The 2012 Arctic summer
sea ice minimum far surpassed 2007 as the lowest on record.
Not exact matches
Though slightly larger than last year, the
minimum sea ice extent 2017 is average for the past ten years and
far below the numbers from 1979 to 2006.
The consolidated database shows that there is no precedent as
far back as 1850 for the 21st century's
minimum ice extent of
sea ice on the pan-Arctic scale....
NASA satellite data reveals how this year's
minimum sea ice extent, reached on Sept. 9 as depicted here, declined to a level
far smaller than the 30 - year average (in yellow) and opened up Northwest Passage shipping lanes (in red).
This interpretation is
further supported by the
minimum of the total number of dinoflagellate cysts and peak concentrations of the dinoflagellate species Impagidinium pallidum (Fig. 7d), indicative of cold polar conditions and an extensive seasonal
sea ice cover42.
At the same time, they point towards below normal
ice extent in the Barents / Kara
Sea, also compared to the record
minimum in 2007, which they see coupled to oceanic processes and promoting
further warming of surface waters in the region.
Something else must control
sea ice minimums — other than land temperatures 15 degrees
further south,
There have been similar experiments with
sea ice changes (by Clara Deser for instance), and while there is a negative NAO response, this too is a very small signal, and
far too small to be detectable in the 5 years or so in which we have had these exceptionally low summer
sea ice minimum, and on top of which have to compete with the CO2 - driven trend towards slightly more positive NAO phase.