Not exact matches
Anthropogenic climate change and resulting
sea level rise are
now happening much more rapidly than at the transition from the last
ice age to the modern global climate.
A recent study by Robert Kopp at Princeton University (Nature, DOI: 10.1038 / nature08686) suggests
sea levels were 8 to 9 metres higher than
now during the last interglacial, in part due to the west Antarctic
ice sheet melting.
It may not be a road map to the next 100 years, but the Pliocene is a rough guide to the high
sea levels, vanishing
ice and altered weather patterns that might arrive hundreds to thousands of years from
now.
Given that we
now have several years more data, we can essentially «test» the IPCC predictions and we arrive at the conclusion (i.e., message 1) that the climate system is tracking the «worst case scenario» (or worse in the case of
ice melt and
sea -
level rise) presented by the IPCC.
Under these conditions, a disproportionately rapid retreat of summertime
sea ice in the central Arctic Ocean over the course of the next few decades, followed by its complete disappearance — depending on how quickly CO2
levels rise — roughly 250 years from
now, is to be expected.
During the last
ice age, lowered
sea level drained the Bering Strait, the narrow seaway
now separating Alaska and Asia.
Because so much water was stored on land as
ice sheets,
sea levels were likely 120 meters lower than today, exposing the bottom of what is
now the English Channel.
Some of the shallow - water seeps are likely to be in
now - submerged areas that were methane - producing wetlands during the most recent
ice age, when
sea levels were more than 100 metres lower than they are today.
The IPCC also predicts greater
sea -
level rise than it did in 2007, as it
now includes models of
ice - sheet movements.
Ocean
levels rose 50 percent faster in 2014 than in 1993, with meltwater from the Greenland
ice sheet
now supplying 25 percent of total
sea level increase compared with just five percent 20 years earlier, researchers reported...
The IPCC is predicting greater
sea level rise than it did in 2007, as it
now includes models of
ice sheet movements.
This
sea level rise estimate is larger than that provided by the last IPCC report, but highlights the need for further research on
ice sheet variablity and
ice sheet response to climate change, both
now and in the past.
That means that really big
sea level rise is coming, and again according to NASA, the progress of West Antarctic
ice into the
sea is
now «unstoppable».
Indeed, within the Baltic
Sea, the multitude of small Alaskan Glaciers actually now contributes more to local sea - level rise than the massive Greenland ice she
Sea, the multitude of small Alaskan Glaciers actually
now contributes more to local
sea - level rise than the massive Greenland ice she
sea -
level rise than the massive Greenland
ice sheet.
But for Helsinki, which lies beyond the gravitational weakening enjoyed by Reykjavik, the 8,400 tonnes of
ice now leaving Greenland every second of every year contribute to net local
sea -
level rise.
For example,
ice loss in far - off West Antarctica will have more profound impacts in Scandinavia than it will in nearby Australia, while right
now melting Alaskan glaciers contribute more to
sea -
level rise in the Baltic than the Greenland
ice sheet.
The latter events left behind distinctive rock - sequences typically consisting of tillites (ancient boulder - clay,
now solid rock) representing
ice - deposited debris, overlain with a depositional break by cap - carbonates (chemical sediments of marine origin deposited during interglacials following global
sea -
level rises).
This expected large
sea -
level rise does of course not surprise us paleoclimatologists, given that in earlier warm periods of Earth's history
sea level has been many meters higher than
now due to the diminished continental
ice cover (see the recent review by Dutton et al. 2015 in Science).
Global
ice - sheets are melting at an increased rate; Arctic
sea -
ice is disappearing much faster than recently projected, and future
sea -
level rise is
now expected to be much higher than previously forecast, according to a new global scientific synthesis prepared by some of the world's top climate scientists.
The Fourth Assessment Report finds that «Warming of the climate system is unequivocal, as is
now evident from observations of increases in global average air and ocean temperatures, widespread melting of snow and
ice, and rising mean
sea level.
Satellite and direct measurements
now demonstrate that both the Greenland and Antarctic
ice - sheets are losing mass and contributing to
sea level rise at an increasing rate.
The report found that global
ice sheets are melting at an increased rate; Arctic
sea ice is thinning and melting much faster than recently projected, and future
sea -
level rise is
now expected to be much higher than previously forecast.
That estimate was based in part on the fact that
sea level is
now rising 3.2 mm / yr (3.2 m / millennium)[57], an order of magnitude faster than the rate during the prior several thousand years, with rapid change of
ice sheet mass balance over the past few decades [23] and Greenland and Antarctica
now losing mass at accelerating rates [23]--[24].
Indeed, satellite gravity data and radar altimetry reveal that the Totten Glacier of East Antarctica, which fronts a large
ice mass grounded below
sea level, is
now losing mass [90].
On the other hand, during those periods between widespread glaciation, the water had melted from the
ice sheets and polar areas, flowed, back into the oceans and
sea level was as high or higher than
now.
When
sea levels rose at the end of the
Ice Age, the once dry cave filled with
sea water producing the hole that
now measures 1000 feet across with a depth of over 460 feet.
