Last time I checked
sea ice mass in Antartica was decreasing.
Not exact matches
Female polar bears prowling springtime
sea ice have extreme weight swings, some losing more than 10 percent of their body
mass in just over a week.
Understanding
sea level change
in relation to the
mass balance of Greenland's and Antarctica's
ice sheets is at the heart of the CReSIS mission.
For example, Kangerdlugssuaq glacier has lost
mass from melting and,
in its thinner form, has less weight to speed the flow of its
ice toward the
sea.
As glaciologist Richard Alley of Pennsylvania State University notes: «The
ice sheet is losing
mass, this loss has increased over time, [and] it is not the dominant term
in sea - level rise — but it matters.»
What they found, Hansen says, is that melting
ice sheets
in Greenland and Antarctica could inject enough fresh water into the
seas to slow the formation of two key water
masses: the North Atlantic Deepwater and the Antarctic Bottom Water formations.
In addition to the atmosphere, models must also include other key earthly elements, such as the ocean, land
masses and even
sea ice.
To better understand and anticipate changes
in sea level rise, scientists have sought to quantify how much snow falls on the
ice sheet
in any given year, and where, since snow is the primary source of the
ice sheet's
mass.
The data allowed them to calculate the redistribution of
mass on Earth's surface due to the melting of the Greenland and Antarctic
ice sheets and mountain glaciers, and the resulting rise
in sea level.
Joughin's and Tulaczyk's paper, published
in Science
in 2002, documents an increase
in ice mass for one region of the WAIS called the Ross
Sea Sector.
Glaciologists say this is not the case: The Ross
Sea Sector is gaining
mass because one glacier, the Kamb
Ice Stream, which periodically stops and starts, is currently in stop mode and therefore not dumping ice into the oce
Ice Stream, which periodically stops and starts, is currently
in stop mode and therefore not dumping
ice into the oce
ice into the ocean.
«The land
ice in the Arctic and very likely
in the Antarctic is losing
mass and shrinking, and the
sea ice in the Arctic is shrinking, all as expected
in world warming from our CO2,» Alley said.
«By refining the spatial pattern of
mass loss
in the world's second largest — and most unstable —
ice sheet, and learning how that pattern has evolved, we are steadily increasing our understanding of
ice loss processes, which will lead to better - informed projections of
sea level rise.»
Stafford and colleagues will continue their long - term data collection to document the inter-seasonal and inter-annual presence of vocal marine mammals
in the Bering Strait by integrating oceanographic drivers —
sea ice, temperature, current speed and direction, and water
mass properties — with acoustic detections.
First of all, less
sea ice is forming
in the region, and secondly, oceanographic recordings from the continental shelf break confirm that the warm water
masses are already moving closer and closer to the
ice shelf
in pulses,» says Dr Hartmut Hellmer, an oceanographer at the AWI and first author of the study.
The extent of the
ice in the Arctic has always been very uncertain but, through this work, we show how the
sea ice in the Arctic Ocean developed before all the land - based
ice masses in the Northern Hemisphere were established,» Jochen Knies explains.
The reduction
in the
ice mass has contributed to global average
sea - level rise of 25 millimeters.
Complementary analyses of the surface
mass balance of Greenland (Tedesco et al, 2011) also show that 2010 was a record year for melt area extent... Extrapolating these melt rates forward to 2050, «the cumulative loss could raise
sea level by 15 cm by 2050 ″ for a total of 32 cm (adding
in 8 cm from glacial
ice caps and 9 cm from thermal expansion)- a number very close to the best estimate of Vermeer & Rahmstorf (2009), derived by linking the observed rate of
sea level rise to the observed warming.
Consistent with observed changes
in surface temperature, there has been an almost worldwide reduction
in glacier and small
ice cap (not including Antarctica and Greenland)
mass and extent
in the 20th century; snow cover has decreased
in many regions of the Northern Hemisphere;
sea ice extents have decreased
in the Arctic, particularly
in spring and summer (Chapter 4); the oceans are warming; and
sea level is rising (Chapter 5).
It is quite possible that we are well past half - way — maybe at 75 %
in terms of loss of arctic
sea ice mass.
Stephanie M. Downes, Riccardo Farneti, Petteri Uotila, Stephen M. Griffies, Simon J. Marsland, et al. (2015) An assessment of Southern Ocean water
masses and
sea ice during 1988 - 2007
in a suite of interannual CORE - II simulations, 94, 67 - 94, Ocean Modelling, doi: 10.1016 / j.ocemod.2015.07.022,
But the IPCC specifically excluded the mechanism able to produce the biggest amounts of water quickly - acceleration
in the flow of
ice from the Greenland and Antarctic
ice sheets, the world's two major
ice masses that would between them raise
sea levels by about 70m if they completely melted.
Overall,
ice shelves
in the Amundsen
sea sector lost about five times as much
mass as they gained during the event.
The findings, published Monday
in Nature Geoscience, reveal that the 1997 - 98 El Niño led to a substantial loss of
mass from the bottom of the
ice shelves
in West Antarctica's Amundsen
sea sector, even as the shelves appeared to grow about ten inches taller from additional snowfall.
Rates of
sea - level rise calculated from tide gauge data tend to exceed bottom - up estimates derived from summing loss of
ice mass, thermal expansion and changes
in land storage.
That estimate was based
in part on the fact that
sea level is now rising 3.2 mm / yr (3.2 m / millennium)[57], an order of magnitude faster than the rate during the prior several thousand years, with rapid change of
ice sheet
mass balance over the past few decades [23] and Greenland and Antarctica now losing
mass at accelerating rates [23]--[24].
