However, it appears that the constrained best - estimate for ECS that Zhai et al. derive is simply the unweighted mean and standard deviation of ECS values for the seven models having
seasonal variability derived relationships of low cloud extent with SST that are consistent with their observational estimate.
Moreover, the linear relationship that the Zhai study fits between
the seasonal variability derived relationship of low cloud reflectivity with SST and ECS is dominated by «bad» models that are inconsistent with the observational constraint.
Not exact matches
Ms Najira said that the Government of Malawi is using climate information to
derive resilient designs and to address the impacts of climate change and
variability, to plan for disaster risk management and for contingency planning (
seasonal forecasts).
[4] The authors found that estimates of the strength of that relationship
derived from either deseasonalized or interannual
variability correlated better with ECS than those based on
seasonal or intra-annual
variability.