Global climate model projections for
sea ice trends around Antarctica are at odds with what is being observed.
Not exact matches
It is one of the reasons ascribed to the increasing
trend in
sea ice around Antarctica.
Changes in the winds
around Antarctica therefore change
ice - concentration
trends around Antarctica [8] by influencing
sea -
ice production and melt rates [9].
In fact, as I proposed in my overview of
ice trends last October, the system up there may be becoming more like the
sea ice around Antarctica, which flashes into existence each austral winter and then all disappears each southern summer.
Scientists who study the warming
seas and complicated climate and
ice trends around Antarctica got a big jolt in recent days as yet another great fringing, floating
ice shelf jutting from the Antarctic Peninsula began to disintegrate.
The goal, the scientists say, is to compare independent methods of gauging
ice trends from factors including
sea temperature,
ice thickness and cycles of atmospheric pressure and winds
around the Arctic.
But on the contrary, the Southern Ocean has warmed by
around 0.5 °C in the three decades since satellites began measuring
sea ice trends.
This is an important article, Climategrog, because it shows from a different type of data (date of minimum extent) that something happened
around 2007 to Arctic
sea ice that interrupted a 35 year
trend.
Jonathan Bamber, director of the Bristol Glaciology Centre at the University of Bristol, UK, says: «We have already seen an unusually early start to melting
around the margins of Greenland in 2016 and the new findings from NSIDC of exceptionally low
sea ice extent for May and the lowest Northern Hemisphere snow cover in April for 50 years is in line with the longer - term, decadal
trends for the Arctic as a whole,» said
The oceans have risen by
around 2.5 cm over the last decade, emphasising just how warm the
seas and the atmosphere have become already As
ice caps glaciers and
sea ice show us the
trend in rather obvious ways, scientists studying the phenomena have been shocked.
The modeled evolution of Arctic
sea ice volume appears to be much stronger correlated with changes in
ice thickness than with
ice extent as it shows a similar negative
trend beginning
around the mid-1990s.
The composite record show large
sea ice variations
around a small negative
trend since 1900, although the
trend from a statistical point of view is not significant (Polyakov et al. 2003).
If the
sea ice around Antarctica is growing (on a decadal
trend basis)-- which any schoolboy analysis of freely available basic data shows...... what does this tell you about the certainty of global warming?
From 1978 to 1996, the average
ice cover
around Antarctica showed almost no
trend (a slight increase 1.3 % per decade), however
ice decreased by 2.9 % per decade on average over the arctic
seas (1).