I think the claim that there are no reliable
sea ice extent data before 1978 is a lie.
That's an oversight that I intend to rectify, starting with a dissection of Solomon's recent misrepresentation of the latest Arctic
sea ice extent data, said to «augur» coming «global cooling».
Featuring large in the misrepresentated data is the laughable attempt by Tony Heller to graft on satellite
Sea Ice Extent data onto Vinnikov et al (1980) Figure 5 (or more exactly Hoffert & Flannery (1985) fig 5.2).
For the July report we have applied the same analysis for two different
sea ice extent data sets: 1) Bremen University (IUP) and 2) National Snow & Ice Data Center (NSIDC).
Sea ice extent data, however, has become skewed due to the strong downward trend in ice extent, with a wider spread of values and more values falling at the low end of the range.
Much has been made of the fact that the April 2010
sea ice extent data released by the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) were near the long - term climatological average (Figure 4).
The diagrams below show
sea ice extent data since 1979.
[17] Before the advent of satellite - based imagery in 1973, sea ice concentration data for the Antarctic are not available, and
sea ice extent data are not readily available for indi - vidual months, seasons or years, although some visible and infrared data do exist for 1966 — 1972 [Zwally et al., 1983] and some undigitized charts reside in national archives (e.g., V. Smolyanitsky, personal communication, 2002).
Not exact matches
In an analysis, the National Snow and
Ice Data Center said the sea ice extent as of Sept. 16 was 2 million square miles, an amount just below revised estimates for 2009, the former sixth place finisher, said Julienen Stroeve, a scientist at the cent
Ice Data Center said the
sea ice extent as of Sept. 16 was 2 million square miles, an amount just below revised estimates for 2009, the former sixth place finisher, said Julienen Stroeve, a scientist at the cent
ice extent as of Sept. 16 was 2 million square miles, an amount just below revised estimates for 2009, the former sixth place finisher, said Julienen Stroeve, a scientist at the center.
Arctic: The average Arctic
sea ice extent for August was 2.40 million square miles, 390,000 square miles (13.9 percent) below the 1981 - 2010 average and the seventh smallest August extent since records began in 1979 but the largest since 2009, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Cent
ice extent for August was 2.40 million square miles, 390,000 square miles (13.9 percent) below the 1981 - 2010 average and the seventh smallest August
extent since records began in 1979 but the largest since 2009, according to the National Snow and
Ice Data Cent
Ice Data Center.
Since then, its ten instruments have supplied
data on environmental factors such as air quality, the
extent of Arctic
sea ice and oil spills.
According to the
data, September
sea ice extent from 1979 to 2013 has declined 13.7 percent per decade.
An image of an area of the Arctic
sea ice pack well north of Alaska, captured by the MODIS instrument on NASA's Aqua satellite on Sept. 13, 2013, the day before the National Snow and Ice Data Center estimated Arctic sea ice to have reached its minimum extent for the ye
ice pack well north of Alaska, captured by the MODIS instrument on NASA's Aqua satellite on Sept. 13, 2013, the day before the National Snow and
Ice Data Center estimated Arctic sea ice to have reached its minimum extent for the ye
Ice Data Center estimated Arctic
sea ice to have reached its minimum extent for the ye
ice to have reached its minimum
extent for the year.
According to a NASA analysis of satellite
data, the 2015 Arctic
sea ice minimum
extent is the fourth lowest on record since observations from space began.
In contrast, the Scripps team opted to directly correlate albedo measurements made by NASA's CERES instrument
data with observations of
sea ice extent made by the Special Sensor Microwave Imager (SSM / I) radiometers aboard Defense Meteorological Satellite Program satellites.
This year,
sea ice in the Arctic reached its smallest maximum extent since satellites began tracking polar ice patterns, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center, while scientists have also forecast ice - free Arctic summers in two to three decades (ClimateWire, July 16, 201
ice in the Arctic reached its smallest maximum
extent since satellites began tracking polar
ice patterns, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center, while scientists have also forecast ice - free Arctic summers in two to three decades (ClimateWire, July 16, 201
ice patterns, according to the National Snow and
Ice Data Center, while scientists have also forecast ice - free Arctic summers in two to three decades (ClimateWire, July 16, 201
Ice Data Center, while scientists have also forecast
ice - free Arctic summers in two to three decades (ClimateWire, July 16, 201
ice - free Arctic summers in two to three decades (ClimateWire, July 16, 2013).
The more
data scientists can gather about Antarctic
sea ice, the more they can unpick why climate models struggle to accurately predict its
extent.
Antarctic
sea ice extent reached a record high this year on 22 September, topping 20 million square kilometers for the first time since 1979, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Cent
ice extent reached a record high this year on 22 September, topping 20 million square kilometers for the first time since 1979, according to the National Snow and
Ice Data Cent
Ice Data Center.
