Rind, D., J. Lerner, J. Perlwitz, C. McLinden, and M. Prather, 2002: Sensitivity of tracer transports and stratospheric ozone to
sea surface temperature patterns in the doubled CO2 climate.
Not exact matches
There has been a persistent feature
in the
sea surface temperature field to support this
pattern, and we should keep an eye on it.
The ongoing La Niña
pattern, where there are colder than normal
sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, favors these types of conditions.
Both the 2005 and 2010 droughts were the result of a «very, very unusual» weather
pattern linked to higher
sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean, said lead author Simon Lewis, a tropical forests expert at the University of Leeds.
The future of the currents, whether slowing, stopping or reversing (as was observed during several months measurements), could have a profound effect on regional weather
patterns — from colder winters
in Europe to a much warmer Caribbean (and hence warmer
sea surface temperatures to feed hurricanes).
A new NASA visualization shows the 2015 El Niño unfolding
in the Pacific Ocean, as
sea surface temperatures create different
patterns than seen
in the 1997 - 1998 El Niño.
Researchers from the University of California Irvine have shown that a phenomenon known as the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO)-- a natural
pattern of variation
in North Atlantic
sea surface temperatures that switches between a positive and negative phase every 60 - 70 years — can affect an atmospheric circulation
pattern, known as the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), that influences the
temperature and precipitation over the Northern Hemisphere
in winter.
The underlying
pattern in this year's fire forecast is driven by the fact that the western Amazon is more heavily influence by
sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic, and the eastern Amazon's fire severity risk correlates to
sea surface temperature changes
in the tropical Pacific Ocean.
In recent years, a brand of research called «climate attribution science» has sprouted from this question, examining the impact of extreme events to determine how much — often in fractional terms — is related to human - induced climate change, and how much to natural variability (whether in climate patterns such as the El Niño / La Niña - Southern Oscillation, sea - surface temperatures, changes in incoming solar radiation, or a host of other possible factors
In recent years, a brand of research called «climate attribution science» has sprouted from this question, examining the impact of extreme events to determine how much — often
in fractional terms — is related to human - induced climate change, and how much to natural variability (whether in climate patterns such as the El Niño / La Niña - Southern Oscillation, sea - surface temperatures, changes in incoming solar radiation, or a host of other possible factors
in fractional terms — is related to human - induced climate change, and how much to natural variability (whether
in climate patterns such as the El Niño / La Niña - Southern Oscillation, sea - surface temperatures, changes in incoming solar radiation, or a host of other possible factors
in climate
patterns such as the El Niño / La Niña - Southern Oscillation,
sea -
surface temperatures, changes
in incoming solar radiation, or a host of other possible factors
in incoming solar radiation, or a host of other possible factors).
Previous research had demonstrated a link between some droughts and peculiar
patterns of
sea surface temperatures in different parts of the world.
El Niño is a weather
pattern characterized by a periodic fluctuation
in sea surface temperature and air pressure
in the Pacific Ocean, which causes climate variability over the course of years, sometimes even decades.
Sea surface temperature data since 1882 document large El Niño - like
patterns following four out of five big eruptions: Santa María (Guatemala)
in October 1902, Mount Agung (Indonesia)
in March 1963, El Chichón (Mexico)
in April 1982 and Pinatubo
in June 1991.
The study stops short of attributing California's latest drought to changes
in Arctic
sea ice, partly because there are other phenomena that play a role, like warm
sea surface temperatures and changes to the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, an atmospheric climate
pattern that typically shifts every 20 to 30 years.
In late 2010 and early 2011, the continent Down Under received about twice its normal complement of rain, thanks in large part to unusually warm sea - surface temperatures just north of Australia and a particularly strong La Niña — in essence, combining a source of warm humid air with the weather patterns that steered the moisture over the continent where it condensed and fell as precipitatio
In late 2010 and early 2011, the continent Down Under received about twice its normal complement of rain, thanks
in large part to unusually warm sea - surface temperatures just north of Australia and a particularly strong La Niña — in essence, combining a source of warm humid air with the weather patterns that steered the moisture over the continent where it condensed and fell as precipitatio
in large part to unusually warm
sea -
surface temperatures just north of Australia and a particularly strong La Niña —
in essence, combining a source of warm humid air with the weather patterns that steered the moisture over the continent where it condensed and fell as precipitatio
in essence, combining a source of warm humid air with the weather
patterns that steered the moisture over the continent where it condensed and fell as precipitation.
Changes
in the
temperature of the
sea surface in the Indian and Atlantic Oceans are linked to the
pattern of rainfall over parts of the surrounding continents.
