Is wintertime Antarctic
sea ice increasing or decreasing?
Also relevent is the question of why is
sea ice increasing / decreasing.
Indeed, the record - breaking losses in the past couple of years could easily be due to natural fluctuations in the weather, with summer
sea ice increasing again over the next few years.
So what does this all mean and why was
the sea ice increasing despite global warming?
When the model held the polar winds at a constant level,
the sea ice increased only 20 percent as much.
As the Trump administration advances plans to open up the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge and the offshore waters of Alaska to drilling — and as decreasing
sea ice increases options of Arctic drilling — that could mean an increase in black carbon.
A map of
the sea ice increase from the same month last year Increase twice the size of Germany: «colder weather» to blame.
When the polar regions cool the amount of
sea ice increases.
To pick three, he says the world is cooling, Arctic
sea ice increased 60 percent over last year at this time, and the International Panel on Climate Change is under so much attack they had to hold a «crisis» meeting.
Could you also give a method that results in global net
sea ice increase over a meaningful time period?
So just as more cold and more warmth are both evidence of AGW so is Arctic sea ice decline proof of AGW and Antarctic
sea ice increases are also proof of AGW.
Conversely, during low solar activity during the Little Ice Age, transport of warm water was reduced by 10 % and Arctic
sea ice increased.17 Although it is not a situation I would ever hope for, if history repeats itself, then natural climate dynamics of the past suggest, the current drop in the sun's output will produce a similar cooler climate, and it will likely be detected first as a slow down in the poleward transport of ocean heat.22 Should we prepare for this possibility?
Worse, my jaw dropped when I heard Rep. McKinley claim that Arctic
sea ice increased by 60 % from last year to this year, a false figure he apparently got from a typo in a bad newspaper article!
If dynamic forces led to the Arctic sea ice decline and lead to an Arctic
sea ice increase, we should expect a reversion to the mean in temperatures (that is, cooling).
«
Sea ice increases in Antarctica do not make up for the accelerated Arctic sea ice loss of the last decades, a new NASA study finds.
The volume of Arctic
sea ice increased by around a third after an unusually cool summer in 2013.
For example, as I pointed out in the data I cited,
the sea ice increased by a couple of percent from 1995 - 2002.
Observed effects include sea surface cooling and
sea ice increase in the Southern Ocean around Antarctica and cooling in the North Atlantic.
As in the example of Nordic
Sea Ice increases.
Earlier data are scarce, but past research has suggested that Arctic
sea ice increased between about 1950 and 1975.
For 8 months of the year, reduced arctic
sea ice increases heat loss from the Arctic Ocean due to increased convection, conduction, and evaporation and radiation losses.
The models that investigated whether ozone depletion could be causing
sea ice increase predict a cooling interior — that's how they drive the SAM.
Thus, loss of
sea ice INCREASES heat loss from the Arctic Ocean, and provides a net COOLING of the air and water in the Arctic Ocean.
But there were already papers proclaiming that Antarctic
sea ice increase was due to dynamics.
Not exact matches
That half a degree is the difference between low - lying island states surviving, or Arctic
ice remaining over the North Pole in summer, or increasing the risk of losing the Western Antarctic Ice Sheet or Greenland ice sheet (either one of which implies an eight - metre sea level ris
ice remaining over the North Pole in summer, or
increasing the risk of losing the Western Antarctic
Ice Sheet or Greenland ice sheet (either one of which implies an eight - metre sea level ris
Ice Sheet or Greenland
ice sheet (either one of which implies an eight - metre sea level ris
ice sheet (either one of which implies an eight - metre
sea level rise.)
The second cause of
sea level
increase is the melting of land
ice — such as glaciers and
ice sheets.
Indeed, Arctic change in the last two decades has been profound — not just dwindling
sea ice, but also noticeably
increased precipitation, and thus snow cover, over Eurasia.
«Such warming could cause accelerated melting of glacial
ice and a consequent
increase in the
sea level of several feet over the next century,» she told a meeting of the UK's Royal Society.
This water pump can be put out of action or weakened by changes in the freshwater pressure, the
ice sheet breaking up or shifting
sea ice and this results in the
increasing climatic variability.
As glaciologist Richard Alley of Pennsylvania State University notes: «The
ice sheet is losing mass, this loss has
increased over time, [and] it is not the dominant term in
sea - level rise — but it matters.»
Substantial reductions in the extent of Arctic
sea ice since 1978 (2.7 ± 0.6 percent per decade in the annual average, 7.4 ± 2.4 percent per decade for summer),
increases in permafrost temperatures and reductions in glacial extent globally and in Greenland and Antarctic
ice sheets have also been observed in recent decades.
The result: Surface temperatures
increased rapidly, especially in the Arctic, which saw its September
sea ice cover shrink by 25 percent.
An
increasing body of research reveals that these weather events can be linked to loss of
sea ice in the Arctic, said Charles Greene, professor of earth and atmospheric sciences at Cornell University, who contributed to the article.
Sea ice - associated decline in body condition leads to
increased concentrations of lipophilic pollutants in polar bears (Ursus maritimus) from Svalbard, Norway.
Consequently we will see
increase in the
ice - sheet contribution to global
sea - level rise.
The
increase in the amount of water vapor could be related to the decline in
sea ice, they say.
That could drastically
increase the rate of
ice release and the speed of
sea - level rise.
Although the
ice cover has
increased over the past few years, the Arctic's
sea ice is now much thinner than it was just a few years ago, making it more vulnerable to future warming.
After further analysis of the data, the scientists found that although a strong El Niño changes wind patterns in West Antarctica in a way that promotes flow of warm ocean waters towards the
ice shelves to
increase melting from below, it also
increases snowfall particularly along the Amundsen
Sea sector.
Rising
sea levels are certain in a warming world, but there is still substantial uncertainty about the extent of the
increase in this century, mainly because the dynamics that could erode the
ice sheets of Greenland and Antarctica remain poorly understood.
Climate sceptics point to
increased sightings by indigenous Canadian communities, though that could be due to declines in
sea ice driving the animals ashore.
«One societally relevant implication is that more storminess probably means more erosion of Arctic coastlines, especially in tandem with declines in buffering
sea ice cover and
increases in thawing coastal permafrost,» concluded Dr. Vavrus.
«As Arctic
sea ice recedes due to climate change, there is
increasing interest in commercial fishing in Arctic waters,» Commerce Secretary Gary Locke said in a statement yesterday.
Now, warming seawater intruding underneath has loosened the glaciers» grip on bedrock, speeding their flow toward the
sea and causing
increasing amounts of
ice to break off into the ocean.
Melting can be rapid: as the last
ice age ended, the disappearance of the
ice sheet covering North America
increased sea level by more than a metre per century at times.
The results do suggest however that if
sea ice loss continues as it has over recent decades, the risk of wet summers may
increase.
Joughin's and Tulaczyk's paper, published in Science in 2002, documents an
increase in
ice mass for one region of the WAIS called the Ross
Sea Sector.
That's important — changing
sea ice, changing lake
ice, changing snow cover,
increasing shrubs — but I wanted the book to enrich that picture, by describing those changes through the human lives that experience them.
At a global scale, the
increased melting of the
ice sheet contributes to rising
sea level and may impact global ocean circulation patterns through the so - called «thermohaline circulation'that sustains among others, the Gulf Stream, which keeps Europe warm.
Data collected by ship and model simulations suggest that
increased Pacific Winter Water (PWW), driven by circulation patterns and retreating
sea ice in the summer season, is primarily responsible for this OA expansion, according to Di Qi, the paper's lead author and a doctoral student of Liqi Chen, the lead PI in China.