A: The National Snow and
Ice Data Center (NSIDC) announced this week that the sea ice surrounding Antarctica reached its maximum extent — its widest halo around the continent — in 2014 on 22 September: more than 20 million square kilometers, which also set a record for the highest extent of sea ice around the continent since satellite measurements began in the late 197
Ice Data Center (NSIDC) announced this week that the
sea ice surrounding Antarctica reached its maximum extent — its widest halo around the continent — in 2014 on 22 September: more than 20 million square kilometers, which also set a record for the highest extent of sea ice around the continent since satellite measurements began in the late 197
ice surrounding Antarctica reached its maximum
extent — its widest halo around the continent — in 2014 on 22 September: more than 20 million square kilometers, which also set a record for the highest
extent of
sea ice around the continent since satellite measurements began in the late 197
ice around the continent since satellite measurements began in the late 1970s.
The warmth made daily
sea ice extents average about 232,000 square miles smaller than during any May in the 38 years scientists have been gathering
data using satellites.
The
extent of global
sea ice coverage reached its smallest area ever recorded in 2016, new
data show.
Sea ice extent was 402,000 square miles below average, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Cent
ice extent was 402,000 square miles below average, according to the National Snow and
Ice Data Cent
Ice Data Center.
According to the latest Piomas
data, a combination of the smallest
sea ice extent and the second - thinnest
ice cover on record puts total volume of
sea ice in November 2016 at a record low for this time of year.
Just look at the plots taken from CMIP4 and CMIP5 models when they are compared with measured
extents from NSIDC
data then tell us where you would place your bet for a summer free of
sea ice.
The average Arctic
sea ice extent for November 2016 was 750,000 square miles (17.7 percent) below the 1981 — 2010 average, according to analysis by the National Snow and Ice Data Center using data from NOAA and NA
ice extent for November 2016 was 750,000 square miles (17.7 percent) below the 1981 — 2010 average, according to analysis by the National Snow and
Ice Data Center using data from NOAA and NA
Ice Data Center using data from NOAA and N
Data Center using
data from NOAA and N
data from NOAA and NASA.
On September 10, Arctic
sea ice reached its annual minimum extent at 1.60 million square miles, statistically tying 2007 as the second smallest extent in the 1979 — 2016 satellite record, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Cent
ice reached its annual minimum
extent at 1.60 million square miles, statistically tying 2007 as the second smallest
extent in the 1979 — 2016 satellite record, according to the National Snow and
Ice Data Cent
Ice Data Center.
The
data presented here indicate that the area of undersaturation presently extends to approximately 20 % of the Canadian Basin in the late summer months, when
sea ice is near its minimum
extent.
The average Arctic
sea ice extent for October 2016 was 980,000 square miles (28.5 percent) below the 1981 — 2010 average, according to analysis by the National Snow and Ice Data Center using data from NOAA and NA
ice extent for October 2016 was 980,000 square miles (28.5 percent) below the 1981 — 2010 average, according to analysis by the National Snow and
Ice Data Center using data from NOAA and NA
Ice Data Center using data from NOAA and N
Data Center using
data from NOAA and N
data from NOAA and NASA.
The average Arctic
sea ice extent for December was 4.67 million square miles, according to analysis by the National Snow and Ice Data Center based on data from NOAA and NA
ice extent for December was 4.67 million square miles, according to analysis by the National Snow and
Ice Data Center based on data from NOAA and NA
Ice Data Center based on data from NOAA and N
Data Center based on
data from NOAA and N
data from NOAA and NASA.
For other indicators — glacial retreat,
sea level, arctic
ice extent, etc. — the
data is equally noisy, and it is difficult having a sensible discussion without the inevitable cherry - picking on both sides of the argument.
Although you really can't check this assertion since the
data is not really available anywhere — the Cryosphere has some charts of
sea ice area but where are the numbers — where are the
sea ice extent numbers.
The latest
data by NSIDC for Arctic
sea ice extent shows that 2008
ice coverage has fallen to 2007 levels for the end of May:
Other
data sets such as ocean heat content,
sea ice extent, whatever, are not sufficiently mature or long - range (see Climate
data records: maturity matrix).
Sea ice data prior to the satellite data is severely lacking, such that these types of attempts are used to recreate the extent of the sea ice as best we c
Sea ice data prior to the satellite
data is severely lacking, such that these types of attempts are used to recreate the
extent of the
sea ice as best we c
sea ice as best we can.
Just look at the plots taken from CMIP4 and CMIP5 models when they are compared with measured
extents from NSIDC
data then tell us where you would place your bet for a summer free of
sea ice.
Yes, I believe that the Walsh & Chapman reconstruction of
sea ice extent uses such
data.
Using comprehensive
data sets of observations made between 1979 and 2001 of
sea ice thickness, draft,
extent, and speeds, we find that it is possible to tune model parameters to give satisfactory agreement with observed
data, thereby highlighting the skill of modern
sea ice models, though the parameter values chosen differ according to the model forcing used.
Further signs of this warming trend can be seen in the Northern Hemisphere
Sea Ice Extent from the National Snow and
Ice Data Center.
Using
extent data up to 2010, they do not directly address the claim that the decline of
extent in Arctic
Sea Ice is linear vs the claim that it is accelerating.
If you plot the average Arctic
Sea Ice extent for 20 years, the you should also plot the monthly maximum and minimum values on the same figure so that we can get some perspective on where the 2007 and 2008
data falls in the context of annual variability, or examine for trends.
