Among those in attendance was Phil Klotzbach, a hurricane researcher at Colorado State University who now does much of the research for Bill Gray's
seasonal hurricane predictions, the oldest and best - known annual forecast.
Not exact matches
NOAA evaluates the accuracy of its
seasonal forecasts each year, with the aim of seeing the number of storms fall in the given ranges at least 70 percent of the time, which they do consistently, Gerry Bell, lead
seasonal hurricane forecaster with NOAA's Climate
Prediction Center, said.
«Fortunately, we've reduced the upper end, the number of major
hurricanes,» said Gerry Bell, the lead
seasonal hurricane forecaster at the Climate
Prediction Center.
By working on the still - not - fully - cracked nut of estimating changes in
hurricane frequency and intensity in a warming climate, Gabe and his colleagues ended up with a modeling system with
seasonal skill in regional
hurricane prediction.
The Atlantic basin is expected to see an above - normal
hurricane season this year, according to the
seasonal outlook issued by NOAA's Climate
Prediction Center... 3 to 6 major
hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher)
RE: 4th Error -RCB- Poses an objection to the non-scientific term catastrophic [NOTE: Scientific «consensus» is often being used & / or implied in standard climate - change discourse - Yet Consensus is a Political Term - NOT a Scientific Term]- HOWEVER - When Jim Hansen, the IPCC & Al Gore, et - al - go from predicting 450 — 500 ppm CO2 to 800 — 1000ppm by the end of the 21st century -LCB- said to the be highest atmospheric CO2 content in 20 — 30 Million YRS -RCB-; — & estimates for aver global temps by 21st century's end go from 2 * C to 6 * C to 10 * C; — & increased sea level estimates go from 10 - 20 cm to 50 - 60 cm to 1M — 2M -LCB- which would totally submerge the Maldives & partially so Bangladesh -RCB-; —
predictions of the total melting of the Himalayan Ice caps by 2050, near total melting of Greenland's ice sheet & partial melting of Antarctica's ice sheet before the 21st century's end; — massive crop failures; — more intense & frequent
hurricane -LCB- ala Katrina -RCB- for much longer
seasonal durations, etc, etc, etc... — IMO That's Sounds pretty damned CATASTROPHIC to ME!
GFDL scientists focus on model - building relevant for society, such as
hurricane research, weather and ocean
prediction,
seasonal forecasting, and understanding global and regional climate change.
Elsner, J. B. and Schmertmann, 1993: Improving extended - range
seasonal predictions of intense Atlantic
hurricane activity.