Figure 1: (a) Ensemble prediction of September 2011
sea ice thickness in the Northwest Passage region and (b) ensemble standard deviation (SD) of ice thickness, which shows the uncertainty of the prediction.
The average
sea ice thickness in 2012 was just 1.25 meters, down from 3.59 meters in 1975, studies show.
Combined data sets of draft and thickness from submarine sonars, satellite altimetry and airborne electromagnetic sensing provide broadly consistent and strong evidence of decrease in Arctic
sea ice thickness in recent years.
Collow, T.W., W. Wang, A. Kumar, and J. Zhang, Improving Arctic sea ice prediction using PIOMAS initial
sea ice thickness in a coupled ocean - atmosphere model, Mon..
Birthing success of female ringed seals (Phoca hispida) is also affected by regional
sea ice thickness in early spring.
Our results stress the importance of considering loss of
sea ice thickness in future climate change assessments.
(left) Ensemble prediction of September 2013
sea ice thickness in the Northwest Passage region from the PIOMAS model.
It is therefore important to consider both loss of sea ice concentration and
sea ice thickness in evaluating the response of the atmosphere.
(a) Ensemble prediction of September 2012
sea ice thickness in the Northwest Passage region and (b) ensemble standard deviation (SD)[Zhang and Lindsay].
(a) Ensemble prediction of September 2011
sea ice thickness in the Northwest Passage region and (b) ensemble standard deviation (SD).
This year's
sea ice thickness in spring can be estimated to be the thinnest among the recent 6 years.
Why do you think the average
sea ice thickness in the Arctic never got far above 3m in the twentieth century?
Not exact matches
«This shift is characterized by the persistent decline
in the
thickness and summer extent of
sea -
ice cover and by a warmer, l
In the hot spots of the Amundsen and Bellinghausen seas, the ice shelves lost 18 % of their thickness in less than 20 year
In the hot spots of the Amundsen and Bellinghausen
seas, the
ice shelves lost 18 % of their
thickness in less than 20 year
in less than 20 years.
the south - bound expedition had cleared that vast plain of floating
ice which flows down from the great mountains of the interior and covers the southern part of Ross
Sea throughout an area above 20,000 square miles with an
ice sheet approximately 800 feet
in thickness, and had begun to climb the heights which form the mountainous embayment at the head of Ross
Sea.
After compiling 10 floe - scale maps of the
ice from the Weddell, Bellingshausen, and the Wilkes Land regions of the continent, the researchers found that the
sea ice thickness tended to be highly variable, with many ridges and valleys, they report online today
in Nature Geoscience.
Although CryoSat - 2 is designed to measure changes
in the
ice sheet elevation, these can be translated into horizontal motion at the grounding line using knowledge of the glacier and
sea floor geometry and the Archimedes principle of buoyancy — which relates the
thickness of floating
ice to the height of its surface.
In addition to the
thickness of the snow cover on top of the
sea ice, the buoys also measure the air temperature and air pressure.
AWI researchers observed a considerable decrease
in the
thickness of the
sea ice as early as the late summer of 2015, even though the overall
ice covered area of the September minimum ultimately exceeded the record low of 2012 by approximately one million square kilometres.
Examining the CyroSat - 2
sea ice thickness map for this spring, Stefan Hendricks further explained: «The Transpolar Drift Stream, a well - known current
in the Arctic Ocean, will be carrying the majority of the thick, perennial
ice currently located off the northern coasts of Greenland and Canada through the Fram Strait to the North Atlantic.
If we compare the
ice thickness map of the previous winter with that of 2012, we can see that the current
ice conditions are similar to those of the spring of 2012 —
in some places, the
ice is even thinner,» Dr Marcel Nicolaus,
sea ice physicist at AWI, said today at a press conference during the EGU General Assembly
in Vienna.
«It may even be possible to predict
sea ice cover a year
in advance with high - quality observations of
sea ice thickness and snow cover over the whole Arctic,» said Cecilia Bitz, co-author and professor of atmospheric sciences at the University of Washington.
Prior to this research, there was little information about the
thickness of
sea ice in the NWP, which meanders through the Canadian Arctic Archipelago.
Both the area of water covered by
sea ice and the
thickness of the
ice have been decreasing
in recent years, and thinner
ice is blown farther and faster by the wind.
