Sentences with phrase «sea ice minimums»

A) Arctic sea ice minimums at the equinox in mid-September have only one real limit: they can continue to reduce to zero from their (typical) 4.0 million km ^ 2 extent minimum.
The sea ice minimums in 2007 and 2012 have triggered numerous predictions of an ice free Arctic.
Something else must control sea ice minimums — other than land temperatures 15 degrees further south,
Even at sea ice minimums, DMI air temperatures up where the sea ice actually is, are about -15 C.
Polar bear numbers, as confirmed by the latest estimates in the 2015 IUCN Red List assessment, are higher now than they have been since the 1960s, despite almost 10 years of summer sea ice minimums below 5.0 mk2.
It's not like there isn't anything climate - y to talk about (sea ice minimums, extreme events, climate model tunings, past «hyperthermals»... etc.).
The five lowest summer sea ice minimums have occurred over the past five years, researchers noted.
But, as scientists including National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Administrator Jane Lubchenco said today at a press conference at the American Geophysical Union's fall meeting, record - setting melting happened anyway: record snow melt, record sea ice minimum, melting even at the top of the Greenland ice sheet (in what was once called the «dry snow zone»), and widespread warming of permafrost.
In Antarctica, this year's record low annual sea ice minimum of 815,000 square miles (2.11 million square kilometers) was 71,000 square miles (184,000 square kilometers) below the previous lowest minimum extent in the satellite record, which occurred in 1997.
It's unclear whether this year's strong El Niño event, which is a naturally occurring phenomenon that typically occurs every two to seven years where the surface water of the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean warms, has had any impact on the Arctic sea ice minimum extent.
According to a NASA analysis of satellite data, the 2015 Arctic sea ice minimum extent is the fourth lowest on record since observations from space began.
«2016 ties with 2007 for second lowest Arctic sea ice minimum
In the Antarctic, where the summer season just wrapped up, rapid ice melt led to the lowest sea ice minimum ever recorded for the area.
The 2007 sea ice minimum: impacts on the Northern Hemisphere atmosphere in late autumn and early winter.
The record low maximum doesn't necessarily guarantee a record - low summer sea ice minimum, though, as ice melt depends heavily on Arctic weather patterns through the spring and summer months.
Geoff Beacon # 19: To answer your question, if you mean you expect the NSIDC to announce a September arctic sea ice minimum below, say 1M sq km, by 2015, I would bet against, but not a huge amount, because of uncertainty.
Current ice extent is well below levels at the same point in 2012, which went on to set the current record for the lowest sea ice minimum extent:
The 2016 Arctic sea ice minimum was 290,000 square miles larger than the record small minimum that occurred in 2012.
Artic sea ice minimum has been retreating over the past thirty years (shown in yellow).
So, I have used them to predict sea ice minimum one year into the future.
Prediction methods for the sea ice minima range from ad - hoc guesses to model predictions, from statistical analyses to water - cooler speculation in the blogosphere.
This marks the beginning of the ritual of the annual sea ice watch that includes predictions of the extent and rank of this year's sea ice minimum, as well as discussion about the timing of its eventual demise.
Geoff Beacon # 19: To answer your question, if you mean you expect the NSIDC to announce a September arctic sea ice minimum below, say 1M sq km, by 2015, I would bet against, but not a huge amount, because of uncertainty.
Topics of potential interest: The successful OCO - 2 launch, continuing likelihood of an El Niño event this fall, predictions of the September Arctic sea ice minimum, Antarctic sea ice excursions, stochastic elements in climate models etc..
Nick Barnes: Looks like I'm about to lose our November 07 bet on sea ice minimum unless things cool down fast up there.
I know many people are touting the PIOMAS data, but the sea ice minimum area is still more than half what it was 30 years ago.
Nevertheless, in my opinion there are some strong signs for another very low NH sea ice minimum.
With the record low value of sea ice minimum in 2007 the ratio jumped to about 0.7.
Please note that this is not an announcement of the sea ice minimum extent for 2012.
Tagged Christine Graham, climate change, concerns about extinction, Daily Mail, David Rose, decline, global warming, GWPF, ice - free Arctic, IPCC, melting ice cap, observations, polar bears, polar bears thriving, predictions, sea ice loss, summer sea ice minimum
According to the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC, Sept. 20 report), the annual sea ice minimum extent was reached on Sept. 13, 2013.
«Hence, the sea ice minimum observed in 2012, followed by an increase of sea ice in 2013, is suggestive of consistency with the timing of evolution of the stadium - wave signal.»
Another important corollary of this is that the Arctic sea ice minimum and maximum are nearly irrelevant to climate, because they both occur near the equinox when no sunlight is reaching the pole.
Tagged adaptation, declining sea ice, early breakup, evolution, historical sea ice record, indivdual variation, late freeze - up, natural selection, NSIDC, polar bear, resilience, sea ice minimum, sea ice variability, Stirling, Stroeve, survival, western hudson bay
Re: sea ice minimum and maximum are nearly irrelevant to climate, because they both occur near the equinox when no sunlight is reaching the pole.
PAN-ARCTIC OUTLOOK Submitted by WUWT today, June 4th to Helen Wiggins of ARCUS, details here About the Sea Ice Outlook The SEARCH Sea Ice Outlook is an international effort to provide a community - wide summary of the expected September arctic sea ice minimum.
Hence, the 2012 Arctic sea ice minimum provides a counterexample to the often - quoted idea that individual extreme events can not be attributed to human influence.
The Guardian article brings in additional data: the Arctic sea ice minimum and ocean heat content.
The Sea Ice Outlook provides a forum for researchers to contribute their understanding of the state of arctic sea ice and for the community to jointly assess a range of factors that contribute to arctic summer sea ice minima.
Had they not stalled and increased in those two months the sea ice minimum record would have been severely under threat, considering the very low winter base.
Sea ice minimum levels are falling at the rate of 14 % a decade in the Arctic, and polar bears have been feeling the loss.
Six (6) respondents anticipate the 2008 extent to be close to the 2007 record sea ice minimum (i.e., 4.3 million square kilometers); and
In September 2007 sea ice extent reached its lowest level since the satellite record began in 1979; the monthly extent, 4.28 × 106 square kilometers, surpassed the previous sea ice minimum record (set in 2005) by 1.28 × 106 square kilometers [Stroeve et al., 2008].
It is also important to note that although recent sea ice values have not reached the extreme minimum of 2007, the sea ice minimum has remained well below the long - term «norm» (Figure 1).
It is important to note that the sea ice minimum has remained well below the long - term average every year since 2007 (Figure 1).
The spread of Outlook contributions suggests about a 29 % chance of reaching a new September sea ice minimum in 2010 and only an 18 % chance of an extent greater than the 2009 minimum (or a return to the long - term trend for summer sea ice loss).
It is important to note that the sea ice minimum has remained well below the long - term average every year since 2007.
The seasonal forecasts of Arctic sea ice minimum have been submitted to annual SEARCH Sea Ice Outlook
The last several years I have written a post on sea ice around the time of the Arctic sea ice minima
And finally, my prediction for 2015 sea ice minima.
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