AMSR - E
sea ice concentration on 30 August.
Arctic
sea ice concentration on 10 June 2014.
Monthly sections of salinity and temperature shown with
sea ice concentration on the date of deployment.
HadISST is a unique combination of monthly globally - complete fields of SST and
sea ice concentration on a 1 degree latitude - longitude grid from 1870 to date.
Not exact matches
All this cold water being released into the ocean has a significant impact
on the formation of
sea ice, resulting in higher rates of
sea ice concentration around Antarctica.
Climate alarm depends
on several gloomy assumptions — about how fast emissions will increase, how fast atmospheric
concentrations will rise, how much global temperatures will rise, how warming will affect
ice sheet dynamics and
sea - level rise, how warming will affect weather patterns, how the latter will affect agriculture and other economic activities, and how all climate change impacts will affect public health and welfare.
A threshold h applied
on the (thickness Feb = Mar
concentration Sept) field yields the predicted September extent after the regression with the past four years of
sea ice extent observations.
WMO will issue its full Statement
on the State of the Climate in 2017 in March which will provide a comprehensive overview of temperature variability and trends, high - impact events, and long - term indicators of climate change such as increasing carbon dioxide
concentrations, Arctic and Antarctic
sea ice,
sea level rise and ocean acidification.
Left figure: April
ice extent defined as 30 %
ice concentration in the Greenland
Sea / Fram Strait and Barents
Sea based
on passive microwave data (red = April 2012, orange = mean April 1999 - 2008, purple = mean April 1980 - 1999, green = mean April 1979 - 2008).
Right figure: May
ice extent defined as 30 %
ice concentration in the Greenland
Sea / Fram Strait and Barents
Sea based
on passive microwave data (red = May 2012, orange = mean May 1999 - 2008, purple = mean May 1980 - 1999, green = mean May 1979 - 2008)(Gerland et al.).
Based
on February / March SMOS
sea ice thickness and September SSMI
sea ice concentration we provide a heuristic / statistical guesstimate for the 2015 September
sea ice extent: 3.6 + / - 0.7.
Zhang and Lindsay, 4.3 ± 0.8, Model The forecasting system is based
on a synthesis of a model, the NCEP / NCAR reanalysis data, and satellite observations of
ice concentration and
sea surface temperature.
May
ice extent defined as the 30 %
ice concentration in the Greenland
Sea / Fram Strait and Barents
Sea based
on the Norwegian
ice charts (blue = 2013, red = 2012, orange = 2011, green = 2010, yellow = 2009).
The
ice age product is based
on a 15 %
sea ice concentration threshold to be consistent with the threshold used for mapping overall
sea ice extent.
Another simulation incorporated prescribed
sea ice loss in autumn and winter based
on satellite - derived Arctic
sea ice concentrations.
I have downloaded the HADISST
ice data and computed
sea ice extent for both the arctic and antarctic (based
on 15 %
concentration to be consistent with NSIDC data from the satellite era).
One of the difficulties using charts based
on in situ observations is that there was very little exploration poleward of the «marginal
ice zone» (the area of partial
sea ice cover near the
ice edge), so in older reconstructions the
ice concentration was often assumed to be 100 % beyond the marginal zone.
The BRT then manufactured an untested
sea -
ice threshold based solely
on circumstantial evidence to assert whelping and nursing required
sea ice concentrations over 25 %.
The OSI SAF team focuses
on scatterometer winds (and soon microwave winds),
Sea Surface Temperature (SST) and sea Ice Surface Temperature (IST), radiative fluxes: Solar Surface Irradiance (SSI) and Downward Longwave Irradiance (DLI), sea ice concentration, edge, type, emissivity, dri
Sea Surface Temperature (SST) and
sea Ice Surface Temperature (IST), radiative fluxes: Solar Surface Irradiance (SSI) and Downward Longwave Irradiance (DLI), sea ice concentration, edge, type, emissivity, dri
sea Ice Surface Temperature (IST), radiative fluxes: Solar Surface Irradiance (SSI) and Downward Longwave Irradiance (DLI), sea ice concentration, edge, type, emissivity, dri
Ice Surface Temperature (IST), radiative fluxes: Solar Surface Irradiance (SSI) and Downward Longwave Irradiance (DLI),
sea ice concentration, edge, type, emissivity, dri
sea ice concentration, edge, type, emissivity, dri
ice concentration, edge, type, emissivity, drift.
