Sentences with phrase «seasonal climate forecast»

A seasonal climate forecast isn't a weather forecast you fool.

This new prediction system shows the multi-year predictive skills of drought and wildfire conditions beyond the typical timescale of seasonal climate forecast models.

A unified treatment of weather and climate models (i.e. the same dynamical cores for the atmosphere and ocean are used for models across the range of time scales) transfers confidence from the weather and seasonal climate forecast models to the climate models used in century scale simulations.

ICPAC carries out and issues seasonal climate forecast in the last week of February, May and August each year.

Also, according to the researchers, seasonal climate forecasts enable a more effective and dynamic adaptation to climate variability and change, offering an underexploited opportunity to reduce the fire impact of adverse climate conditions.

Such is the nature of seasonal climate forecasting when there is enough forecast uncertainty that «busts» can and do occur.

Farmers are often willing to experiment with new crops, but would benefit from information about local market prices and seasonal climate forecasts, as well as help with inputs — which could be provided by research organisations and development groups working in the field, Thornton told AlertNet from Nairobi.

Seasonal climate forecasts (e.g., temperature, North Atlantic Oscillation, Arctic Oscillation, El Nino Southern Oscillation) that may help guide ice forecasts.

The seasonal climate forecasts is a blend of the two techniques.

Fully coupled global climate model experiments are performed using the Community Climate System Model version 4.0 (CCSM4) for preindustrial, present, and future climate to study the effects of realistic land surface initializations on subseasonal to seasonal climate forecasts.

During the workshop, delegates assessed different ways to incorporate seasonal climate forecasts into farmer decision making, using several African countries as examples.

Seasonal climate forecasts indicate continued above normal temperatures in the more southern regions, with especially high temperatures in the Kara and Barents seas.

Seasonal climate forecasts that may help guide ice forecasts (e.g., temperature, North Atlantic Oscillation, Arctic Oscillation, El Nino Southern Oscillation).

The potential for the SWAC to become a seasonal climate forecasting tool for SW WA remains an exciting possibility.

Not exact matches

Instead of waiting for an event to happen, the idea is to incorporate seasonal forecasts, which are done a month or more ahead of time, into the climate models.

If it was predicted in the real - world seasonal forecast but not in the scenario which is stripped of emissions, then it was made more likely by climate change — a likelihood that can be calculated.

NOAA evaluates the accuracy of its seasonal forecasts each year, with the aim of seeing the number of storms fall in the given ranges at least 70 percent of the time, which they do consistently, Gerry Bell, lead seasonal hurricane forecaster with NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, said.

A new buzz - word is the concept of «seamless prediction», in which predictions ranging from nowcasting all the way to future scenarios are provided with a sliding time scale and that doesn't make distinction of incremental types such as «weather forecasts» «seasonal predictions» and «climate scenarios».

John Allen, an associate research scientist at the International Research Institute for Climate and Society at Columbia University, who, with colleagues, came out with the first seasonal tornado forecast last year, expects a below - normal number of tornadoes in the south central U.S.

A new analysis published in the journal Environmental Research Letters establishes that seasonal forecast sea surface temperature (SSTs) can be used to perform probabilistic extreme - event attribution, thereby accelerating the time it takes climate scientists to understand and quantify the role of global warming in certain classes of extreme weather events.

Cohen is the director of seasonal forecasting at Atmospheric and Environmental Research, a Massachusetts - based firm that analyzes weather and climate risks.

In collaboration with Ralph, our team at the Met Office Hadley Centre combined techniques from two normally separate areas of climate science — seasonal forecasting and carbon cycle research — to forecast CO2 concentrations for 2016.

Judah Cohen, a climate forecaster at Atmospheric and Environmental Research in Massachusetts, who issues seasonal snowfall forecasts several months in advance for his company's clients, said the relationship between sea ice loss and the Arctic Oscillation is a key area for future research to focus on.

A few climate models have been tested for (and shown) capability in initial value predictions, on time scales from weather forecasting (a few days) to seasonal forecasting (annual).

On Thursday, the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) released its latest seasonal drought forecast for the U.S..

Moukouba Moutoumounkata is a Meteorologist, Data Scientist, specialized in operational seasonal and interannual climate forecasting at the National Meteorological Department of the Agence Nationale d'Aviation Civile (ANAC Congo) in Brazzaville, Congo.

It is the top priority of my research group to try to solve this problem to improve our climate predictions and, depending on the answer, it could affect predictions on all timescales from medium range forecasts, through monthly, seasonal, decadal and even climate change projections.

Some of the climate models are now used for seasonal forecasting, for e.g. ENSO.

Seasonal forecasts are often made with coupled ocean - atmoaphere models (more like climate models), as opposed to atmosphere - only models for ordinary weather forecasts.

It's very important to grasp this, as if you don't, you'll tend to think that a bad Met seasonal forecast says something about the skill (or lack thereof) of climate models.

An accurate prediction of the AO could lead to improved seasonal temperature forecasts over the major population centers in eastern North America and Europe as it explains the largest fraction of temperature variance of any other climate mode over these regions.

