Not exact matches
«Volumes are
forecast to fall by 0.1 percent as price rises, which came into play as a result of the weakened pound, will discourage cash strapped consumers from shopping
over the
seasonal period,» the research company said.
El Niño is a key factor in making hurricane
seasonal forecasts because the changes in atmospheric patterns
over the tropical Pacific that it ushers in have a domino effect on patterns
over the Atlantic, tending to suppress hurricane formation.
The
seasonal forecasting models used by centres globally, including the Met Office, now all suggest this El Niño will persist and strengthen
over the northern hemisphere winter, which would make it one of the four strongest ever recorded.
An accurate prediction of the AO could lead to improved
seasonal temperature
forecasts over the major population centers in eastern North America and Europe as it explains the largest fraction of temperature variance of any other climate mode
over these regions.
Since you mention weather, I ask you how well the UK MET people have done
over the last 4 or 5 years using some of these models in their
seasonal forecasts?
They have a better record of accuracy than official long term
forecasts, Consider the UKMO
seasonal inaccuracies
over the last many years, most recently the prediction of a dry winter in 2013 in one of the wettest on record.
The improved robust and reliable
forecasting can help meteorological and climate services to better deliver tailored predictions and advice, including sub-
seasonal to
seasonal time scales, will take Arctic climate prediction beyond seasons and to teleconnections
over the Northern Hemisphere.
Seasonal forecasts for the next two months indicate a high probability for continued above average temperature
over most of the northern hemisphere in August and September, but average or below average temperatures just off the Siberian coast (see Figure 11).
«My interaction (
over the years) with a broad segment of AMS members (that I have met as a result of my
seasonal hurricane
forecasting and other activities) who have spent a sizable portion of their careers down in the meteorological trenches of observations and
forecasting, have indicated that a majority of them do not agree that humans are the primary cause of global warming.
A Met Office spokesman said despite poor publicity
over seasonal forecasts, its short - term
forecasts were «very, very good» and increasingly accurate.
Seasonal forecast models, including the CFS, are depicting strong and persistent cyclonic anomalies and a southward - shifted storm track
over the northeastern Pacific this winter.