A report published Thursday by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) finds that
sea level increases over the next century will have significant impacts on coastal communities.
Thus it is simple: doing nothing in this case is very cost effective, and there is plenty of time to look at the real
sea level increase over the next 50 years and if necessary, to start works at the moment (and ever getting better economics) that the real rise is getting critical.
The fastest global
sea level increase over the past 3,000 years occurred during the 20th century.
Not exact matches
That half a degree is the difference between low - lying island states surviving, or Arctic ice remaining
over the North Pole in summer, or
increasing the risk of losing the Western Antarctic Ice Sheet or Greenland ice sheet (either one of which implies an eight - metre
sea level rise.)
«Such warming could cause accelerated melting of glacial ice and a consequent
increase in the
sea level of several feet
over the next century,» she told a meeting of the UK's Royal Society.
The findings were not a total surprise, with future projections showing that even with moderate climate warming, air temperatures
over the higher altitudes
increase even more than at
sea level, and that, on average, fewer winter storm systems will impact the state.
As glaciologist Richard Alley of Pennsylvania State University notes: «The ice sheet is losing mass, this loss has
increased over time, [and] it is not the dominant term in
sea -
level rise — but it matters.»
Over the long term, CO2 will continue to
increase, bringing growing risks from
sea level rise and disruptions to weather patterns.
The region also experienced the highest rates of
sea -
level rise
over the world, indicating large
increases in ocean heat content and leading to substantial impacts on small island states in the region.
Antarctic
sea ice
levels have actually been
increasing slightly
over the past three decades, so this low is unusual.
Dr Brown emphasised that: «
Over the last two and half decades, our scientific understanding of climate change and
sea -
level rise, and how it will affect coastal zones has greatly
increased.
New projections considering changes in
sea level rise, tides, waves and storm surge
over the 21st century find global warming could cause extreme
sea levels to
increase significantly along Europe's coasts by 2100.
Additionally,
sea level rise driven by climate warming combined with coastal subsidence related to human activities
increased the storm surge while urban development such as paving
over grasslands and prairies are likely to have exacerbated flooding.
Over the past two decades, Greenland has seen its contribution to
sea level rise
increase.
«Global
sea levels rose about 2 mm per year
over the last century, but this rate
increased to 3.4 mm / yr
over the last decade.
This dramatic
increase in temperature occurs rapidly
over 5,000 to 7,000 years as glacial sheets begin to decrease in size,
sea levels rise and greenhouse gases
increase.
Rising
sea levels will,
over time, inundate low - lying property and
increase the amount of flooding that occurs during coastal storms.
In contrast, the scenario in Fig. 5A, with global warming peaking just
over 1 °C and then declining slowly, should allow summer
sea ice to survive and then gradually
increase to
levels representative of recent decades.
After
over a year of sideways and downward movement from late 2015 through early 2017, the most recent NASA report shows that
over the past year an acceleration in
sea level rise has become visible on the NASA graph, even with just a quick glance (then again, while the long term trend is consistently upward, the annual trend is so variable, that it's likely foolish on my part to suggest a change in trend based on the most recent periods of
increase which have only been occurring for less than 12 months).
Increasing rates of
sea -
level rise and intensity and frequency of coastal storms and hurricanes
over the next decades will
increase threats to shorelines, wetlands, and coastal development.
Viriato [30] That CSIRO link said, [speaking of the rise
over the last two decades]--- «Whether or not this represents a further
increase in the rate of
sea level rise is not yet certain».
«suggesting that Arctic warming will continue to greatly exceed the global average
over the coming century, with concomitant reductions in terrestrial ice masses and, consequently, an
increasing rate of
sea level rise.»
There are some painful, and even dire, concerns expressed about the potential that Greenland ice sheets could be «entirely lost» if emissions continue at a business - as - usual pace; about the rate of
sea -
level rise
increasing «faster and faster with time»; and about the planet's ice sheets likely becoming «more active»
over coming decades than they have been
over recent decades.
As I recollect,
increased levels of Methane have been reported from both the Arctic
sea regions and also the Russian Tundra
over the last decade.
These scenarios, which span a range of temperature
increase from 1.4 ° to 5.8 °C between 1990 and 2100, lead to a best estimate of
sea -
level rise of 55 to 125 cm
over this period.
