But we're also given
seasonal hurricane forecasts (not so good recently) also not with dates but within a specific hurricane season.
We were discussing
seasonal hurricane forecasts and how the forecasted El Nino -LSB-...]
«My interaction (over the years) with a broad segment of AMS members (that I have met as a result of
my seasonal hurricane forecasting and other activities) who have spent a sizable portion of their careers down in the meteorological trenches of observations and forecasting, have indicated that a majority of them do not agree that humans are the primary cause of global warming.
Not exact matches
NOAA evaluates the accuracy of its
seasonal forecasts each year, with the aim of seeing the number of storms fall in the given ranges at least 70 percent of the time, which they do consistently, Gerry Bell, lead
seasonal hurricane forecaster with NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, said.
El Niño is a key factor in making
hurricane seasonal forecasts because the changes in atmospheric patterns over the tropical Pacific that it ushers in have a domino effect on patterns over the Atlantic, tending to suppress
hurricane formation.
Those unexpectedly warm waters were what caused some of the
seasonal forecasts to slightly underestimate the amount of storm activity in the Atlantic, Philip Klotzbach, a
hurricane researcher and
seasonal forecaster at Colorado State University, wrote at the Capital Weather Gang blog.
In much the same way that the
seasonal forecasts for the number of
hurricanes is determined from a suite of indicators, this seems to be the most reasonable approach for glacier mass balance
forecasting.
Later this week, we will be issuing our first
seasonal forecast for Atlantic
hurricane activity — stay tuned.
Good afternoon all,
Hurricane Season begins June 1st, and I want to get to some of the
seasonal forecasts that have been put out.
Traders and managers of energy mutual funds and hedge funds are also using AER's
seasonal forecasts, environmental research, climate models, and weather and
hurricane forecasts to optimize their investment strategies.
Among those in attendance was Phil Klotzbach, a
hurricane researcher at Colorado State University who now does much of the research for Bill Gray's
seasonal hurricane predictions, the oldest and best - known annual
forecast.
This
forecast is slightly lower than the outlook issued in May, but remains above the
seasonal average of 11 named storms, six
hurricanes and two major
hurricanes.
GFDL scientists focus on model - building relevant for society, such as
hurricane research, weather and ocean prediction,
seasonal forecasting, and understanding global and regional climate change.
The 2013
forecast compares to the long - term
seasonal average of 12 named storms, six
hurricanes and three major
hurricanes.
In addition to his scientific papers available on the GISS site, highlights of some of Hall's
hurricane work have appeared on InsuranceLinked, including
seasonal forecasts of
hurricane landfall probabilities.