In the area surveyed, which lies to the north of the Fram Strait between Greenland and Svalbard, the sea - ice thickness was ca. 1.7 metres, roughly 50 centimetres more than was recorded in 201
In the area surveyed, which lies to the north of the Fram Strait between Greenland and Svalbard, the
sea -
ice thickness was ca. 1.7 metres, roughly 50 centimetres more than was recorded
in 201
in 2016.
From an altitude of just over 700 km, CryoSat will precisely monitor changes
in the
thickness of
sea ice and variations
in the
thickness of the
ice sheets on land.
First, we expect the
ice thickness distribution
in April 30 from redistribution (divergence / convergence) of
sea ice during December and April, based on the daily
ice velocity data.
ICESat - 2 will add to our understanding of Arctic
sea ice by measuring
sea ice thickness from space, providing scientists more complete information about the volume of
sea ice in the Arctic and Southern oceans.
The motivation for this time series is to visualize the fact that the long term Arctic - wide loss of
sea ice is not only happening
in extent, which is well measured by satellites, but also
in thickness, which isn't.
Zhang, J., D. R. Thomas, D. A. Rothrock, R. W. Lindsay, Y. Yu, and R. Kwok (2003), Assimilation of
ice motion observations and comparisons with submarine
ice thickness data, J.Geophys.Res., 108 (C6), 3170, DOI: 3110.1029 / 2001JC001041 Zhang, J., and D. A. Rothrock (2003), Modeling global
sea ice with a
thickness and enthalpy distribution model
in generalized curvilinear coordinates, Monthly Weather Review, 131 (5), 845 - 861.
This is because the «early camp» are missing a major factor, even though most of them don't know it: That factor is that first year
sea ice will continue to grow to
thicknesses of around 1.5 to 2m through the winter, so the key issue
in whether September can be virtually
sea -
ice free is how much
sea ice can be lost between March and September.
The
sea ice component represents
sea ice in multiple categories of
thickness and accounts for changes
in thickness due to growth and melt as well as mechanical deformation of
ice (Thorndike et al. 1975, Hibler 1980).
Ice volume, the product of sea ice area and thickness, is a measure for the total loss in sea ice and the total amount of energy involved in melting the i
Ice volume, the product of
sea ice area and thickness, is a measure for the total loss in sea ice and the total amount of energy involved in melting the i
ice area and
thickness, is a measure for the total loss
in sea ice and the total amount of energy involved in melting the i
ice and the total amount of energy involved
in melting the
iceice.
It is argued that uncertainty, differences and errors
in sea ice model forcing sets complicate the use of models to determine the exact causes of the recently reported decline
in Arctic
sea ice thickness, but help
in the determination of robust features if the models are tuned appropriately against observations.
We find a consistent decreasing trend
in Arctic Ocean
sea ice thickness since 1979, and a steady decline
in the Eastern Arctic Ocean over the full 40 - year period of comparison that accelerated after 1980, but the predictions of Western Arctic Ocean
sea ice thickness between 1962 and 1980 differ substantially.
Volume,
in contrast, is crucial
in determining the vulnerability of Arctic
sea ice to rapid future reductions (since thin
ice is much more prone to react strongly to a single warm summer, making single very - low
sea -
ice summers more likely), and the
thickness of the
ice determines the exchange of heat between ocean and atmosphere.
Analysis of the new record shows that since a peak
in 1980,
sea ice thickness has declined 53 percent.
«Cryosat found the volume (area multiplied by
thickness) of
sea ice in the central Arctic
in March 2011 to have been 14,500 cubic kilometres.
Sea ice thickness is also being measured since 2004 and there has been a dramatic decrease in thickness according to NASA's press release, NASA Satellite Reveals Dramatic Arctic Ice Thinning dated July, 20
ice thickness is also being measured since 2004 and there has been a dramatic decrease
in thickness according to NASA's press release, NASA Satellite Reveals Dramatic Arctic
Ice Thinning dated July, 20
Ice Thinning dated July, 2009.
In the Antarctic, there is very sparse data on
sea ice thickness — not enough to judge one way or another, leaving only climate modeling results to work with.
