Sentences with phrase «seasonal weather forecasts»

He says the influence of climate change on typhoon Haiyan could be calculated in future: «If we used the same tools as are used now to make seasonal weather forecasts, there would be a straightforward answer.»

A smaller multiyear ice area in the Arctic Ocean means that the sea ice summer extent is more sensitive to weather conditions during summer and thus more difficult to predict using statistical regression analysis since seasonal weather forecasts are not reliable.

Not exact matches

Sea - surface temperature is an important driver of the weather, and because the oceans change temperature very slowly compared with the air and land, they form a key, predictable component of seasonal forecasts.

But Klotzbach and other experts say the models, and seasonal forecasts, still provide useful insight into something as unpredictable as extreme weather even if they do not always pan out.

A new buzz - word is the concept of «seamless prediction», in which predictions ranging from nowcasting all the way to future scenarios are provided with a sliding time scale and that doesn't make distinction of incremental types such as «weather forecasts» «seasonal predictions» and «climate scenarios».

A new analysis published in the journal Environmental Research Letters establishes that seasonal forecast sea surface temperature (SSTs) can be used to perform probabilistic extreme - event attribution, thereby accelerating the time it takes climate scientists to understand and quantify the role of global warming in certain classes of extreme weather events.

Cohen is the director of seasonal forecasting at Atmospheric and Environmental Research, a Massachusetts - based firm that analyzes weather and climate risks.

A few climate models have been tested for (and shown) capability in initial value predictions, on time scales from weather forecasting (a few days) to seasonal forecasting (annual).

He pointed out that El Niño, currently brewing in the tropical Pacific, helps improve seasonal forecasts by tipping the odds in favor of certain types of weather in certain regions.

[phone] This number will initially be answered by an automated attendant, from which one can opt to access a name directory, listen to recorded information about the park (i.e., directions to the park; visitor center hours of operation; weather forecast; fire danger information; shuttle bus system status; wildlife updates; ranger - led programs; seasonal events; etc.), or speak with a ranger.

No need to check the weather forecast for our stroll through decades of sunny seasonal offerings, through Vice City and Xtreme Beach Volleyball

Seasonal forecasts are often made with coupled ocean - atmoaphere models (more like climate models), as opposed to atmosphere - only models for ordinary weather forecasts.

However, a new study by Doblas - Reyes and co-authors at the European Centre for Medium - Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)-- the «European weather centre» — suggests that by updating the greenhouse conditions with the observed annual mean values, the skill of the seasonal forecasts improve noForecasts (ECMWF)-- the «European weather centre» — suggests that by updating the greenhouse conditions with the observed annual mean values, the skill of the seasonal forecasts improve noforecasts improve noticeably.

Since you mention weather, I ask you how well the UK MET people have done over the last 4 or 5 years using some of these models in their seasonal forecasts?

From the perspective of business, weather forecasts on the sub-seasonal time scale provides an opportunity because it lies between the well - established application of daily weather forecasts and the increasing use of seasonal forecasts.

There is growing interest in the scientific, operational and applications communities in developing forecasts that fill the gap between medium range weather forecasts (up to two weeks) and seasonal forecasts (3 - 6 months).

In the context of humanitarian aid and disaster preparedness, the Red Cross Climate Centre / IRI have proposed a «Ready - Set - Go» concept for making use of forecasts from weather to seasonal, in which seasonal forecasts are used to begin monitoring of subseasonal and short - range forecasts, update contingency plans, train volunteers, and enable early warning systems («Ready»); sub-monthly forecasts are used to alert volunteers, warn communities («Set»); and, weather forecasts are then used to activate volunteers, distribute instructions to communities, and evacuate if needed («Go»).

Substantial progress has been made in recent years on the development and applications of medium - range weather forecasts and seasonal climate predictions.

«The IRI and other centers have been issuing seasonal climate predictions routinely since the late 1990s, but prediction on the subseasonal range — which fills the gap between weather forecasts and seasonal forecasts — is an emerging area of research,» Robertson told the IRI.

Mikhail Tolstykh is an expert for global numerical weather prediction models to develop medium - range and seasonal forecasts.

For weather that limit seems to be about a week out, but people still sell seasonal forecasts.

A unified treatment of weather and climate models (i.e. the same dynamical cores for the atmosphere and ocean are used for models across the range of time scales) transfers confidence from the weather and seasonal climate forecast models to the climate models used in century scale simulations.

This is why there is little faith placed in CAGW forecasts, any one who knows anything about how the weather really works, understands the real drivers are not even understood enough to used in models yet, and with out considering the background patterns of the seasonal, annual, decadal trends that determine how the weather works, are even used in weather forecasting, in a viable active method, why should ANY confidence be placed in CAGW long range unverifiable modeled forecasts?

This project will advance our understanding of seasonal ice zone (SIZ) cloud - ice feedbacks and our ability to forecast SIZ weather and ice conditions through the combination of carefully designed model experiments, observations, and technology developments which are targeted to validate and improve the models.

Traders and managers of energy mutual funds and hedge funds are also using AER's seasonal forecasts, environmental research, climate models, and weather and hurricane forecasts to optimize their investment strategies.

Just as weather forecasts are useful for a week or so until too many errors accumulate — it may just be possible to build a climate model that is useful for seasonal to decadal forecasting.

Currently, ICPAC runs WRF model for medium range weather forecasts, PRECIS model for climate chnage and scenario development; and is in the process of setting up a Regional Spectral Model (RSM) for downscaling seasonal forecasts.

He seems to treat it as commercially sensitive as he uses it to make NH seasonal and long range weather forecasts.

A seasonal climate forecast isn't a weather forecast you fool.

GFDL scientists focus on model - building relevant for society, such as hurricane research, weather and ocean prediction, seasonal forecasting, and understanding global and regional climate change.

The ECMWF atmospheric module is evaluated every day in numerical weather prediction mode, and also each month for the seasonal forecasts.

Long - range, seasonal to decadal forecasting: Several studies led by George Mason University, the University of Miami, and NCAR aim to improve prediction of weather patterns months to years in advance.

They offer a Wi - Fi - connected controller for your sprinkler system which checks the local forecast and will adjust schedules based on past, present, and future weather, and will also make intelligent seasonal adjustments as needed.