If Sahagian s assumption were applied to the inventory of Gornitz et al. it would imply
a sea level contribution of 0.2 to 1.0 mm / yr.
The net loss in volume and hence
sea level contribution of the Greenland Ice Sheet (GIS) has doubled in recent years from 90 to 220 cubic kilometers / year has been noted recently (Rignot and Kanagaratnam, 2007).
Not exact matches
«Ice loss from this part
of West Antarctica is already making a significant
contribution to
sea -
level rise — around 1 mm per decade, and is actually one
of the largest uncertainties in global
sea -
level rise predictions.
Given the potentially catastrophic
contribution of such land ice to global
sea level rise, a better understanding
of ice dynamics is one
of the key goals
of the IPY.
We obtain a value for the global, eustatic
sea -
level rise
contribution of about 3.3 meters, with important regional variations.
We reassess the potential
contribution to eustatic and regional
sea level from a rapid collapse
of the ice sheet and find that previous assessments have substantially overestimated its likely primary
contribution.
The warming, melting and potential
contributions to
sea level rise from glaciers in Greenland and West Antarctica in the face
of climate change has long since been a serious concern.
Previous projections
of sea level increase did not anticipate such a large
contribution from the Alaskan glaciers.
That means the overall
contribution to
sea level «is still a little fuzzy,» says glaciologist Richard Alley
of Pennsylvania State University.
Since the 1990s, the retreat
of glaciers in Alaska has made a disproportionally large
contribution to global
sea -
level rise.
«By processing the historical archive acquired by the Danish during the last century, they were able to provide an estimation
of the ice sheet
contribution to
sea -
level rise since 1900, which was critically missing in the last IPCC report,» noted Jeremie Mouginot, a climate scientist at the University
of California, Irvine.
This suggests that Greenland's
contribution to global
sea level rise may be even higher in the future,» said Bevis, who is also the Ohio Eminent Scholar in Geodynamics and professor
of earth sciences at Ohio State.
Recent projections show that for even the lowest emissions scenarios, thermal expansion
of ocean waters21 and the melting
of small mountain glaciers22 will result in 11 inches
of sea level rise by 2100, even without any
contribution from the ice sheets in Greenland and Antarctica.
Because existing phenomena — such as thermal expansion
of water from warming — do not fully explain the corrected
sea -
level - rise number
of 3.3 millimeters, stored heat in the deep ocean may be making a significant
contribution, Cazenave said.
Rapidly increasing melt from Greenland and Antarctica may also contribute although ice sheet
contribution is a small part
of sea level rise.
However, if as a consequence
of shortening, the glaciers are also flowing faster, then we would be seeing another (small)
contribution to
sea level rise.
From that number, they have calculated Greenland's
contribution to
sea level rise over that time, which they estimate to be about 10 to 17 percent
of the total global
sea level rise
of about 1 foot since 1900.
Indeed, the most recent IPCC report concluded that the
sea -
level rise
contribution associated such an event «can not be precisely quantified,» but would contribute «several tenths
of a meter»
of global average
sea -
level rise by 2100.
The Greenland ice sheet (GIS) has been melting so slowly and so negligibly in recent decades that the entire ice sheet's total
contribution to global
sea level rise was a mere 0.39
of a centimeter (0.17 to 0.61 cm) between 1993 and 2010 (Leeson et al, 2017).
Marine Biologist Tom Iliffe, also from Texas A&M University at Galveston, said: «Providing a model for the basic function
of this globally - distributed ecosystem is an important
contribution to coastal groundwater ecology and establishes a baseline for evaluating how
sea level rise, seaside touristic development and other stressors will impact the viability
of these lightless, food - poor systems.»
(A separate study led by my collaborator Ben Strauss at Climate Central uses our results to examine the
contribution of the anthropogenic
sea -
level contribution to nuisance flooding in the United States.)
Measurements
of ice sheet elevation changes indicate the volume
of ice lost, and hence the
contribution to
sea levels, he tells Carbon Brief.
This effort is going on, with major projects such as the EU funded Ice2
sea project, which has brought together researchers across disciplines, from across Europe, in order to address the challenges faced in predicting the
contribution of ice sheets to future
sea level change.
Berthier, E., Schiefer, E., Clarke, G.K.C., Menounos, B. & Remy, F.
Contribution of Alaskan glaciers to
sea -
level rise derived from satellite imagery.
The model gives two potential outcomes: one where the
contribution to
sea levels tails off to around 6 cm by 2200, and a second where it accelerates to around 50 cm, and a possible maximum
of 72 cm.
Suzuki, T., et al., 2005: Projection
of future
sea level and its variability in a high - resolution climate model: Ocean processes and Greenland and Antarctic ice - melt
contributions.