The team, which Marc led and provided the logistical support for, deployed from Resolute to Nord Greenland before setting up a rustic field camp on the
sea ice for six days, during which time we mechanically drilled the
ice to measure
thickness, measuring snow depth
in a grid pattern along the flight lines as well as dragging instruments along the surface that produced the same measurements for comparison to the airborne data.
The researchers also found no predictive value
in seeking insights from trends
in conditions like
sea -
ice thickness.
... A new
sea -
ice albedo parameterization scheme has been developed and implemented
in ECHAM5 general circulation model, and includes important components like albedo decay due to snow aging,
ice thickness dependency and an explicit treatment of melt pond albedo.
And variations
in the
thickness and extent of
sea ice cloaking the Arctic Ocean are driven by yet another set of complicating factors, ranging from long - term shifts
in atmospheric pressure patterns to events as close - focus as the potent Arctic superstorm I reported on earlier this month.
Sea ice less than one year old was somewhat thicker than has been observed
in recent years, with a modal
thickness around 1.8 m, after one of the coldest North American winters
in recent years.
Canadian
Ice Service, 4.7, Multiple Methods As with CIS contributions in June 2009, 2010, and 2011, the 2012 forecast was derived using a combination of three methods: 1) a qualitative heuristic method based on observed end - of - winter arctic ice thicknesses and extents, as well as an examination of Surface Air Temperature (SAT), Sea Level Pressure (SLP) and vector wind anomaly patterns and trends; 2) an experimental Optimal Filtering Based (OFB) Model, which uses an optimal linear data filter to extrapolate NSIDC's September Arctic Ice Extent time series into the future; and 3) an experimental Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) prediction system that tests ocean, atmosphere and sea ice predicto
Ice Service, 4.7, Multiple Methods As with CIS contributions
in June 2009, 2010, and 2011, the 2012 forecast was derived using a combination of three methods: 1) a qualitative heuristic method based on observed end - of - winter arctic
ice thicknesses and extents, as well as an examination of Surface Air Temperature (SAT), Sea Level Pressure (SLP) and vector wind anomaly patterns and trends; 2) an experimental Optimal Filtering Based (OFB) Model, which uses an optimal linear data filter to extrapolate NSIDC's September Arctic Ice Extent time series into the future; and 3) an experimental Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) prediction system that tests ocean, atmosphere and sea ice predicto
ice thicknesses and extents, as well as an examination of Surface Air Temperature (SAT),
Sea Level Pressure (SLP) and vector wind anomaly patterns and trends; 2) an experimental Optimal Filtering Based (OFB) Model, which uses an optimal linear data filter to extrapolate NSIDC's September Arctic Ice Extent time series into the future; and 3) an experimental Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) prediction system that tests ocean, atmosphere and sea ice predicto
Sea Level Pressure (SLP) and vector wind anomaly patterns and trends; 2) an experimental Optimal Filtering Based (OFB) Model, which uses an optimal linear data filter to extrapolate NSIDC's September Arctic
Ice Extent time series into the future; and 3) an experimental Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) prediction system that tests ocean, atmosphere and sea ice predicto
Ice Extent time series into the future; and 3) an experimental Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) prediction system that tests ocean, atmosphere and
sea ice predicto
sea ice predicto
ice predictors.
In our 2010 SIO estimate, it was found that the CFSv2 sea ice extent seemed too excessive (due to too thick ice in the initial condition), and the extent confined within 60 cm of ice thickness matches the real time observatio
In our 2010 SIO estimate, it was found that the CFSv2
sea ice extent seemed too excessive (due to too thick
ice in the initial condition), and the extent confined within 60 cm of ice thickness matches the real time observatio
in the initial condition), and the extent confined within 60 cm of
ice thickness matches the real time observation.
Relatively large expanses of older, multiyear
ice were observed
in the Beaufort
Sea with a modal
thickness around 3.6 m, which was also somewhat thicker than has been observed
in this region recently.
A
sea ice thickness product by Nathan Kurtz, Michael Studinger, and Sinead Farrell is shown
in Figure 6.
We interpret the split of 2013 Outlooks above and below the 4.1 level to different interpretations of the guiding physics: those who considered that observed
sea ice extent
in 2012 being well below the 4.1 level indicates a shift
in arctic conditions, especially with regard to reduced
sea ice thickness and increased
sea ice mobility; and those who have estimates above 4.1 who support a return to the longer - term downward trend line (1979 - 2007).