The influence of anthropogenic forcing has also been detected in various physical systems
over the last 50 years, including
increases in global oceanic heat content,
increases in
sea level, shrinking of alpine glaciers, reductions in Arctic
sea ice extent, and reductions in spring snow cover (Hegerl et al., 2007).
With global GHG emissions and concentrations continuing to
increase; with climate change intensifying changes in ecosystems, ice sheet deterioration, and
sea level rise; and with fossil fuels providing more than 80 % of the world's energy, the likelihood seems low that cooperative actions will prevent increasingly disruptive climate change
over the next several decades.
If the oceans had been losing energy
over the same period the troposphere was seeing the «pause» or the
sea level declining, or the net glacial mass of Greenland and Antarctica
increasing rather than declining, then the «pause» would be confirmatory evidence that maybe the climate is not as sensitive to
increasing GH gases.
, lightning related insurance claims, Lyme disease, Malaria, malnutrition, Maple syrup shortage, marine diseases, marine food chain decimated, Meaching (end of the world), megacryometeors, Melanoma, methane burps, melting permafrost, migration, microbes to decompose soil carbon more rapidly, more bad air days, more research needed, mountains break up, mudslides, next ice age, Nile delta damaged, no effect in India, nuclear plants bloom, ocean acidification, outdoor hockey threatened, oyster diseases, ozone loss, ozone repair slowed, ozone rise, pests
increase, plankton blooms, plankton loss, plant viruses, polar tours scrapped, psychosocial disturbances, railroad tracks deformed, rainfall
increase, rainfall reduction, refugees, release of ancient frozen viruses, resorts disappear, rift on Capitol Hill, rivers raised, rivers dry up, rockfalls, rocky peaks crack apart, Ross river disease, salinity reduction, Salmonella,
sea level rise, sex change, ski resorts threatened, smog, snowfall
increase, snowfall reduction, societal collapse, songbirds change eating habits, sour grapes, spiders invade Scotland, squid population explosion, spectacular orchids, tectonic plate movement, ticks move northward (Sweden), tides rise, tree beetle attacks, tree foliage
increase (UK), tree growth slowed, trees less colourful, trees more colourful, tropics expansion, tsunamis, Venice flooded, volcanic eruptions, walrus pups orphaned, wars
over water, water bills double, water supply unreliability, water scarcity (20 % of
increase), weeds, West Nile fever, whales move north, wheat yields crushed in Australia, white Christmas dream ends, wildfires, wine — harm to Australian industry, wine industry damage (California), wine industry disaster (US), wine — more English, wine — no more French, wind shift, winters in Britain colder, wolves eat more moose, wolves eat less, workers laid off, World bankruptcy, World in crisis, Yellow fever.
Substantial weakening of the polar cell due to
increase in
sea -
level pressure
over polar latitudes leads to a negative trend of the winter AO index.
Simulated losses are moderate (< 0.25 mm per year
sea level)
over the 21st Century, but generally
increase thereafter.
The 2009 State of the Climate Report of the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) tells us that climate change is real because of rising surface air temperatures since 1880
over land and the ocean, ocean acidification,
sea level rise, glaciers melting, rising specific humidity, ocean heat content
increasing,
sea ice retreating, glaciers diminishing, Northern Hemisphere snow cover decreasing, and so many other lines of evidence.
We might expect «global warming» (i.e., an
increase in average surface air temperatures
over a few decades) to lead to a rise in global mean
sea levels.
coral cover was positively correlated with the mean
sea level experienced
over the preceeding months... the overall picture for these shallow reefs is a positive one as they respond to
increasing sea level and show rapid recovery from environmental disturbances.
The
increasing failure of the monsoon has been attributed to a number of factors including temperatures rising by an average 0.5 degrees Celsius
over the last 100 years, receding Himalayan glaciers and rising
sea levels.
Rising
sea levels will,
over time, inundate low - lying property and
increase the amount of flooding that occurs during coastal storms.
