No team was able to scrape together a winning
season against the spread, and the highest moneyline unit total belonged to the Titans at just 2.7.
The New York Jets used variations of the 4 — 3 for the 2012 NFL
season against spread offenses, but will stick with the 3 - 4 defense as its base.
Not exact matches
During the regular
season we picked seven games a weekend
against the
spread as our best bets, and went a comfortably profitable 54 -43-1 in that span.
With Kerry Collins and Curtis Painter under center for the first 11 weeks of the
season, Indianapolis went winless and posted a dismal 2 - 9 record
against the
spread (ATS).
This
season home teams are 23 - 9 overall and 19 -12-1
against the
spread (ATS).
This past weekend, old Dan McGuire, noted witch from Salem, wrote about how Vanderbilt was on a terrible streak
against the
spread, as they had started the
season 0 - 8 ATS.
In eight
seasons with Chicago, Cutler has gone just 51 - 51 SU and 46 - 56
against the
spread (ATS).
This
season, teams with a one - game losing streak have gone 52 - 40
against the
spread (ATS) and that trend has long been documented.
That's particularly interesting since the Celtics received less than 30 % of
spread tickets just once during the regular
season (November 25th
against the Spurs).
Tuesday's St. Petersburg Bowl was the first game of this bowl
season to fit the system and saw Marshall, a 5 - point underdog
against Florida International, close with 30 % of all
spread bets.
In fact, we detail this bias in our 2011 - 12 Betting
Against the Public article which shows that betting on teams who receive fewer than 30 % of
spread wagers have won at 50.9 % over the past eight
seasons — and that number jumps to 54.4 % when focusing solely at visitors.
In fact, they only received 24 % of
spread bets in their Week 2 matchup
against the Packers which was the second least popular side of the young
season.
Carolina holds the edge in nearly every major statistical category, but haven't fared well at home
against the
spread this
season, going 2 - 5.
Not really, but covering a big
spread against the Chargers on the road was impressive considering where the Browns have been most of the
season.
This tried and true scheme is what Alabama began the game with
against Texas A&M last
season, ostensibly a Big 12
spread team that was about to learn what big - league SEC football was all about.
With this game hovering around 70 - 30 in terms of ticket percentages, it might behoove you to know that teams receiving 30 % or less of bets have gone 92 -67-8
against the
spread this
season.
The table below displays the
against the
spread (ATS) results of late
season NFL games for home underdogs at two different point -
spread levels since the start of the 2003
season.
After the San Francisco 49ers just finished off an ugly 2 - 14
season in which they finished just 4 -11-1
against the
spread, ownership was quick to let go of their GM Trent Baalke and head coach...
Immediately, I saw that simply betting
against any ranked team had produced a 1495 - 1465 ATS (
against the
spread) record since the start of the 2005
season.
All stats below represent
Against the
Spread (ATS) records since the start of the 2005
season.
The Browns also lost eight consecutive games
against the
spread last
season, with all eight coming as an underdog.
With the Rams (+11.5) covering the
spread in their
season finale
against the 49ers, home dogs of 8 + points are now 20 - 8 since 2003.
These teams faced off four times during the regular
season, with the Cavs going 3 - 1 straight up and
against the
spread.
Carolina has been a huge disappointment this year for contrarian investors, with a 3 - 9 record «
against the
spread» — but SportsInsights analysts are circling this game due to the trend for home dogs to outperform late in NFL
seasons + «buying a way - undervalued team.»
Buffalo is 0 - 3
against the
spread as an underdog this
season, losing each of those games by 20 points or more, according to Odds Shark.
Funny Gazidis doesn't mention why the need to play
against some obscure team on the other side of the world before the
season starts... maybe
spreading the brand that keeps growing and changes nothing for results on the field?
The Flyers initiated several bench - clearing brawls during the exhibition
season, including a disgraceful donnybrook
against Boston that
spread to the corridors of the Spectrum.
The 0 - 3 Chargers will be going for their first win and cover of the
season, as they've been the victims of a few tough beats this year and are now at 0 -2-1
against the
spread.
Nick Saban's Tide rolled through every opponent on their schedule this
season, going 14 - 0 straight up (SU) and 10 - 4
against the
spread (ATS).
History suggests that they'll do better in the second half of the
season, as all five previous super teams I examined did better
against the
spread in the second half than they did in the first half.
On the
season, underdogs have gone 266 - 228 ATS (53.8 %)
against conference opponents including a 208 - 172 ATS (54.7 %) record when they're receiving less than 50 % of
spread bets.
This team has the potential to push for 50 wins and it wouldn't surprise me if they get rid of Kidd, who went just 36 - 46
against the
spread last
season, third worst in the league.
The loss marked the fourth straight time the Barkley Era Trojans have fallen to the Cardinal and, coupled with the fact that USC is 0 - 3
Against the
Spread (ATS) this
season, we wondered whether it would affect their status as a weekly public darling.
In our 2011 - 12 Betting
Against the Public article we found that visitors receiving less than 25 % of
spread wagers have a winning percentage of 54.8 % over the past eight
seasons.
Teams that open as the betting favorite and then subsequently see their line rise before kickoff are 36 -32-3 (52.9 %)
against the closing
spread for the
season... and 21 -11-2 (65.6 %) in November and December.
By applying Bet Labs» «Days Between Games» filter, we were able to determine that teams playing in the second game of a back - to - back have an
against the
spread (ATS) record of 2058 - 2118 (49.3 % win rate) in regular
season games dating back to 2005.
With high - profile coaching changes at USC, Washington and Boise State this
season, we looked back in our database of sports betting information to examine how teams historically perform ATS (
against the
spread) with new coaches in bowl games.
That's not even necessarily a bad thing, seeing as ranked teams perform better
against the
spread early in the
season than at any other point.
By going
against the grain and taking every unranked team
against the
spread, bettors would have gone 1212 - 1163 ATS (51.0 %) over the past eleven
seasons.
Since taking over halfway through the 2010 - 11
season, Vogel has gone 250 - 181 straight up (58 %) and 247 - 239
against the
spread (50.8 %).
They were terrific
against the
spread throughout the
season, won 66 games, and won the NBA title.
This
season, our marketwatch selections have gotten off to a slow start, but the contrarian approach has been highly effective as evidenced by our 37 - 25 combined record
Against the
Spread (ATS) with square plays and best bets.
Following a 10 - 6
against the
spread (ATS) record in 2016, Atlanta has burned bettors by covering only two of their first seven games this
season.
The Nets have done surprisingly well this
season with 14 wins in 37 games, but their record
against the
spread is even more baffling.
Over the past six
seasons, the public has been correct only about 48 % of the time
against the
spread in «lopsided - bet» games.
Urban Meyer improves 31 - 9
against the
spread with more than a week to prepare, including
season openers.
In fact, the Warriors have received a majority of
spread tickets in all but one game this
season (they received 49 % of
spread tickets in their November 3rd showdown
against the Oklahoma City Thunder).
McGloin started a five - game stretch for the Raiders back at the end of the 2013
season, going 1 - 4 overall and 2 - 3
against the
spread.
A profitable contrarian strategy for bowl games is betting teams that were bad
against the
spread in the regular
season.
Last
season, there were three teams with at least 10 wins
against the
spread and these were two of them.