In 1974, the Conservatives came out of the election 4
seats behind Labour (though with a higher share of the vote).
Not exact matches
And the latest poll won't have helped: an Ipsos Mori poll for STV, the latest to come out, puts
Labour behind by 28 points, suggesting the SNP could take 55 of Scotland's 59
seats.
When Lord Ashcroft polled the
seat in November last year, he found the Lib Dem leader three points ahead
behind Labour.
The Survation poll commissioned by Unite union found the Lib Dems are on just 23 %
behind Labour on 33 % in the
seat, when voters were asked about their constituency vote.
At the start of April, Lord Ashcroft gave the Liberal Democrats a serious scare with his latest poll of the
seat, which put Clegg on 34 % — two points
behind Labour.
I recall the same paper and company produced a similarly misleading poll in 1997, finding the Conservatives just 5 %
behind Labour 10 days before John Major led the Tories to their worst defeat since Waterloo, Tony Blair securing a 179 -
seat majority.
The party had polled consistently in the first four elections to the National Assembly, returning six representatives in the first three elections and five in the 2011 Election, thereby establishing itself as the fourth party in Wales
behind Labour, the Conservatives and Plaid Cymru, but fell to just one
seat in 2016.
The Murdoch press empire decided to rain on the Scottish
Labour leadership parade on Saturday by releasing a YouGov poll in The Sun and The Times showing the party is 20 points
behind the SNP in voting intentions for next Westminster's election — an outcome that could see it lose the vast bulk of its Commons
seats.
That those viewers then swung in large numbers
behind the
Labour leader suggests the programme may have had an impact on the final result - particularly when just a few hundred votes in swing
seats shifted June's outcome.
Gordon Lindhurst is an advocate who stood for the
seat of Edinburgh South West (which includes Edinburgh Pentlands) in the Westminster election last year when he came third
behind Labour's Ricky Henderson (succeeding Alistair Darling) and the SNP's Joanna Cherry who won almost as many votes as the
Labour and Conservative candidates added together.
That said, Alison Dickie will probably take the
seat, although that won't stop her challengers taking their place in the Parliament Chamber as Sarah Boyack, Ruth Davidson and Alison Johnstone are all also standing on the regional list (Ruth and Alison will definitely be returned as the lead list candidate for their parties, Sarah faces a less certain evening / early morning of May 6th as she is sitting
behind Kezia Dugdale and Neil Findlay on the
Labour list).
[48] The party also came second place by 633 votes in the Bromley and Chislehurst by - election, threatening the safe Conservative
seat and pushing
Labour into fourth place
behind the UK Independence Party.
Joe Cullinane, the
Labour candidate for the
seat, is also sixth on the
Labour regional list,
behind more established names and current office holders.
[4] In the 2015 general election, the Lib Dem vote fell by 29.2 %; Williams came a distant third
behind the winning
Labour candidate Thangam Debbonaire and more than 5,000 votes
behind the Green Party candidate, who achieved the greatest increase in the Green vote (+23 %) in any
seat that election.
He moved from second place
behind Labour's Rhona Brankin who had held the
seat since 1999 until she retired in 2011.
The aspirational voters of suburban England — middle - class
seats with falling unemployment and rising incomes — swung
behind the Cameron - Osborne «long - term economic plan», while Ukip surged in
seats with large concentrations of poorer, white working - class English nationalists, many of whom sympathised with
Labour's economic message but not the people delivering it.
The Lib Dem collapse in Wales reached the point where they finished
behind the British National party (BNP) in a number of constituencies, but their five
seats could leave them as prospective coalition partners for
Labour.
And you can take it as read that
Labour is falling well, well
behind in the Tory - held target
seats it will one day need to win to form a government.
They start from miles
behind at the general election, but on this evidence they have a platform for pulling off a shock result if they really throw effort and resources into this
seat, especially if Leave voters ditch
Labour for the Tories.
The «left -
behinds» tend to be concentrated in safe
Labour seats — often struggling former mining and manufacturing towns in the North of England.
The
seat is unchanged for the next election, meaning that Richard requires a swing of 7 % to oust the Secretary of State for Scotland (in the equivalent
seat at the 2007 Scottish Parliament election, the Conservatives were only 891 votes
behind Labour).
Their strongest performance though came in a
seat that was part of the normal sample of ultra marginals — Thurrock, where Ashcroft found them at 29 % and in second place
behind Labour.
At the general election - with a very small local party membership and without target
seat status and all its associated benefits - Kashif was less than 2,500 votes
behind the victorious
Labour MP.
In the 1983 general election the SDP received 25.4 % of the vote, just
behind Labour with 27.6 %, but won only 23
seats in the Commons compared to
Labour's 209
seats.
Following the negative reaction to his visit to British troops in Iraq during the 2007 Conservative Party Conference, [111] an unrehearsed conference speech made by David Cameron and an opinion poll showing
Labour 6 %
behind the Conservative Party in key marginal
seats, Brown announced that there would be no election in the near future.
UKIP won 27.5 % of the vote and had 24 MEPs elected;
Labour, on 25.4 % or 20
seats, narrowly beat the Tories into third place while the Lib Dems lost all but one of their
seats and came sixth
behind the Greens.
At the most recent general election in 2017,
Labour won 7
seats in Scotland — improving on its performance two years previously — with 27.1 % of the vote, and was the third - largest party
behind the SNP and the Conservatives.
On a uniform swing this would leave the Conservatives just short of a majority with 313
seats, but with
Labour quite close
behind on 299 and the Liberal Democrats reduced to just 12.
If the parties were neck and neck in support,
Labour would be almost 50
seats behind the Tories, he added.
Indeed so: when he stood against
Labour MP Bob Marshall - Andrews (now retired) in Medway (the old name for this slightly redrawn
seat), he was 213 votes
behind the successful
Labour candidate, while UKIP trailed in fourth with 1,488 votes.
He was proud when he was chosen as his party's candidate for the safe
Labour seat in the 1979 election in preference to two academic aspirants with, as he put it, more letters
behind their names than the eight letters in his own.
Based on the 2010 result,
Labour can claim it was a safe right - wing
seat if they lose, even if they come
behind UKIP.
The last time any government won a by - election was in 1983, and with
Labour considerably
behind in the nationwide polls and Corbyn's popularity low, a gain in either
seat would be a remarkable victory for the Conservatives and further evidence that they are dominating the post-Brexit political landscape (though, as Matt Singh points out on NumberCruncherPolitics, it would be even more remarkable than this).
One backbencher said: «When Len's back in the driving
seat, he will not want to see
Labour wiped out; he will want to see a candidate they can get
behind.»
Labour is lagging way
behind in the opinion polls, suggesting it could lose dozens of
seats.
Labour, on 25.4 %, has narrowly beaten the Tories into third place while the Lib Dems lost all but one of their
seats and came sixth
behind the Greens.
But even after the changes the other two main parties trail way
behind Labour in this region, as the notional results put
Labour on 27
seats.
Speaking alongside the new MP Liz McInnes, the
Labour leader said this disillusionment had led long - time
Labour voters to side with Ukip - who came second in the
seat, just 600 votes
behind Labour.