It's worth noting that this is a somewhat limited sample size, however, it does fit with the regular
season public betting trends we have observed.
However,
this season public betting actually becomes unprofitable at the 30 % level which is ironic because that's the ideal range for our betting against the public system.
Not exact matches
We always preach the value of
betting against the
public, but this
season that's been an especially profitable strategy in conference games.
Betting Against the
Public was very profitable during the first half of the 2011 MLB
Season, and this game is one we'll keep our eye on when selecting the day's Best
Bets and Square Plays.
Before the
season we wrote our annual College Basketball and
Betting Against the
Public article, which found that road underdogs of 10 - 20 points had won at a 54.6 % clip since 2008.
We're more than halfway through the NBA
season and already it has been a terrific year for
betting against the
public.
As you can see, our NFL Best
Bets have been profitable in each of these
seasons and our
betting against the
public philosophy has been a large part of this success.
The
Public's 5 - 3 week brings the
Public's record to 63 - 64 = 49.6 % in lopsided -
bet games for the 2010 NFL
season.
Before every
season, the team at Sports Insights publishes a series of
Betting Against the Public articles which highlights the sweet spots for contrarian b
Betting Against the
Public articles which highlights the sweet spots for contrarian
bettingbetting.
Sacramento also fits into a key filter of ours mentioned in this
season's
Betting Against the
Public article, getting 10 + points on the road while receiving less than 35 % of
bets.
Before each
season, Sports Insights publishes a
Betting Against the Public article that breaks down the most profitable levels (in terms of betting trends levels, home / visitor, etc.) for each of the major
Betting Against the
Public article that breaks down the most profitable levels (in terms of
betting trends levels, home / visitor, etc.) for each of the major
betting trends levels, home / visitor, etc.) for each of the major sports.
Betting against the
public when the
public is more than 75 % on one side has yielded profits in this year's football
season.
Before the start of every
season we publish a series of
Betting Against the Public articles which utilizes our public betting trends to highlight the sweet spots for contrarian b
Betting Against the
Public articles which utilizes our public betting trends to highlight the sweet spots for contrarian be
Public articles which utilizes our
public betting trends to highlight the sweet spots for contrarian be
public betting trends to highlight the sweet spots for contrarian b
betting trends to highlight the sweet spots for contrarian
bettingbetting.
12/22/11 — Large NFL Home Underdogs Provide Late
Season Value 12/14/11 — College Football Bowl
Season 70/30
Betting System 12/07/11 — In the 13th Week He Rose Again:
Public Bettors Back on Tebow 11/30/11 — Identifying False Line Moves 11/16/11 — How to Win with Steam Moves 11/09/11 — Optimum Levels for
Betting Against the
Public 11/02/11 — Boston Bruins Pounding the
Public 10/19/11 — The Tim Tebow Effect 10/12/11 —
Public Chasing Their Way to Even in 2011 10/05 / 11 — The
Public's Love / Hate Relationship with the 2011 Buffalo Bills
The
Public finished with a record of 63 - 64 = 49.6 % in lopsided -
bet games for the 2010 NFL
season.
SportsInsights» contrarian method of
Betting Against the
Public methods in the NFL, including Square Plays, Best
Bets, and MarketWatch had a solid
season, with Square Plays and NFL MarketWatch producing a combined winning percentage of just under 55 %.
In fact, we detail this bias in our 2011 - 12
Betting Against the Public article which shows that betting on teams who receive fewer than 30 % of spread wagers have won at 50.9 % over the past eight seasons — and that number jumps to 54.4 % when focusing solely at vi
Betting Against the
Public article which shows that
betting on teams who receive fewer than 30 % of spread wagers have won at 50.9 % over the past eight seasons — and that number jumps to 54.4 % when focusing solely at vi
betting on teams who receive fewer than 30 % of spread wagers have won at 50.9 % over the past eight
seasons — and that number jumps to 54.4 % when focusing solely at visitors.
During the regular
season the
public loves
betting on favorites and overs, but that trend does not always hold up during bowl
season.
The college basketball
season may be over, but make sure to bookmark our free NCAAB odds page for the latest odds,
public betting trends, futures and more.
Here, we look at updated performance for «
Betting Against the
Public» — now that we're at the midpoint of the Football
Season.
The 2010 - 11 NHL
Season is starting and Sports Insights» researchers are pleased to update our popular series of «
Betting Against the
Public» articles to help our Sports Insights Members < improve their hockey results.
They also fit the criteria for our 2015 NFL
Betting Against the
Public system which has gone 7 - 3 ATS this
season and 118 - 68 ATS all - time.
During the regular
season, sportsbooks almost always adjust their lines based on the action of their sharpest bettors, and they won't move the number based on
public money unless there's a marquee matchup with one - sided
public betting and limited sharp action on the other side.