Ice extent (monthly means, April) southern border of 30 % ice concentration, in the Greenland Sea / Fram Strait and Barents Sea, based on passive microwave satellite data (red = April 2011, orange = April 2010, green = April 2009, blue = April 200
Ice extent (monthly means, April) southern border of 30 %
ice concentration, in the Greenland Sea / Fram Strait and Barents Sea, based on passive microwave satellite data (red = April 2011, orange = April 2010, green = April 2009, blue = April 200
ice concentration, in the Greenland
Sea / Fram Strait and Barents
Sea, based
on passive microwave satellite data (red = April 2011, orange = April 2010, green = April 2009, blue = April 2008).
Using a statistical model based
on winter near - global
sea surface temperatures, Tivy shows high
concentrations of
ice remaining throughout the NWP region.
2012's
sea ice area and extent were already trending low this year, but damage done to the thin and low
concentration of
ice by this storm almost ensures that 2012 will eclipse 2007 in all categories as the lowest
sea ice on record by the time the September low is set.
Using a statistical model based
on canonical correlation analysis with fall
sea surface temperature anomalies in the North Atlantic as the main predictor, Tivy shows below - normal
ice concentrations throughout most of the region (Figure 12), which suggests an earlier - than - normal opening of the shipping season.
It is based
on observations of cloud cover,
sea -
ice concentration, and top - of - atmosphere broadband albedo.
Based
on proxy records from
ice, terrestrial and marine archives, the LIG is characterized by an atmospheric CO2
concentration of about 290 ppm, i.e., similar to the pre-industrial (PI) value13, mean air temperatures in Northeast Siberia that were about 9 °C higher than today14, air temperatures above the Greenland NEEM
ice core site of about 8 ± 4 °C above the mean of the past millennium15, North Atlantic
sea - surface temperatures of about 2 °C higher than the modern (PI) temperatures12, 16, and a global
sea level 5 — 9 m above the present
sea level17.
During the late LIG (120 ka),
on the other hand, September
sea ice concentrations seems to have been quite similar to the PI (Fig. 4).
That's when from one day to the next large swathes of
ice disappear
on the University of Bremen
sea ice concentration maps.
Core PS2757 - 8 is located
on the southern Lomonosov Ridge close to the Laptev
Sea continental margin, an area that is predominantly covered by sea ice (Fig. 1; 7/10 summer sea ice concentration) but may occasionally be even ice - free during summ
Sea continental margin, an area that is predominantly covered by
sea ice (Fig. 1; 7/10 summer sea ice concentration) but may occasionally be even ice - free during summ
sea ice (Fig. 1; 7/10 summer
sea ice concentration) but may occasionally be even ice - free during summ
sea ice concentration) but may occasionally be even
ice - free during summer.
The forecasting system is based
on a synthesis of a model, the NCEP / NCAR reanalysis data, and satellite observations of
ice concentration and
sea surface temperature.
Smik, L., Cabedo - Sanz & Belt, S. T. Semi-quantitative estimates of paleo Arctic
sea ice concentration based
on source - specific highly branched isoprenoid alkenes: a further development of the PIP25 index.
Zhang and Lindsay, 5.1 (± 0.4), Modeling Our seasonal prediction focuses not only
on the total Arctic
sea ice extent and
ice concentration field, but also
on ice thickness field and
ice edge location.
Kaleschke and Tian - Kunze, 3.6 (± 0.7), Heuristic / Statistical (same as June) Based
on February / March SMOS
sea ice thickness and September SSMI
sea ice concentration we provide a heuristic / statistical guesstimate for the 2015 September
sea ice extent: 3.6 (± 0.7) million km2.
