(08/20/2013) As
sea ice levels continue to decline in the northern hemisphere, scientists are observing an unsettling trend in harp seal young mortalities regardless of juvenile fitness.
Not exact matches
Gore begins with hero scientists like Roger Revelle, who first began to imagine the magnitude of this tragedy, and
continues through the latest scientific findings, like last fall's revelation that the
ice over Greenland seems to be melting much faster than anyone had predicted — news that carries potentially cataclysmic implications for the rate of
sea -
level rise.
But as long as greenhouse gases
continue to build up in the atmosphere unabated, the scales are heavily weighted toward more record heat, ever lower
sea ice levels and ever higher
seas.
A new study by scientists at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) in Pasadena, California, and the University of California, Irvine, shows that while
ice sheets and glaciers
continue to melt, changes in weather and climate over the past decade have caused Earth's continents to soak up and store an extra 3.2 trillion tons of water in soils, lakes and underground aquifers, temporarily slowing the rate of
sea level rise by about 20 percent.
If the trend
continues,
ice sheets could become the dominant contributor to
sea level rise sooner than scientists had predicted, concludes the research, which will be published this month in the journal Geophysical Research Letters.
But this year, a big spring meltdown in October and November suddenly reversed that trend and has led to
continued record low
sea ice levels as the summer melt season progressed.
The
ice stream
continued to recede from 16400 to 12300 years ago, controlled by global
sea level rise.
«suggesting that Arctic warming will
continue to greatly exceed the global average over the coming century, with concomitant reductions in terrestrial
ice masses and, consequently, an increasing rate of
sea level rise.»
Unless scientists have totally missed the mark with their understanding of the greenhouse effect, there is no doubt that
continued expansion of our population, coupled with
continued economic growth spurred on primarily by fossil fuels, is going to
continue to warm the planet, melt
ice, raise
sea levels, etc. for a long time to come.
Does the pattern of change (warming raises the equilibrium temperature, cooling decreases it), indicate a negative feedback on
sea level change (e.g. as land
ice melts it requires a little warmer temperature to
continue to melt further land
ice... and vice versa??).
More ground turns from white reflective snow to black, heat absorbant dirt.The same effect occurs as
sea ice is lost.The corals blanch, and, as I stated last year on this site, the shutdown of the north Atlantic current will occur, since the salinity
level studies I spoke of last year, off Greenland,
continue to show that the upwelling mechanisms driving the North Atlanic current are in severe jeapordy, because the change in salinity
levels effects the driver of the current, the upwelling and downwelling of different salinity
levels off Greenland.
There are some painful, and even dire, concerns expressed about the potential that Greenland
ice sheets could be «entirely lost» if emissions
continue at a business - as - usual pace; about the rate of
sea -
level rise increasing «faster and faster with time»; and about the planet's
ice sheets likely becoming «more active» over coming decades than they have been over recent decades.
Excerpt: Livermore CA (SPX) Nov 01, 2005 If humans
continue to use fossil fuels in a business as usual manner for the next several centuries, the polar
ice caps will be depleted, ocean
sea levels will rise by seven meters and median air temperatures will soar 14.5 degrees warmer than current day.
Even prior to any large feedback involving the
ice sheets or carbon cycle, the actual rise in
sea -
level continues to be at the top edge of the envelope of the IPCC's predictions.
But Antarctica, will
continue to feed
ice into the
sea for much longer - much of its
ice - laden landscape is below
sea -
level, and the penetrating
sea will keep eating into its
ice - sheets long after the 21st century.
With global GHG emissions and concentrations
continuing to increase; with climate change intensifying changes in ecosystems,
ice sheet deterioration, and
sea level rise; and with fossil fuels providing more than 80 % of the world's energy, the likelihood seems low that cooperative actions will prevent increasingly disruptive climate change over the next several decades.
While a 1 - meter rise in
sea level will not happen overnight, what is worrisome is that if
ice melting
continues at today's rates, at some point such a rise in
sea level will no longer be preventable.
It has come to the point that if we
continue losing mass in those areas, the loss can generate a self - reinforcing feedback whereby we will be losing more and more
ice, ultimately raising
sea levels by tens of feet.»
If the melting rate
continues to stay within those two points, and given that the current contribution to
sea level from the Greenland
Ice Sheet is only about 0.1 mm / year, we won't see a lot of
sea level rise until later this century.
Arbetter, 4.7, Statistical A statistical model using regional observations of
sea ice area and global NCEP air temperature,
sea level pressure, and freezing degree day estimates
continues the trend of projecting below - average summer
sea ice conditions for the Arctic.
The carbon pollution we
continue pumping into the atmosphere is already causing our air and oceans to warm, glaciers and
ice sheets to melt, and
sea levels to rise at alarming rates.
The northern melting will likely add to
sea level rise explains lead author, Shfaqat Abbas Khan: «If this activity in northwest Greenland
continues and really accelerates some of the major glaciers in the area — like the Humboldt Glacier and the Peterman Glacier — Greenland's total
ice loss could easily be increased by an additional 50 to 100 cubic kilometers (12 to 24 cubic miles) within a few years.»