Ms Najira said that the Government of Malawi is using climate information to derive resilient designs and to address the impacts of climate change and variability, to plan for disaster risk management and for contingency planning (seasonal forecasts).

They can be applied in a consistent way to different types of data (historical, seasonal forecasts, climate projections, etc.).

In the context of humanitarian aid and disaster preparedness, the Red Cross Climate Centre / IRI have proposed a «Ready - Set - Go» concept for making use of forecasts from weather to seasonal, in which seasonal forecasts are used to begin monitoring of subseasonal and short - range forecasts, update contingency plans, train volunteers, and enable early warning systems («Ready»); sub-monthly forecasts are used to alert volunteers, warn communities («Set»); and, weather forecasts are then used to activate volunteers, distribute instructions to communities, and evacuate if needed («Go»).

Substantial progress has been made in recent years on the development and applications of medium - range weather forecasts and seasonal climate predictions.

Proceedings of the RA VI Task Team on the Provision of Seasonal to Inter-annual Forecasts and Regional Climate Centre Services (RA VI - TT / SIRCC): Reading, United Kingdom, 14 - 16 April 2003.

JC note: From the perspective of my company Climate Forecast Applications Network, I am particularly interested in business applications of the sub seasonal forecasts.

«The IRI and other centers have been issuing seasonal climate predictions routinely since the late 1990s, but prediction on the subseasonal range — which fills the gap between weather forecasts and seasonal forecasts — is an emerging area of research,» Robertson told the IRI.

Recent government contracts for CFAN include a DOE contract to develop extended range regional wind power forecasts, a DOD contract to predict extreme events associated with climate variability / change having implications for regional stability, and a NOAA contract to improve sub seasonal forecasting.

Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) will produce and share regional climate reanalyses, seasonal forecasts, global and regional climate projections and health specific climate indiClimate Change Service (C3S) will produce and share regional climate reanalyses, seasonal forecasts, global and regional climate projections and health specific climate indiclimate reanalyses, seasonal forecasts, global and regional climate projections and health specific climate indiclimate projections and health specific climate indiclimate indicators.

During 2015 our decadal prediction system was upgraded to use the latest high resolution version of our coupled climate model, consistent with our seasonal forecasts.

This webinar addresses the subjects of climate variables, seasonal forecasting and the C3S ECEM Demonstrator in relation to the European energy sector.

• Seasonal forecasting for water allocation and irrigated agriculture (IMPREX project) Johannes Hunink, Futurewater — presentation pdf • PEARL Project — preparing for extremes and rare event in coastal regions — Uwe Mikolajewicz, MPI - MET — presentation pdf • Commercial climate services — lessons learned from the Klimaspring campaign — Mikkel A. Thomassen, Smith Innovation — presentation pdf • Climate change impact on water resources — Experiences with different climates / scales / tools — Philipp Stanzel, Poyry Energy — presentation pdf • Climate change effect study for the Frisian Belt canal water system - Peter Schaper, Wetterskipfryslan — presentatclimate services — lessons learned from the Klimaspring campaign — Mikkel A. Thomassen, Smith Innovation — presentation pdf • Climate change impact on water resources — Experiences with different climates / scales / tools — Philipp Stanzel, Poyry Energy — presentation pdf • Climate change effect study for the Frisian Belt canal water system - Peter Schaper, Wetterskipfryslan — presentatClimate change impact on water resources — Experiences with different climates / scales / tools — Philipp Stanzel, Poyry Energy — presentation pdf • Climate change effect study for the Frisian Belt canal water system - Peter Schaper, Wetterskipfryslan — presentatClimate change effect study for the Frisian Belt canal water system - Peter Schaper, Wetterskipfryslan — presentation pdf

«Multi-model seasonal forecast of Arctic sea - ice forecast uncertainty at pan-Arctic and regional scales» Climate Dynamics (49: 1399, doi: 10.1007 / s00382 -016-3388-9).

If seasonal forecasting is now being claimed to be a climate issue, then we are faced with a turf war between meteorologists, who have done a pretty darn god job, and climate scientists, who seem to be seeking a new job description but have an unfortunate track record.

Traders and managers of energy mutual funds and hedge funds are also using AER's seasonal forecasts, environmental research, climate models, and weather and hurricane forecasts to optimize their investment strategies.

Understanding how these different climate phenomena interact, how they are simulated in models, and how they can be used for sub-seasonal to seasonal forecasting is currently a major focus of research.

Just as weather forecasts are useful for a week or so until too many errors accumulate — it may just be possible to build a climate model that is useful for seasonal to decadal forecasting.

Currently, ICPAC runs WRF model for medium range weather forecasts, PRECIS model for climate chnage and scenario development; and is in the process of setting up a Regional Spectral Model (RSM) for downscaling seasonal forecasts.

There are a number of partners involved in this project including the International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI), IGAD (Intergovernmental Authority on Development) Climate Prediction Applications Centre (ICPAC), the meteorological services of Ethiopia, Kenya, Tanzania and Uganda, educational institutions and end users of seasonal forecasting information in the region and from the four countries.