of the mechanisms that link declines in Arctic
sea ice cover, loss of high - latitude snow cover, changes in Arctic - region energy fluxes, atmospheric
circulation patterns, and the occurrence of extreme weather events; possible implications of more severe loss of summer Arctic
sea ice upon weather
patterns at lower latitudes; major gaps in our understanding, and observational and / or modeling efforts that are needed to fill those gaps; and current opportunities and limitations for using Arctic
sea ice predictions to assess the risk of temperature / precipitation anomalies and extreme weather events over northern continents.
USCG Station Sandy Hook is situated within an East Coast hot spot of rising
seas, where natural subsidence, low - lying topography, and changing ocean
circulation patterns contribute to above - average
sea level rise.
Some cooling on the EAIS also appears to be connected with the ABS
sea ice trends, likely through organized
patterns of atmospheric
circulation changes.
Regional
circulation patterns have significantly changed in recent years.2 For example, changes in the Arctic Oscillation can not be explained by natural variation and it has been suggested that they are broadly consistent with the expected influence of human - induced climate change.3 The signature of global warming has also been identified in recent changes in the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, a
pattern of variability in
sea surface temperatures in the northern Pacific Ocean.4
The activity in the Greenland
Sea is part of a global
pattern of ocean movement, known as thermohaline
circulation, or more commonly the «global conveyor belt.»