Sentences with phrase «seasonal forecasting at»

Dr. Judah Cohen is the Director of Seasonal Forecasting at AER.

«It's difficult to achieve a positive correlation, let alone one that is so strongly positive,» said Dr. Judah Cohen, principal scientist and director of seasonal forecasting at AER.

Dr. Judah Cohen is the Director of Seasonal Forecasting at AER.

Cohen is the director of seasonal forecasting at Atmospheric and Environmental Research, a Massachusetts - based firm that analyzes weather and climate risks.

The research is timely given the extreme winter of 2017 - 2018, including record warm Arctic and low sea ice, record - breaking polar vortex disruption, record - breaking cold and disruptive snowfalls in the United States and Europe, severe «bomb cyclones» and costly nor'easter s, said Judah Cohen, director of seasonal forecasting at AER and lead author of the study.

Not exact matches

He based his forecast on seasonal changes in buying and selling patterns and the fact that large speculators» net long position is now at 445,000 futures contracts, which suggests there is not much space for more buying before the seasonal selling starts.

The team used real - time seasonal rainfall, temperature and El Niño forecasts, issued at the start of the year, combined with data from active surveillance studies, in a probabilistic model of dengue epidemics to produce robust dengue risk estimates for the entire year.

NOAA evaluates the accuracy of its seasonal forecasts each year, with the aim of seeing the number of storms fall in the given ranges at least 70 percent of the time, which they do consistently, Gerry Bell, lead seasonal hurricane forecaster with NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, said.

John Allen, an associate research scientist at the International Research Institute for Climate and Society at Columbia University, who, with colleagues, came out with the first seasonal tornado forecast last year, expects a below - normal number of tornadoes in the south central U.S.

In collaboration with Ralph, our team at the Met Office Hadley Centre combined techniques from two normally separate areas of climate science — seasonal forecasting and carbon cycle research — to forecast CO2 concentrations for 2016.

Judah Cohen, a climate forecaster at Atmospheric and Environmental Research in Massachusetts, who issues seasonal snowfall forecasts several months in advance for his company's clients, said the relationship between sea ice loss and the Arctic Oscillation is a key area for future research to focus on.

Moukouba Moutoumounkata is a Meteorologist, Data Scientist, specialized in operational seasonal and interannual climate forecasting at the National Meteorological Department of the Agence Nationale d'Aviation Civile (ANAC Congo) in Brazzaville, Congo.

Those unexpectedly warm waters were what caused some of the seasonal forecasts to slightly underestimate the amount of storm activity in the Atlantic, Philip Klotzbach, a hurricane researcher and seasonal forecaster at Colorado State University, wrote at the Capital Weather Gang blog.

Tim Palmer, the head of the Probability and Seasonal Forecasting Division at the European Centre for Medium - Range Weather Forecasts wrote the following in Physics World:

# 378 Jared... I got some of the numbers for the projections from press releases on the met office site but after a bit of digging all the numbers (and science behind them) can be found via a link at http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/science/creating/monthsahead/seasonal/index.html registration is needed to get the seasonal forecast and the global annual forecasts.

However, a new study by Doblas - Reyes and co-authors at the European Centre for Medium - Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)-- the «European weather centre» — suggests that by updating the greenhouse conditions with the observed annual mean values, the skill of the seasonal forecasts improve noForecasts (ECMWF)-- the «European weather centre» — suggests that by updating the greenhouse conditions with the observed annual mean values, the skill of the seasonal forecasts improve noforecasts improve noticeably.

So at best this is useful for seasonal forecasts, unless someone is forecasting sea ice extent on longer time scales.

A seasonal forecast that says «snowy» means you buy 10 % more snow shovels at July prices.

The seasonal outlooks come at a time of some angst — and urgency — regarding the future of research aimed at improving forecasts of individual storms.

«Multi-model seasonal forecast of Arctic sea - ice forecast uncertainty at pan-Arctic and regional scales» Climate Dynamics (49: 1399, doi: 10.1007 / s00382 -016-3388-9).

«Multi-model seasonal forecast of Arctic sea - ice: Forecast uncertainty at pan-Arctic and regional scales.»

Hi Danny, take a look at my recent post on sub seasonal forecasts, describes reforcasts https://judithcurry.com/2015/01/05/applications-of-subseasonal-weather-forecasts/

The service will be a continuation of the current activity started by C3S in 2016, which has at its core a multi-system seasonal forecast infrastructure.

Judah Cohen, a climate forecaster at Atmospheric and Environmental Research in Massachusetts, who issues seasonal snowfall forecasts several months in advance for his company's clients, said the relationship between sea ice loss and the Arctic Oscillation is a key area for future research to focus on.

Among those in attendance was Phil Klotzbach, a hurricane researcher at Colorado State University who now does much of the research for Bill Gray's seasonal hurricane predictions, the oldest and best - known annual forecast.

But Joseph D'Aleo, co-founder of the Weather Channel and chief forecaster at Weatherbell Analytics, a meteorological consulting firm, called NOAA's seasonal forecast for December through February «nonsense» - pointing out that NOAA's predictions have been proven wrong the past two winters.

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