Normalised RMS error
in simulation of climatological
patterns of monthly precipitation, mean
sea level pressure and
surface air
temperature.
As discussed
in the Climate chapter, large - scale atmospheric circulation
patterns connected to changes
in sea -
surface temperatures strongly influence natural variations
in precipitation and
temperature (e.g., Cayan et al. 1999; Mantua and Hare 2002).
Long - term (decadal and multi-decadal) variation
in total annual streamflow is largely influenced by quasi-cyclic changes
in sea -
surface temperatures and resulting climate conditions; the influence of climate warming on these
patterns is uncertain.
Shabbar, A. & Skinner, W. Summer drought
patterns in Canada and the relationship to global
sea surface temperatures.
El Niño is a Pacific - driven climate
pattern that features warmer - than - normal
sea surface temperatures in the eastern tropics of that ocean basin.
This seems to be associated with particular
patterns of change
in sea surface temperature in the Atlantic and Pacific oceans, a teleconnection which is well - captured
in climate models on seasonal timescales.
In contrast to historical droughts, future drying is not linked to any particular pattern of change in sea surface temperature but seems to be the result of an overall surface warming driven by rising greenhouse gase
In contrast to historical droughts, future drying is not linked to any particular
pattern of change
in sea surface temperature but seems to be the result of an overall surface warming driven by rising greenhouse gase
in sea surface temperature but seems to be the result of an overall
surface warming driven by rising greenhouse gases.
«The climate
patterns responsible for the expected above - normal 2007 hurricane season continue to be the ongoing multi-decadal signal (the set of oceanic and atmospheric conditions that have spawned increased Atlantic hurricane activity since 1995), warmer - than - normal
sea surface temperatures in key areas of the Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea, and the El Nino / La Nina cycle&raq
sea surface temperatures in key areas of the Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean
Sea, and the El Nino / La Nina cycle&raq
Sea, and the El Nino / La Nina cycle»
«West Coast
sea surface and coastal air
temperatures evolved
in lockstep with changing
patterns of atmospheric pressure and winds.»
The coincidence of this area loss and a 30 square kilometer loss
in 2008 with abnormal warmth this year, the setting of increasing
sea surface temperatures and
sea ice decline are all part of a climate warming
pattern.
My colleagues Mihai Dima and Gerrit Lohmann of the Alfred Wegener Institute
in Germany
in a 2010 study analysed the
patterns of changes
in global
sea surface temperatures.
But it does say; «Natural climate variations, which tend to involve localized changes
in sea surface temperature, may have a larger effect on hurricane activity than the more uniform
patterns of global warming...»
Canadian Ice Service, 4.7, Multiple Methods As with CIS contributions
in June 2009, 2010, and 2011, the 2012 forecast was derived using a combination of three methods: 1) a qualitative heuristic method based on observed end - of - winter arctic ice thicknesses and extents, as well as an examination of
Surface Air
Temperature (SAT),
Sea Level Pressure (SLP) and vector wind anomaly patterns and trends; 2) an experimental Optimal Filtering Based (OFB) Model, which uses an optimal linear data filter to extrapolate NSIDC's September Arctic Ice Extent time series into the future; and 3) an experimental Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) prediction system that tests ocean, atmosphere and sea ice predicto
Sea Level Pressure (SLP) and vector wind anomaly
patterns and trends; 2) an experimental Optimal Filtering Based (OFB) Model, which uses an optimal linear data filter to extrapolate NSIDC's September Arctic Ice Extent time series into the future; and 3) an experimental Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) prediction system that tests ocean, atmosphere and
sea ice predicto
sea ice predictors.
Normalised RMS error
in simulation of climatological
patterns of monthly precipitation, mean
sea level pressure and
surface air
temperature.
But it wouldn't be an El Nino
in the complete sense (the
sea surface temperature anomalies along with the associated changes to the dominant weather
patterns).
Jarraud said 16 - 20 percent of the 2015 rise may be due to El Niño, a natural weather
pattern marked by warming
sea -
surface temperatures in the Pacific Ocean.
My research group has just submitted a paper for publication on the subject of autumn
sea ice
patterns as a precursor for wintertime snowfall and
surface temperatures in the Northern Hemisphere.
To see if that could be the case, Hartmann used climate models, where he could plug
in the warm
sea surface temperatures and see if the East - West
pattern followed.
It seems that the El Niño - related warmer
sea surface temperatures in the eastern equatorial Pacific
in late winter cause deep convection
patterns to shift eastward.