Because of the importance of initial conditions for the
sea ice state, more work is needed
on remote sensing retrieval and interpretation of spring and summer
ice concentrations and
ice conditions, even if the present operational algorithms are not changed.
Wang, 5.0 (± 0.27), Modeling A projected September Arctic
sea ice extent of 5.0 million km2 is based
on a NCEP ensemble mean CFSv2 forecast initialized from the NCEP Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR) that assimilates observed
sea ice concentrations and other atmospheric and oceanic observations.
«Impacts of Assimilating Satellite
Sea Ice Concentration and Thickness
on Arctic
Sea Ice Prediction in the NCEP Climate Forecast System» J. Climate 0, (https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0093.1).
The forecast is based
on ice age,
sea ice concentration, 925hPa temperatures, and the Arctic Oscillation Index.
Because of the importance of initial conditions for the
sea ice state, more work is needed
on remote sensing retrieval and interpretation of spring and summer
ice concentrations and
ice condition, even if the present operational algorithms are not changed.
Method: Daily updated statistical regression based
on sea ice concentration derived from 85 GHz SSM / I data.
Instead, we are interested in isolating the role of
sea ice thickness
on the atmosphere and quantifying its contribution compared to
sea ice concentration.
---- Doddridge and Marshall, 2017 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2017GL074319/abstract Through analysis of remotely - sensed
sea surface temperature (SST) and
sea ice concentration data we investigate the impact of winds related to the Southern Annular Mode (SAM)
on sea ice extent around Antarctica.
The mean
ice concentration anomaly for June 2013 is 0.9 x 106 square kilometers greater than June 2012, however Arctic
sea ice thicknesses and volumes continue to remain the lowest
on record.
Earlier studies have predominately focused
on the loss of
sea ice concentration (fraction of
ice within an area) and therefore the total
sea ice extent (Fig. 1).
June
ice extent defined as the 30 %
ice concentration in the Greenland
Sea / Fram Strait and Barents
Sea based
on the Norwegian
ice charts (blue = 2013, red = 2012, orange = 2011, green = 2010, yellow = 2009).
Petty (NASA - GSFC / UMD), 4.12 (± 0.30), Statistical Based
on an analysis of June
sea ice concentration data provided by the NSIDC (NASA Team), I forecast a 2016 September Arctic
sea ice extent of 4.12 + / - 0.30 million km2.
NMEFC of China (Li and Li), 4.02 (3.10 - 4.57), Statistical We predict the September monthly average
sea ice extent of Arctic by statistic method and based on monthly sea ice concentration and extent from National Snow and Ice Data Cent
ice extent of Arctic by statistic method and based
on monthly
sea ice concentration and extent from National Snow and Ice Data Cent
ice concentration and extent from National Snow and
Ice Data Cent
Ice Data Center.
Sea ice concentration reached a new record low in mid-Sept 2012 based
on NSIDC data.
Just a short list: — you go
on and
on about SMB causing a net reduction of
sea level in Antarctica (and sometimes Greenland), completely ignoring that SMB is not the total
ice mass balance — you routinely mentioned that human emissions aren't increasing the CO2
concentration because those emissions didn't increase for several years in a row, but
concentration did.
Sea ice concentration, which is independently measured and well observed by passive microwave satellite sensors, gives additional important information
on changes in the Antarctic environment.
Any field - or ship - based updates
on ice conditions in the different regions such as
sea ice morphology (e.g.,
concentration,
ice type, floe size, thickness, snow cover, melt pond characteristics, topography), meteorology (surface measurements) and oceanography (e.g., temperature, salinity, upper ocean temperature).
Top row (a — c): Regressions of the leading detrended Z850 PC timeseries with anomalies in continental Antarctic temperature from M10 (colors
on Antarctic land),
sea ice concentration (colors over ocean; (note the
sea ice colorscale is reversed with respect to the temperature colorscale), and geopotential height (contours).