Shifting currents, increased freshwater input from melting
sea ice and glaciers, and changes in upper and lower
sea -
level circulation patterns are already occurring, and they'll progress rapidly if anthropogenic greenhouse gas emission
continues under a business - as - usual scenario.
Continue reading How do CO2
levels relate to
ice ages and
sea -
level?
The Arctic's
sea ice pack thawed to its third - lowest summer
level on record, up slightly from the seasonal melt of the past two years but
continuing an overall decline symptomatic of climate change, U.S. scientists said on Thursday.
If both Greenland and West Antarctica shed the entirety of their
ice burden, global
sea levels would rise by 12 to 14 m. Although these icecaps would not disintegrate within a century, the loss of even a third of their mass — quite plausible if the rate of polar
ice loss
continues to double each decade — would force up the oceans by at least 4 m, with disastrous socioeconomic and environmental consequences.
Qin Dahe, also co-chair of the working group, said: «As the ocean warm, and glaciers and
ice sheets reduce, global mean
sea level will
continue to rise, but at a faster rate than we have experienced over the past 40 years.»
The melting of the Greenland
ice sheet is projected to
continue and to contribute to
sea level rise after 2100.
This rate of
sea level rise would
continue for centuries, although it would probably be marked periodically by large surges in
sea levels as various large chunks of the
ice sheets disintegrated.
Although there is a general consensus among models that rising CO2 will drive warming and
continued ice melt into the future, IPCC models failed to predict the current
level of rapid
sea ice reduction.
Sea level has been rising since the end of the last
ice age and will
continue to rise until the beginning of the next
ice age.
Even if warming
continues just linearly, our current understanding of the
ice caps suggests accelerating
sea level rise past the middle of this century.
The loss of the normal ocean circulation could cause drastic shifts in weather patterns, and
continued loss of
ice in Greenland will lead to the
continued rise in
sea level, threatening coastal cities around the globe.
Scientists are also confident that heating of the deep oceans and melting of land
ice will lead to
continued sea level rise, which will heighten the risk of coastal flooding and the severity of coastal hazards during stormy episodes.
Ice continues to melt,
sea levels continue to rise, and the oceans
continue to warm rapidly.
Still, the consensus of a stable low
level of
sea ice extent or
continued modest
sea ice loss is a strong result.
They conclude that while the rate of increase of average global surface temperatures has slowed since 1998, melting of Arctic
ice, rising
sea levels, and warming oceans have
continued apace.
A major lesson of the 2012
Sea Ice Outlook is that all contributors and those with objective methods underestimated the sea ice reduction, yet did note a continuing low level sea ice extent relative to previous yea
Sea Ice Outlook is that all contributors and those with objective methods underestimated the sea ice reduction, yet did note a continuing low level sea ice extent relative to previous yea
Ice Outlook is that all contributors and those with objective methods underestimated the
sea ice reduction, yet did note a continuing low level sea ice extent relative to previous yea
sea ice reduction, yet did note a continuing low level sea ice extent relative to previous yea
ice reduction, yet did note a
continuing low
level sea ice extent relative to previous yea
sea ice extent relative to previous yea
ice extent relative to previous years.
Global
sea ice (Arctic plus Antarctic)
continues to track at record low
levels in the satellite record, but the deviation from average has moderated compared to what was observed in November.
Unusually warm conditions and record low daily
sea ice extent
levels continued through the end of the year.
(e.g. according to AR5
sea levels stayed flat during the little
ice, meaning
continued ice cap melt has opposed the ocean cooling and glacier advance elsewhere.)
If your model of modern civilisation is the Titanic, during and after its encounter with the fateful iceberg 100 years ago, then any apparent good news (Himalayan
ice not melting,
sea level rise not accelerating, mild winters not
continuing, etc.) is not going to be considered very helpful.
Thus we expect to see
continuing low
levels of
sea ice extent.
Rates of land
ice melt
continued to increase — providing a greater and greater fraction of overall global
sea level rise.
My conclusion, based on the total information available, is that
continued high emissions would result in multi-meter
sea level rise this century and lock in
continued ice sheet disintegration such that building cities or rebuilding cities on coast lines would become foolish.
Closed contours over the Pacific Arctic support a
continued low
sea level pressure in that region, similar to Figure 9, which is not supportive of rapid
sea ice loss.
From the atmospheric temperature rise to the acidification of the
sea, from
ice thickness and extent to
sea levels, we really need to
continue to know what is going on.
But this year, a big spring meltdown in October and November suddenly reversed that trend and has led to
continued record low
sea ice levels as the summer melt season progressed.
But
sea level rise would
continue as yet more glaciers melted and the Greenland and Antarctic
ice packs became less stable.
As the Greenland and West Antarctic
ice sheets
continue to shrink,
sea levels will rise, threatening rice harvests around the globe.