In order to understand California's precipitation
patterns and the influence of El Niño better, Bor - Ting Jong from the Lamont - Doherty Earth Observatory at Columbia University and her colleagues used
sea surface temperature and weather data from as far back as 1901.
Indeed that most recent warming occurred as ENSO dragon kings
in 1976/77 and 1998/2001 and that the satellite evidence suggests that cloud radiative forcing dominated
in the interim
in a secular
pattern negatively correlated with
sea surface temperature.
Coastal impacts of climate change include rise
in sea level and changes
in circulatory and
sea surface temperature patterns.
The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) is a naturally occurring
pattern of
sea surface temperature change that is seen
in the North Atlantic Ocean on decadal timescales and affects weather and climate.
More Scientific Evidence For CO2's Dubious Climate Impact Emerges Image Source: Robertson and Chilingar, 2017 According to the most basic precepts of anthropogenic global warming (AGW), variations
in CO2 concentrations exert significant control on
sea surface temperatures, glaciers,
sea levels, and generalized climate dynamics (i.e., precipitation
patterns).
Burgmann et al (2008) discuss this
in terms of a Pacific Decadal Variation (PDV)-- and describe the
sea surface temperature signature as «characterized by a broad triangular
pattern in the tropical Pacific surrounded by opposite anomalies
in the midlatitudes of the central and western Pacific Basin.»
Sea surface heights are influenced by ocean
temperatures and winds, and so
in turn reflect the overarching conditions of ocean regions, including
patterns like El Niño and La Niña.
Index Profile of the Stadium Wave: ■ Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO)-- a monopolar
pattern of
sea -
surface -
temperature (SST) anomalies
in theNorth Atlantic Ocean.
Type 2 results, even from global models used
in a prediction mode, still retain real world information
in the atmosphere (such as from long wave jet stream
patterns), as well as
sea surface temperatures, deep soil moisture, and other climate variables that have long term persistence.
Publishing
in the journal Nature he argued, «The changes are all associated with
patterns of dry - season mist frequency, which is negatively correlated with
sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific.»
Let me try to rephrase the ENSO - PDO relationship so that you can understand it: ENSO creates the PDO spatial
pattern in sea surface temperature anomalies, which is why the PDO is called an ENSO - like
pattern.
Canadian Ice Service; 5.0; Statistical As with Canadian Ice Service (CIS) contributions
in June 2009 and June 2010, the 2011 forecast was derived using a combination of three methods: 1) a qualitative heuristic method based on observed end - of - winter Arctic Multi-Year Ice (MYI) extents, as well as an examination of
Surface Air
Temperature (SAT),
Sea Level Pressure (SLP) and vector wind anomaly patterns and trends; 2) an experimental Optimal Filtering Based (OFB) Model which uses an optimal linear data filter to extrapolate NSIDC's September Arctic Ice Extent time series into the future; and 3) an experimental Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) prediction system that tests ocean, atmosphere, and sea ice predicto
Sea Level Pressure (SLP) and vector wind anomaly
patterns and trends; 2) an experimental Optimal Filtering Based (OFB) Model which uses an optimal linear data filter to extrapolate NSIDC's September Arctic Ice Extent time series into the future; and 3) an experimental Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) prediction system that tests ocean, atmosphere, and
sea ice predicto
sea ice predictors.
By examining the spatial
pattern of both types of climate variation, the scientists found that the anthropogenic global warming signal was relatively spatially uniform over the tropical oceans and thus would not have a large effect on the atmospheric circulation, whereas the PDO shift
in the 1990s consisted of warming
in the tropical west Pacific and cooling
in the subtropical and east tropical Pacific, which would enhance the existing
sea surface temperature difference and thus intensify the circulation.
In addition, the pattern of sea surface temperatures at low latitudes is extremely important for regional climate variations (shown, for example, by the increased likelihood of heavy winter rainfall in California when the eastern tropical Pacific warms in El Niño events
In addition, the
pattern of
sea surface temperatures at low latitudes is extremely important for regional climate variations (shown, for example, by the increased likelihood of heavy winter rainfall
in California when the eastern tropical Pacific warms in El Niño events
in California when the eastern tropical Pacific warms
in El Niño events
in El Niño events).
And the
pattern of
sea surface temperature anomalies that arise
in consequence of the flux of ozone into the troposphere (and the resulting change
in cloud cover) is intimately related to the GPH anomalies.
As a hydrologist — I would happily predict much more summer rainfall
in Australia, India, China, Indonesia and Africa for a decade or three more — based on
patterns of
sea surface temperature in the Pacific.