Based on individual
contributions tabulated in the Fifth Assessment Report7
of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, this estimate closes the twentieth - century
sea -
level budget.
Last year, an influential publication showed that Antarctica's
contribution to rising
sea levels depends largely on the stability
of these melting ice shelves.
Satellite measurements
of the Patagonian icefields suggest that they are currently rapidly receding and thinning, with a measureable
contribution to eustatic
sea level rise2.
Sea level rise due to ice shelf collapse is as yet limited, but large ice shelves surrounding some of the major Antarctic glaciers could be at risk, and their collapse would result in a significant sea level rise contribution [2
Sea level rise due to ice shelf collapse is as yet limited, but large ice shelves surrounding some
of the major Antarctic glaciers could be at risk, and their collapse would result in a significant
sea level rise contribution [2
sea level rise
contribution [22].
This acceleration in
sea -
level rise is consistent with a doubling in
contribution from melting
of glaciers, ice caps and the Greenland and West - Antarctic ice - sheets.
Scientific knowledge input into process based models has much improved, reducing uncertainty
of known science for some components
of sea -
level rise (e.g. steric changes), but when considering other components (e.g. ice melt from ice sheets, terrestrial water
contribution) science is still emerging, and uncertainties remain high.
Once melt passed 1 mm per year, rapid collapse (within decades) occurred as the grounding line reached the deepest parts
of the marine basin (for reference, total global
sea level rise today is ~ 3 mm per year, so this is a significant
contribution!).
«[B] y making use
of 21 CMIP5 coupled climate models, we study the
contribution of external forcing to the Pacific Ocean regional
sea level variability over 1993 — 2013, and show that according to climate models, externally forced and thereby the anthropogenic
sea level fingerprint on regional
sea level trends in the tropical Pacific is still too small to be observable by satellite altimetry.»
«With hurricane Sandy and [Typhoon] Haiyan, scientists found little
contribution [from human activity] to the storm itself, but the main role
of climate change was through the higher
sea levels.»
The findings «lend support to our confidence in recent estimates
of sea level rise and the increasing ice sheet
contribution,» said Michael Oppenheimer, the Albert G. Milbank professor
of geosciences and international affairs at Princeton University's department
of geosciences, in an email to The Post.
By Jim Steele A better accounting
of natural groundwater discharge is needed to constrain the range
of contributions to
sea level rise.
While this process is a natural part
of the life cycle
of an ice shelf, there is concern that when it occurs, it could usher in a period
of irrevocable retreat and possibly lead to the ice shelf's demise and further
contributions to global
sea level rise.
I didn't see this new paper,
Contribution of Antarctica to Past and Future
Sea -
Level Rise, mentioned in this thread, yet.
The reason it's valuable is that for all the recent discussion
of fast dynamic
contributions to
sea level rise, no one has looked at the glacier dynamics that would be required to accomplish it.
Has realclimate ever done (or considered doing) an entry about the immense
contribution that satellite measurements have made in the past two - three decades, in helping us to understand various components
of the earth system (e.g., vegetation, ozone, ice sheet mass, water vapor content, temperature,
sea level height, storms, aerosols, etc.)?
There's much more to discuss about the significance
of surface melting in relation to Greenland ice loss and — in the end — a rising
contribution to the oceans and
sea -
level rise.
Changes in the Arctic affect the rest
of the world, not only in obvious ways (such as the Arctic's
contribution to
sea -
level rise), but through the Arctic's role in the global climate system, its influence on ocean circulation, and its impacts on mid-latitude weather.
Human
contribution so far to
sea level rise does not seem particularly significant, given the early 20th century rate
of sea level rise is about the same as the current rate.
Mass changes
of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets and shelves and
contributions to
sea -
level rise: 1992 - 2002.
Given the previous
sea -
level trend estimate
of about 1.5 mm / y, there is a gap that requires either that these two components both be at the high end
of projections or that there is a significant
contribution from Antarctica and / or Greenland.
But, in the mean time the question is what to do about rising
sea levels which, even without anthropogenic
contributions of greenhouse gases, would rise and fall as they always have.
Eric Rignot most recent work in 2008 supported a larger, accelerating
contribution of Antarctica's ice mass balance to the rise in
sea level.
In addition, it also uses knowledge about the physics
of sea level rise: it determines the components
of the global
sea -
level rise (e.g. the
contribution from ice melt in Greenland and Antarctica) taking into account the knowledge about the spatial pattern, the so - called «fingerprint» associated with each
of these components.
If a negative surface mass balance were sustained for millennia, that would lead to virtually complete elimination
of the Greenland ice sheet and a resulting
contribution to
sea level rise
of about 7 m.