Zhang and Lindsay, 4.60 (4.00 - 5.20), Modeling Our seasonal prediction focuses not only on the total Arctic sea ice extent, but also on
sea ice thickness field and ice edge location.
Zhang, 5.1 (+ / - 0.6), Modeling The seasonal prediction focuses not only on the total Arctic sea ice extent, but also on
sea ice thickness field and ice edge location.
Not exact matches
The team, which Marc led and provided the logistical support for, deployed from Resolute to Nord Greenland before setting up a rustic
field camp on the
sea ice for six days, during which time we mechanically drilled the
ice to measure
thickness, measuring snow depth in a grid pattern along the flight lines as well as dragging instruments along the surface that produced the same measurements for comparison to the airborne data.
A threshold h applied on the (
thickness Feb = Mar concentration Sept)
field yields the predicted September extent after the regression with the past four years of
sea ice extent observations.
Over the
sea ice field the observations include:
sea ice freeboard height and hence
sea ice thickness from radar altimetry;
sea ice surface temperature and
sea ice drift from respectively infrared radiometer and imaging spectrometer under cloud free conditions.
Field observations summarized in the contribution by Hutchings and discussed in this month's Regional Outlook indicate that starting
ice thicknesses were comparable to last year in the Beaufort and Chukchi
Seas, and that after getting off to a fast start, melt has slowed down considerably, resulting in below - normal melt rates.
The ensemble consists of seven members each of which uses a unique set of NCEP / NCAR atmospheric forcing
fields from recent years, representing recent climate, such that ensemble member 1 uses 2005 NCEP / NCAR forcing, member 2 uses 2006 forcing..., and member 7 uses 2011 forcing... In addition, the recently available IceBridge and helicopter - based electromagnetic (HEM)
ice thickness quicklook data are assimilated into the initial 12 - category
sea ice thickness distribution
fields in order to improve the initial conditions for the predictions.
Zhang and Lindsay, 5.1 (± 0.4), Modeling Our seasonal prediction focuses not only on the total Arctic
sea ice extent and
ice concentration
field, but also on
ice thickness field and
ice edge location.
Any
field - or ship - based updates on
ice conditions in the different regions such as
sea ice morphology (e.g., concentration,
ice type, floe size,
thickness, snow cover, melt pond characteristics, topography), meteorology (surface measurements) and oceanography (e.g., temperature, salinity, upper ocean temperature).
This month's Outlook reports also include a more detailed discussion of
sea ice thickness information provided from
field measurements and model results.