So, I was curious about your recent paper and whether there was any discussion of changes in the THC poleward of the GIS shelf vs the
data from the RAPID program line located at 26.5 N. With the decline in minimum
extent and volume of
sea -
ice, one might expect to see more THC sinking into the Arctic Ocean, with consequences for both climate and weather.
The IPCC said:»
Ice extent data from Russian sources have recently been published (Polyakov et al., 2003), and cover essentially the entire 20th century for the Russian coastal
seas (Kara, Laptev, East Siberian and Chukchi).
Updated, July 23, 1:40 p.m. A new study of methods used to track Antarctic
sea ice trends has raised important questions about whether recent increases in
ice there are, to a significant
extent, an illusion created by flawed analysis of
data collected by a series of satellites.
ScienceDaily (Oct. 3, 2008)-- Arctic
sea ice extent during the 2008 melt season dropped to the second - lowest level since satellite measurements began in 1979, reaching the lowest point in its annual cycle of melt and growth on Sept. 14, according to researchers at the University of Colorado at Boulder's National Snow and Ice Data Center.&raq
ice extent during the 2008 melt season dropped to the second - lowest level since satellite measurements began in 1979, reaching the lowest point in its annual cycle of melt and growth on Sept. 14, according to researchers at the University of Colorado at Boulder's National Snow and
Ice Data Center.&raq
Ice Data Center.»
The National Snow and
Ice Data Center released its summary of summer sea - ice conditions in the Arctic on Tuesday, noting a substantial expansion of the extent of «second - year ice» — floes thick enough to have persisted through two summers of melti
Ice Data Center released its summary of summer
sea -
ice conditions in the Arctic on Tuesday, noting a substantial expansion of the extent of «second - year ice» — floes thick enough to have persisted through two summers of melti
ice conditions in the Arctic on Tuesday, noting a substantial expansion of the
extent of «second - year
ice» — floes thick enough to have persisted through two summers of melti
ice» — floes thick enough to have persisted through two summers of melting.
In March 2017, the annual maximum
extent of Arctic
sea ice hit a record low for the third straight year, according to the US National Snow and Ice Data Cent
ice hit a record low for the third straight year, according to the US National Snow and
Ice Data Cent
Ice Data Centre.
Figure 3: National Snow and
Ice Data Center (NSIDC) Antarctic, Arctic, and global (sum of the two) sea ice extents with linear tren
Ice Data Center (NSIDC) Antarctic, Arctic, and global (sum of the two)
sea ice extents with linear tren
ice extents with linear trends.
Canadian
Ice Service, 4.7, Multiple Methods As with CIS contributions in June 2009, 2010, and 2011, the 2012 forecast was derived using a combination of three methods: 1) a qualitative heuristic method based on observed end - of - winter arctic ice thicknesses and extents, as well as an examination of Surface Air Temperature (SAT), Sea Level Pressure (SLP) and vector wind anomaly patterns and trends; 2) an experimental Optimal Filtering Based (OFB) Model, which uses an optimal linear data filter to extrapolate NSIDC's September Arctic Ice Extent time series into the future; and 3) an experimental Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) prediction system that tests ocean, atmosphere and sea ice predicto
Ice Service, 4.7, Multiple Methods As with CIS contributions in June 2009, 2010, and 2011, the 2012 forecast was derived using a combination of three methods: 1) a qualitative heuristic method based on observed end - of - winter arctic
ice thicknesses and extents, as well as an examination of Surface Air Temperature (SAT), Sea Level Pressure (SLP) and vector wind anomaly patterns and trends; 2) an experimental Optimal Filtering Based (OFB) Model, which uses an optimal linear data filter to extrapolate NSIDC's September Arctic Ice Extent time series into the future; and 3) an experimental Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) prediction system that tests ocean, atmosphere and sea ice predicto
ice thicknesses and
extents, as well as an examination of Surface Air Temperature (SAT),
Sea Level Pressure (SLP) and vector wind anomaly patterns and trends; 2) an experimental Optimal Filtering Based (OFB) Model, which uses an optimal linear data filter to extrapolate NSIDC's September Arctic Ice Extent time series into the future; and 3) an experimental Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) prediction system that tests ocean, atmosphere and sea ice predicto
Sea Level Pressure (SLP) and vector wind anomaly patterns and trends; 2) an experimental Optimal Filtering Based (OFB) Model, which uses an optimal linear
data filter to extrapolate NSIDC's September Arctic
Ice Extent time series into the future; and 3) an experimental Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) prediction system that tests ocean, atmosphere and sea ice predicto
Ice Extent time series into the future; and 3) an experimental Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) prediction system that tests ocean, atmosphere and
sea ice predicto
sea ice predicto
ice predictors.
(08/10/2011) Average Arctic
sea ice extent hit a new record low for July according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSID
ice extent hit a new record low for July according to the National Snow and
Ice Data Center (NSID
Ice Data Center (NSIDC).
The National Snow and
Ice Data Center predicts this year's minimum summer sea ice extent won't break the record set in 20
Ice Data Center predicts this year's minimum summer
sea ice extent won't break the record set in 20
ice extent won't break the record set in 2012.