Sea ice melt showed the greatest contribution to water
masses in the Beaufort
Sea and Canada Basin (fSIM up to 0.219) and comparatively low contributions
in the Makarov Basin and Sever Spur areas (fSIM up to 0.061; Table 1, Figure 7).
Sea levels are effected by movement of land
masses both upward and downward, changes
in gravitational pulls on the water due to changes
in ice masses.
Our modelled values are consistent with current rates of Antarctic
ice loss and
sea - level rise, and imply that accelerated
mass loss from marine - based portions of Antarctic
ice sheets may ensue when an increase
in global mean air temperature of only 1.4 - 2.0 deg.
«suggesting that Arctic warming will continue to greatly exceed the global average over the coming century, with concomitant reductions
in terrestrial
ice masses and, consequently, an increasing rate of
sea level rise.»
And this is just one element
in the
sea level rise — small
ice caps are melting faster, thermal expansion will increase
in line with ocean heat content changes and Antarctic
ice sheets are also losing
mass.
Our experiments show a clear threshold
in the relationship between the rate of
sea - level rise, and the rate of (
sea - level contributing)
ice - sheet
mass loss.
Has realclimate ever done (or considered doing) an entry about the immense contribution that satellite measurements have made
in the past two - three decades,
in helping us to understand various components of the earth system (e.g., vegetation, ozone,
ice sheet
mass, water vapor content, temperature,
sea level height, storms, aerosols, etc.)?
From recent instrumental observations alone we are therefore unable to predict whether
mass loss from these
ice sheets will vary linearly with changes
in the rate of
sea - level rise, or if a non-linear response is more likely.
However, the idea is simple, and I've talked about this much
in many presentations this winter: Take the amount of
ice you need to get rid of from Greenland to raise
sea level 2 m
in the next century, reduce it by your best estimate of the amount that would be removed by surface
mass balance losses, and try to push the rest out of the aggregate cross-sectional area of Greenland's marine - based outlet glaciers.
8) Accelerated
mass loss
in Greenland and / or Antarctica, perhaps with another huge
ice shelf breaking off, but
in any case coupled with another measurable rise
in the rate of
sea level rise, 9) The Fifth Assessment Report (2012 - 2013) really spelling out what we face with no punches pulled.
So I had to back up the story of my trip to Alaska with satellite data on
sea ice, and I had to justify my pictures of disappearing glaciers
in the Andes with long - term records of
mass balance of mountain glaciers.
I'll be posting more here soon on new research showing an expanding area
in western Greenland where
ice mass is being lost and what this may, and may not, portend for
sea levels
in this century.
IIRC, the limit on
mass loss was attributed to the narrowness of passes
in the mountains, but if the
ice loss is behind the mountains as the ocean reaches beyond them, and mixes salt into the system with tides, then only the flushing of salt and icebergs via meltwater would limit the rate of melt
in the (brand new) Greenland
Sea.
Eric Rignot most recent work
in 2008 supported a larger, accelerating contribution of Antarctica's
ice mass balance to the rise
in sea level.
John — your premise is incorrect; Arctic
sea -
ice is not a concentration of
mass, and when it melts it doesn't redistribute around the globe (other of course than
in the same way any other Arctic seawater redistributes).
Thus, whatever the contribution of
mass loss from the Greenland
ice sheet to the huge (4 - 8 m) rise
in sea level of the Eemian, it occurred under very strong temperature forcing.
That typically occurs
in ice - sheet model simulations that involve more than about 2 m of
sea - level - equivalent
mass loss.
The findings reinforce suggestions that strong positive
ice — temperature feedbacks have emerged
in the Arctic15, increasing the chances of further rapid warming and
sea ice loss, and will probably affect polar ecosystems,
ice - sheet
mass balance and human activities
in the Arctic...» *** This is the heart of polar amplification and has very little to do with your stated defintion of amplifying the effects of warming going on at lower latitudes.
In recent years, Greenland's
ice has been melting more and flowing faster into the
sea — a record amount of
ice melted from the frozen
mass this summer, according to recently released data — and Earth's rising temperatures are suspected to be the main culprit.
Contrary to what the vast majority of «liberal» and «conservative» members of the public think, climate scientists do not believe
sea levels will rise if the north pole
ice cap melts (unlike the south pole
ice cap, which sits atop a land
mass, the north pole «
ice cap» is already floating
in the
sea, a point that various «climate science literacy» guides issued by scientific bodies like NASA and NOAA emphasize).
When
ice shelves already largely
in the water break off from the continental
ice mass, this does not have much direct effect on
sea level per se.
It has come to the point that if we continue losing
mass in those areas, the loss can generate a self - reinforcing feedback whereby we will be losing more and more
ice, ultimately raising
sea levels by tens of feet.»
A rise
in global mean
sea level of between 0.09 and 0.88 metres by 2100 has been projected, mainly due to the thermal expansion of
sea water and loss of
mass from
ice caps and glaciers».
If all of the currently attainable carbon resources [estimated to be between 8500 and 13.600 GtC (4)-RSB- were burned, the Antarctic
Ice Sheet would lose most of its mass, raising global sea level by more than 50 m. For the 125 GtC as well as the 500, 800, 2500, and 5000 GtC scenarios, the ice - covered area is depicted in white (ice - free bedrock in brow
Ice Sheet would lose most of its
mass, raising global
sea level by more than 50 m. For the 125 GtC as well as the 500, 800, 2500, and 5000 GtC scenarios, the
ice - covered area is depicted in white (ice - free bedrock in brow
ice - covered area is depicted
in white (
ice - free bedrock in brow
ice - free bedrock
in brown).