Although this proves that global
sea surface temperature controls CO2 content in atmosphere, the mechanism has not been known.
In contrast to strong
sea surface temperature control on basin counts, unpredictable internal variability in track density is strong over the Gulf Coast and US East Coast - indicating that prediction of regional cyclone activity, especially landfall hurricanes, is challenging.
Not exact matches
... At
sea surface temperatures above 80 Fahrenheit (27 C), evaporation loads the atmosphere with a critical amount of water vapor... a
controlling factor seems to keep the same thing from happening on Earth.
Its hard to see how the oceans can be warming dramatically due to anthropogenic causes if the
sea surface temperature (
controlled for ENSO, ENSO afteraffects etc) is actually relatively stable.
The component of
sea surface temperature variability that maximizes its integral time scale, obtained from the combination of 14
control runs of CMIP3 climate models.
Now that it is possible to simulate the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) signal explicitly in global atmospheric models, hypotheses about what
controls observed relationships between
sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and the MJO can be explored.
4) By interpreting the analyss of Bob Tisdale, the global
sea surface temperatures used by Endersbee in his calculations have been
controlled by warming of the
sea surface waters outside the tropical
sea surface i.e. mainly by the warming of the
sea surface waters of higher latitudes where the
sea surface CO2 sinks are.
More Scientific Evidence For CO2's Dubious Climate Impact Emerges Image Source: Robertson and Chilingar, 2017 According to the most basic precepts of anthropogenic global warming (AGW), variations in CO2 concentrations exert significant
control on
sea surface temperatures, glaciers,
sea levels, and generalized climate dynamics (i.e., precipitation patterns).
While continental
surfaces can reach
temperatures around 100 ◦ C because of the intense solar and greenhouse heating,
sea surface temperatures remain moderate with a small diurnal variation because they are thermodynamically
controlled by latent - heat cooling
3) In my comment https://judithcurry.com/2011/08/04/carbon-cycle-questions/#comment-198992 I have explained that during recent three decades the increase of CO2 content in atmosphere is
controlled by the rising
temperature of global
sea surface.
«Major improvements include updated and substantially more complete input data from the ICOADS Release 2.5, revised Empirical Orthogonal Teleconnections (EOTs) and EOT acceptance criterion, updated
sea surface temperature (SST) quality control procedures, revised SST anomaly (SSTA) evaluation methods, revised low - frequency data filing in data sparse regions using nearby available observations, updated bias adjustments of ship SSTs using Hadley Nighttime Marine Air Temperature version 2 (HadNMAT2), and buoy SST bias adjustments not previously made in
temperature (SST) quality
control procedures, revised SST anomaly (SSTA) evaluation methods, revised low - frequency data filing in data sparse regions using nearby available observations, updated bias adjustments of ship SSTs using Hadley Nighttime Marine Air
Temperature version 2 (HadNMAT2), and buoy SST bias adjustments not previously made in
Temperature version 2 (HadNMAT2), and buoy SST bias adjustments not previously made in v3b.»
We also make use of two lengthy
control simulations conducted with CESM1 under constant 1850 radiative conditions: a 2200 - year
control run using the fully - coupled configuration (hereafter termed the «coupled
control run»), and a 2600 - year
control run using only the atmospheric model component coupled to the land model component from CESM1 with a specified repeating seasonal cycle of
sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and
sea ice conditions taken from the long - term climatology of the fully - coupled
control run (hereafter termed the «atmospheric
control run»).
Long - term mean ocean current velocities at 100 m depth (vectors, unit: m s — 1) and
sea surface temperature (colours, °C) around the Kuroshio and the Kuroshio Extension obtained from a
control experiment forced by pre-industrial conditions (CO2 concentration 295.9 ppm) using MIROC3.2 (hires).
The average
surface air
temperature is always tied to the average
sea surface temperature so that the weather systems render any greenhouse warming process in the air ineffective and then leave the oceanic influence in unchallenged
control.
This means that the global mean
sea surface temperature mainly
controls the CO2 content in the atmosphere; when the mean
sea surface temperature is rising, the CO2 content in the atmosphere is increasing.
It means that the global
sea surface temperatures used by Endersbee in his calculations have been
controlled by warming of the
sea surface waters outside the tropical
sea surface i.e. mainly the warming of the
sea surface waters of higher latitudes where the
sea surface CO2 sinks are.
Here we present a global synthesis of
sea surface temperatures for the Common Era (ce) derived from 57 individual marine reconstructions that meet strict quality
control criteria.
The oceans
control the background rate of energy flow from ocean to air via The Hot Water Bottle Effect and it is the energy flow from ocean to air (supplemented to a miniscule extent by the greenhouse effect) that drives the rate of evaporation by creating varying
temperature differentials between
sea surface and air at the
surface.
This correlation provides evidence that the translation speed of a storm can exert a significant
control on the intensity of storms by modulating the strength of the negative effect of the storm - induced
sea surface temperature (SST) reduction on the storm intensification (i.e., the SST feedback): Faster - moving storms tend to generate weaker
sea surface cooling and have shorter exposure to the cooling, both of which tend to weaken the negative SST feedback
Based on the understanding of both the physical processes that
control key climate feedbacks (see Section 8.6.3), and also the origin of inter-model differences in the simulation of feedbacks (see Section 8.6.2), the following climate characteristics appear to be particularly important: (i) for the water vapour and lapse rate feedbacks, the response of upper - tropospheric RH and lapse rate to interannual or decadal changes in climate; (ii) for cloud feedbacks, the response of boundary - layer clouds and anvil clouds to a change in
surface or atmospheric conditions and the change in cloud radiative properties associated with a change in extratropical synoptic weather systems; (iii) for snow albedo feedbacks, the relationship between
surface air
temperature and snow melt over northern land areas during spring and (iv) for
sea ice feedbacks, the simulation of
sea ice thickness.
Recent studies show that global high - resolution models have remarkable skill in simulating the interannual variability in cyclone counts, implicating strong
control by
sea surface temperatures patterns.
So evaporation doesn't
control sea surface temperatures, but it does couple that
surface temperature to the overlying air
temperature, but importantly one needs to satisfy the TOA budget to determine what that
temperature is, i.e., it wouldn't be correct to assume there's an upper bound on SSTs after which evaporation is so efficient that the
temperature can't increase much more.
[2] However, there is an extremely wide range of natural variability in tropical cyclone activity, and other factors affected by climate change, such as wind shear and the global pattern of regional
sea surface temperatures, also play
controlling and potentially contradictory roles.