This same strategy should be implemented during the regular
season, as there's no value
betting against the
public when sharps and squares are on the same side.
Bettors can find a number of useful articles on our College Football blog page, and we'd recommend visiting our free NCAAF odds page throughout bowl
season for the latest odds and
public betting trends.
Before the start of every
season, we publish a series of
Betting Against the Public articles which utilize our public betting trends to highlight the sweet spots for contrarian b
Betting Against the
Public articles which utilize our public betting trends to highlight the sweet spots for contrarian be
Public articles which utilize our
public betting trends to highlight the sweet spots for contrarian be
public betting trends to highlight the sweet spots for contrarian b
betting trends to highlight the sweet spots for contrarian
bettingbetting.
While the Bills have given their fans something to cheer for, they've been a nightmare for the
betting public so far this
season.
Akron has lost all ten of their games this
season while being outscored 388 - 151, so it's not surprising to see the
betting public willing to take Miami and give the points.
Earlier this
season we published our annual MLB
Betting Against the Public report which detailed a contrarian betting system that had produced +112.96 units and a 16.6 % ROI sinc
Betting Against the
Public report which detailed a contrarian
betting system that had produced +112.96 units and a 16.6 % ROI sinc
betting system that had produced +112.96 units and a 16.6 % ROI since 2005.
I'd suggest reading one of our
Bet Against the
Public reports which are publish at the beginning of ever
season.
Although the college basketball handles in November, December and January are smaller due to the ongoing football
season, there's still value
betting against the
public in the most heavily
bet games.
Back in April we detailed a system for
betting against the
public during the regular
season that has gone 314 - 380 (+112.45 units, 16 % ROI) since 2005 including a 16 - 13 mark (+11.72 units, 40 % ROI).
The 2012 - 13 college basketball
season is in full - swing and, using our
Bet Labs software, we've updated our analysis on the performance of
betting against the
public.
Public betting has limited impact on the college basketball marketplace, and sportsbooks take most of their early
season handle from sharper players.
Looking at every game played since the start of the 2005
season,
betting against the
public hasn't been a profitable strategy until we reach the 20 % threshold.
Editors Note: This article was initially published on March 30, 2015: Prior to the start of every
season, we release a series of
betting against the
public articles which discuss the optimal thresholds for fading the
public.
College Football has been one of Sports Insights «most consistent sports» in terms of «
betting against the
public» — with NO losing
seasons since Sports Insights started publishing Square Plays back in 2003.
Historically, the
public likes
betting on good teams and there is often carryover between
seasons, whether or not it is deserved.
Our 2014 MLB
Betting Against the Public Report detailed a lucrative system that has earned +110.96 units since the start of the 2005 season; however, many readers have asked us whether this same contrarian approach applies to betting
Betting Against the
Public Report detailed a lucrative system that has earned +110.96 units since the start of the 2005
season; however, many readers have asked us whether this same contrarian approach applies to
betting betting totals.
As you can see, it hasn't been a profitable strategy to
bet against the
public during the 2016 - 17 college basketball
season, and there are many reasons for that.
We always stress the importance of knowing where the square and sharp money is and
Betting against the
Public during the college football bowl
season has performed well every year without any big swings or valleys in the results.
With the 2012 - 13 NBA
season underway, we decided to fire up our
Bet Labs software and update our analysis on the optimum levels for
Betting Against the
Public in the NBA.
To start, we know historically in the NHL that when
betting against the
public in the regular
season, road underdogs have fared better than home underdogs.
Our first article studied the performance of SI's «
Bet Against the
Public» strategy on the NBA, near the midpoint of last year's
season.
We will continue to monitors this trend throughout the
season, so make sure to check - in with our blog and view our NBA
betting trends to see who the
public is
betting on.
Combining the Bias for Home teams during the Playoffs with
Betting Against the Public, we find that betting on Home Teams with less than about 40 % of the Public on the Home Team — has resulted in a winning percentage in excess 60 % over the past three playoff s
Betting Against the
Public, we find that
betting on Home Teams with less than about 40 % of the Public on the Home Team — has resulted in a winning percentage in excess 60 % over the past three playoff s
betting on Home Teams with less than about 40 % of the
Public on the Home Team — has resulted in a winning percentage in excess 60 % over the past three playoff
seasons.
Blindly following a broad strategy such as
betting against the
public isn't always effective, which is why our annual
betting against the
public report has to look at other factors that can better produce a winning
season.
MLB — Today is the last day of MLB games before the All - Star break but we've analyzed how well
Betting Against the
Public has performed thus far on the
season.
This
season,
betting «Bama has been a surprisingly profitable investment, even though the team is a
public darling.
Since the start of the 2004 - 05 NBA
season we've released an NBA
Betting Against the
Public article.