But I understand
sea level rise right
now is actually towards the upper end of estimates so this suggests either climate sensitivity is towards the high end, or
ice sheets are very sensitive to low or medium climate sensitivity.
Oh come on
now the Arctic
sea ice has returned to normal
levels and hence AGW must be incorrect, natural variability can not be that big;)
o 8000 of the 10000 years since the last
ice age were warmer than
now and generally had less CO2 and lower
sea levels o For 3000 years (from 5000 BP to 2000 BP) world temperatures were falling whilst CO2
levels were rising o Manâ??
The authors of the study — Ricarda Winkelmann and Anders Levermann from the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Ken Caldeira of the Carnegie Institution for Science and Andy Ridgwell of the University of Bristol — find that the loss of the entire Antarctic
ice sheet would take millenniums, but up to 100 feet of
sea level rise could result within 1,000 years, with the rate of the rise beginning to increase a century or two from
now.
Warming of the climate system is unequivocal, as is
now evident from observations of increases in global average air and ocean temperatures, widespread melting of snow and
ice, and rising global average
sea level.
What is clear is that uncontrolled emissions will very soon put us in range of temperatures that have been unseen since the Eemian / Stage 5e period (about 120,000 years ago) when temperatures may have been a degree or so warmer than
now but where
sea level was 4 to 6m higher (see this recent discussion the possible sensitivities of the
ice sheets to warming and the large uncertainties involved).
Back then, what she and a colleague found was not only groundbreaking, it pretty accurately predicted what is happening
now in the Arctic, as
sea ice levels break record low after record low.
There are degrees of everyone's positions here from those who think the IPCC is wrong because it is much too conservative through those who think the IPCC got it perfectly right to those who think the arctic
sea ice has recovered because the record low
level is
now three years old through those who believe the GHE violates the laws of thermodynamics.
As for global warming advocates, we have been warned for decades that the arctic would be
ice free and
sea levels up astronomically and no snow by
now et al..
Three years of measurements from CryoSat show that the Antarctic
Ice Sheet is now losing 159 billion tonnes of ice each year, enough to raise global sea levels by 0.45 mm per ye
Ice Sheet is
now losing 159 billion tonnes of
ice each year, enough to raise global sea levels by 0.45 mm per ye
ice each year, enough to raise global
sea levels by 0.45 mm per year.
Whether it is the unanimous opinion by scientists regarding the 18 - year «global warming» pause; or the last 9 years for the complete lack of major hurricanes; or the inexplicable and surprisingly thick Antarctic
sea ice; or the boring global
sea level rise that is a tiny fraction of coastal - swamping magnitude; or food crops exploding with record production; or multiple other climate signals - it is
now blatantly obvious the current edition of the AGW hypothesis is highly suspect.
Satellite and direct measurements
now demonstrate that both the Greenland and Antarctic
ice - sheets are losing mass and contributing to
sea level rise at an increasing rate.
For
now, all NSIDC and NASA researchers can do is observe and record these rising and decreasing
sea ice levels.
Recent evidence of faster rates of global
sea -
level rise suggests that these projections may be too low.3, 4,5 Given recent accelerated shrinking of glaciers and
ice sheets, scientists
now think that a rise of 2.6 feet (80 centimeters) is plausible — and that as much as 6.6 feet (2 meters) is possible though less likely.16
The evidence is piling up every day that the world is
now getting cooler instead of warmer, the oceans are
now cooling instead of warming, the
ice is returning to the Arctic rather than receding, the
sea ice in the Antarctic is at record
levels, and that rising
sea levels have moderated.
According to the University of Washington Polar Science Center, Arctic
sea -
ice levels have dropped to record lows in July 2011, with
sea ice volume
now 47 percent lower than it was in 1979, when satellite records began.
Canada's glaciers and
ice caps are
now a major contributor to
sea level change, a new study shows.
The sheets may
now flow more quickly to the
sea; the new
ice displaces water and raises
sea levels, the way extra
ice cubes raise the water
level in a glass.
When doing this with
sea level data, as with OHC, as with tropospheric sensible heat, as with glacial
ice mass loss, we are seeing a background, longer - term change that is non-linear, and for several decades
now, accelerating.
NASA's
Ice Bridge Project is
now in full production there, showing how this strategic locked - up water is liable to be released quicker than we thought, causing higher
sea levels worldwide.
The Fourth Assessment Report finds that «Warming of the climate system is unequivocal, as is
now evident from observations of increases in global average air and ocean temperatures, widespread melting of snow and
ice, and rising mean
sea level.
Although the satellites are considered the gold - standard for measuring and observing
sea levels, hurricanes / typhoons, ozone holes,
sea ice, atmospheric CO2 distribution, polar
ice sheet masses and etc., the same 24/7 technology used to measure temperatures across the entire habitable world is
now being ignored (i.e., denied) due to the above inconvenient evidence.
During the final few centuries of the last
ice age, the
sea level rose 20 metres in 400 years, 20 times faster than
now.
Recent research
now has isolated the individual
ice sheet contributions to global
sea level rise.