On a uniform swing it would produce 31
seats for Labour (down 10), 14 seats for the SNP (up 8), 10 for the Lib Dems (down 1) and 4 for the Conservatives.»
The final result was 47
seats for the Labour Party and 1 seat for the Green Party of England and Wales.
This does not necessarily mean they would be the most winnable
seats for the Labour in practice, or that they are the seats the Labour party will actually be targetting at the next general election.
Two questions in particular define the choice on whether to say yes, no or stay at home: which system will deliver the most
seats for Labour at the next election?
Despite initial optimism and the professional campaign run by Neil Kinnock, the election brought only twenty additional
seats for Labour from the 1983 Conservative landslide.
John Curtice's projection in the Scotsman has these shares of the vote translating into 57
seats for Labour, 48 for the SNP, 13 for the Conservatives, 6 for the Greens and 5 for the Liberal Democrats.
290
seats for Labour would almost certainly mean the Tories were the largest party with the Lib Dems in the high 20s to low 30s.
Roger Scully's commentary is over on the Elections in Wales blog here and has an Assembly seat projection of 29
seats for Labour, 12 for the Tories, 10 Plaid, 8 UKIP and one for the Lib Dems.
«I'm working flat out to win
seats for Labour and everyone in the party should be really ambitious for these elections.
The campaign group Saving Labour has claimed that the polling translates into a loss of 44
seats for Labour, while angry Labour MPs have seized on the figures as further evidence that Corbyn can not lead the party to electoral success.
It claimed that the polling translated into a loss of 44
seats for Labour.
As a result of these adjustments the forecast number of
seats for both Labour and the Lib Dems has gone up a little and the Tories have correspondingly come down.
Clive Lewis won
this seat for Labour two years ago with a 15.8 % majority over the Tories, with the Greens in third and the Lib Dems plummeting from first to fourth.
These are challenging times but, despite recent setbacks, I am confident Glenrothes remains a winnable
seat for Labour.
Gordon - Walker regained
the seat for Labour at 1966 general election.
Labour saw a 6 % drop in its vote nationally in 2005, [19] and despite a 4.2 % swing to the Conservatives in Dewsbury, Malik comfortably retained
the seat for Labour with a majority of 4,615 ahead of Baroness Warsi.
He first won
his seat for Labour in the 1997 general election, having contested the predecessor Littleborough and Saddleworth seat at a by - election in 1995, [7] which was marked by Labour's particularly vicious and personal campaign, attacking the Liberal Democrat candidate, Chris Davies, as «high on tax and soft on drugs».
His win, in what should have been a safe
seat for Labour, was partly the result of Labour and the Conservatives pursuing «biraderi», or clan - based loyalty, Baston suggested.
Martin had held
the seat for Labour and then as Speaker for 30 years and won 71.4 % of the vote in 1997.
There is no by - election immediately in the offing, but the man who retained
the seat for Labour at the general election, Denis MacShane, has been without his party's whip since last October after the parliamentary Standards watchdog referred him to the police over his use of parliamentary alowances.
Not exact matches
Given that the opinion polls at the moment have a small Conservative lead and given that four years ago when most of the
seats were up
for grabs there was a small
Labour lead, if indeed the
Labour party is gaining ground in London it must be losing ground somewhere else.
At last year's general election the party fell short of gaining the sort of Leave - voting
Labour seats they needed
for a majority.
Labour holds two - thirds of Scotland's
seats in the British Parliament, and their removal would make it harder
for Labour to become the governing party again.
We had brought the baby car
seat up into the L&D room — why we thought we had to have it right there I don't know, along with our playlists
for labour, nursing pillow, cute outfit and multiple cameras — and we carried it out empty and put it in the trunk, where it sat
for 5 months, despite repeated trips.
The 1993
Labour Party Conference introduced the rule
for «women - only shortlists» in 50 % of all target
seats.
In 2005, 35 per cent of the vote got
Labour 55 per cent of the
seats, while only three per cent less in the vote
for the Tories got them just 30 per cent.
«Clearly I would have preferred to have got more votes than we did, but this was always going to be a tough fight
for Labour - it's a
seat that we've never won,» he said.