Sea Level: Delegates included new text on the timeframe indicating: a transition in the late 19th to early 20th century from relatively low mean rates of rise over the previous two millennia to higher rates («high confidence»); and that the rate of global mean sea level rise has «likely» (66 - 100 % probability) continued to increase since the early 20th centu
Sea Level: Delegates included new text on the timeframe indicating: a transition in the late 19th to early 20th century from relatively low mean rates of rise over the previous two millennia to higher rates («high confidence»); and that the rate of global mean sea level rise has «likely» (66 - 100 % probability) continued to increase since the early 20th cen
Level: Delegates included new text on the timeframe indicating: a transition in the late 19th to early 20th century from relatively low mean rates of rise
over the previous two millennia to higher rates («high confidence»); and that the rate of global mean
sea level rise has «likely» (66 - 100 % probability) continued to increase since the early 20th centu
sea level rise has «likely» (66 - 100 % probability) continued to increase since the early 20th cen
level rise has «likely» (66 - 100 % probability) continued to
increase since the early 20th century.
Pachauri cited concern
over rising
sea levels, the
increased frequency of drought, heat waves and severe storms, as well as threats to agriculture and adverse impacts on the environment.
The
sea -
level increase, however, would be far worse in certain places, such as the U.S. East Coast, where it could be
over a foot.
«We conclude that, if projections for an
increasing frequency of extreme El Niño and La Niña events
over the twenty - first century are confirmed, then populated regions on opposite sides of the Pacific Ocean basin could be alternately exposed to extreme coastal erosion and flooding, independent of
sea -
level rise,» the authors write.
«Trends and acceleration in global and regional
sea levels since 1807» «Evaluation of the global mean
sea level budget between 1993 and 2014» «Considerations for estimating the 20th century trend in global mean
sea level» «New estimate of the current rate of
sea level rise from a
sea level budget approach» «Reassessment of 20th century global mean
sea level rise» «The
increasing rate of global mean
sea -
level rise during 1993 — 2014» «Unabated global mean
sea -
level rise
over the satellite altimeter era» «An
increase in the rate of global mean
sea level rise since 2010»
Scientists expect a warming world to drive further
sea -
level rise
over this century and beyond.3, 10,11 New York City faces
increases in coastal flooding, the extent and frequency of storm surge, erosion, property damage, and loss of wetlands.3, 12,13
J. T. Fasullo, R. S. Nerem & B. Hamlington Scientific Reports 6, Article number: 31245 (2016) doi: 10.1038 / srep31245 Download Citation Climate and Earth system modellingProjection and prediction Received: 13 April 2016 Accepted: 15 July 2016 Published online: 10 August 2016 Erratum: 10 November 2016 Updated online 10 November 2016 Abstract Global mean
sea level rise estimated from satellite altimetry provides a strong constraint on climate variability and change and is expected to accelerate as the rates of both ocean warming and cryospheric mass loss
increase over time.
Tide gauges and satellite altimetry suggest an
increase in
sea level of 1.5 — 3 mm / yr
over the past 100 years.
The researchers found that as external forcing
increases in strength
over the 21st century,
sea level variability associated with the overturning circulation becomes dominant.
America's WETLAND Foundation Restore - Adapt - Mitigate: Responding To Climate Change Through Coastal Habitat Restoration PDF Coastal habitats are being subjected to a range of stresses from climate change; many of these stresses are predicted to
increase over the next century The most significant effects are likely to be from
sea -
level rise,
increased storm and wave intensity, temperature
increases, carbon dioxide concentration
increases, and changes in precipitation that will alter freshwater delivery.....
Abstract: «Global mean
sea level rise estimated from satellite altimetry provides a strong constraint on climate variability and change and is expected to accelerate as the rates of both ocean warming and cryospheric mass loss
increase over time.
C:
increase in atmospheric CO2 from pre-industrial to present is anthropogenic (D / A) S: best guess for likely climate sensitivity (NUM) s: 2 - sigma range of S (NUM) a: ocean acidification will be a problem (D / A) L: expected
sea level rise by 2100 in cm (all contributions)(NUM) B: climate change will be beneficial (D / A) R: CO2 emissions need to be reduced drastically by 2050 (D / A) T: technical advances will take care of any problems (D / A) r: the 20th century global temperature record is reliable (D / A) H:
over the last 1000 years global temperature was hockey stick shaped (D / A) D: data has been intentionally distorted by scientist to support the idea of anthropogenic climate change (D / A) g: the CRU - mails are important for the science (D / A) G: the CRU - mails are important otherwise (D / A)
Unaffected by a slight
increase in CO2 concentrations,
sea levels began to fall as glaciers began to expand
over the past 5000 years, the Neoglacial.
b) Global
sea levels are still up to 50cms below what they were in the 14th Century and haven't been
increasing exponentially
over the last century.