Two
Labour MPs who will definitely not be around
for much longer are Jamie Reed and Tristram Hunt, both of whom are quitting their
seats to take jobs outside parliament.
The only way a split could be made to work would be
for Corbyn's
Labour and the progressive alliance to form a «non-compete» pact, allowing each a clean shot against the Conservatives in pre-determined
seats.
First out of the blocks to put themselves forward
for the
seat was Sakina Sheikh, a Jeremy Corbyn - supporting Lewisham local who was only elected as a
Labour councillor just a few days ago.
Local elections are often said to be about local issues but actually most of the changes over time in shares of council
seats won the Conservatives,
Labour and Liberal Democrats can be accounted
for by changes the popularity of these parties at the national level.
The closed shop was as important
for that as it was
for giving the Tory forty - five per cent of the industrial working - class a moderating influence in the selection of
Labour candidates
for the safe
Labour seats in which they lived.
A New Statesman interview with Harriet Harman yesterday revealed the interim
labour leader was angling
for a
seat on the shadow Cabinet once a new head was chosen.
What's more, the next election will also be fought on new boundaries and 50 fewer
seats — unless Theresa May takes advantage of the turmoil in the
Labour party and goes
for a snap election in the autumn, as many are now expecting.
«Under First Past the Post this would likely be disastrous
for them, splitting the
Labour vote and allowing the Conservatives or UKIP, or whoever, to gain more
seats from them.
The
Labour party faces a challenging three - way fight
for a marginal northern
seat after the shock...
It essentially became pointless with the introduction of FPTP
for all
seats, before that many
seats used Block Voting and there were alliance slates in places (in some, Liberals, Nat Libs and Cons all put up one candidate each to
LAbour's two; evidence was a lot of Lib voters supported
Labour with second vote, but Tory and Nat Lib voters split all over the place).
He is married to Scottish Minister
for Public Health, Shona Robison MSP with a young daughter, Morag Louise, and lives in the constituency where he was elected as MP
for Dundee East on 5 May 2005, taking the
seat from
Labour.
It was a complex race in a marginal
seat, which ended with a surprising
Labour hold
for Debbie Abrahams.
The move will make it harder
for Labour to take key
seats from the Conservatives in the 2015 general election campaign.
As a reminder of Unite's importance though; Unite are still the biggest funder of the party (in the first week of the election campaign they gave # 2.4 m of the total # 2.7 m received by
Labour), they have upwards of one million members they can encourage to register as supporters in a leadership election (and indeed activate in Parliamentary candidate selections), Unite has three
seats on the NEC and of course Len's chief of staff, Andrew Murray, was seconded to Jeremy's team
for the general election campaign.
The Tories will implement boundary reform as one of their first actions, making it at least 20
seats harder
for Labour to beat them.
But unlike May, Heath was booted out of Number 10 to make way
for Harold Wilson, whose
Labour party won a mere four
seats more than the Tories.
Instead of mucking in with the multifarious resistance movement - which, as you rightly state here, does not require universal agreement in order to progress, that sort of Leninist thinking is weedkiller to the grassroots -
Labour is already positioning itself
for the next election, terrified of doing anything at all which might upset the few swing voters in key marginal
seats that the party has repositioned itself towards over the past twenty years.
The point
for all sensible democrats to hang on to is that if the centre - left (
Labour plus LibDems and perhaps Greens and some of the nationalists) together command a majority of Commons
seats, that entitles them to form a government led by the leader of the largest centre - left party.
To get an idea of how disastrous this election has been
for the Conservatives, look at what has happened in the
Labour held
seats that the Tories were targeting yesterday but didn't win:
Ukip are replacing the Conservatives as the natural challengers to
Labour in marginal
seats across the country according to new polling conducted
for the party.
His defeat would not just have been a personal loss
for him and a numerical blow to
Labour:
for the last 10 years, Wilson has represented Sedgefield, the
seat previously held by none other than Tony Blair.
A new poll of his Sheffield constituency found the Lib Dem leader is set to lose his
seat to
Labour, in what would be a historic moment
for the party.
I think it's time
for new
labour to walk away and form it's own party, a party they can set up and make it's own, they can have parachutes to dump people all over the place offering people
seats for money shit they tried that.