Opposition research from Republican operatives had been hanging over her candidacy in the county, where Democrats see a rare opening to gain
seats in a presidential year when Donald Trump's candidacy may keep some centrist Republicans away from the polls.
But they've fielded competitive challengers in most of these 10 districts, which, combined with the partisan fundamentals of
these seats in a presidential year, make these 10 members the most likely to be looking for new jobs in 2017.
New York State Senate Democrats have picked up
seats in every presidential year in the past two decades.
If the majority holds, however, it would be a remarkable turn of events for the GOP, which hasn't gained
seats in a presidential year since 1976 and lost an average of three in the past three presidential years.
Running for an open Congressional
seat in a presidential year was an opportunity Yandik said he could not resist.
Not exact matches
Hovering around No. 10 is NBC News correspondent Katy Tur's «Unbelievable: My Front - Row
Seat to the Craziest Campaign
in American History,»
in which Tur chronicles more than a
year of traveling along with Trump on the 2016
presidential campaign.
Republican Sen. Orrin Hatch of Utah said Tuesday he will not seek re-election after serving more than 40
years in the Senate, opening the door for former GOP
presidential nominee Mitt Romney to run for his
seat.
Democrats expect to do well this cycle given the turnout
in presidential election
years has historically given them more
seats in the Senate.
Republican leaders and high - powered donors
in Utah are waging a quiet but concerted campaign to convince 83 -
year - old incumbent Sen. Orrin Hatch, of Utah, not to seek reelection next
year, and Mitt Romney, the one - time
presidential nominee and leading Trump critic, is exploring a run for the
seat.
If recent history is any guide, Senate Democrats have always picked up
seats in Presidential election
years.
«The numbers favor Democrats
in this open -
seat during a
Presidential year.»
Republicans, who hold a slim majority
in the Senate, will be defending 24
seats next
year, including
in presidential battleground states where Democrats are mounting strong challenges.
This is a lesson Democratic candidates for state Senate have learned the hard way
in recent
years (including
presidential years), especially
in their attempts to wrestle control of
seats in Long Island.
Republicans were working with a fantastic political baseline
in 2014 — low
presidential approval, a slew of Democratic Senate incumbents defending their
seats in Red states, a midterm election, and high - quality candidates drawn into battle this
year,
in part precisely because it was so favorable to Republicans
in the first place.
They will represent districts Democrats carried with big margins
in presidential election
years —
seats the newly minted Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chairman Ben Ray Luján will probably want back.
Democrats are hoping that higher turnout
in a
presidential year will help them gain
seats in Long Island and the Hudson Valley.
He won by over 11,000 two
years later, but Democrats are optimistic his
seat will be winnable
in a
presidential year, when their voters usually turn out at higher numbers.
Latimer, however, has an eight - to - one cash - on - hand advantage, and it seems unlikely that a
seat that has been repeatedly targeted by Republicans over three decades would finally flip
in a
presidential year.
But Democrats start the open
seat race with a narrow advantage
in a
presidential year when former New York Sen. Hillary Clinton is likely to top the ballot.
Republicans, who are defending many more competitive
seats in the House this
year, are trying to keep pressure on Democratic recruits
in districts that Democrats have been hoping to pick off during a
presidential year.
Heading into the 2016
presidential year when Democratic turnout is traditionally high, Gianaris is optimistic the Dems can pick up enough
seats on Long Island to put them
in a position to grab at least partial control of the chamber.
There were 29
seats that featured two major party candidates
in both 2012, a
presidential year, and 2014, a gubernatorial
year.
But given the swing nature of her northern Virginia district and the higher turnout expected
in a
presidential year, Democrats say if they're going to take the
seat, this is the time.
This will be the 2nd time this
year that the three - time
Presidential candidate will tour the region — a region for which the NPP has set an agenda of capturing at least 3
seats in parliament and 30 % of the popular vote.
Cronin is facing Republican incumbent Kemp Hannon, whose
seat Democrats have targeted
in recent
years, especially during
presidential election cycles when his margins of victory have generally been lower than
in gubernatorial
years.
The governor said the lower Manhattan Assembly
seat Silver held for four decades before his conviction will likely be filled
in a special election on April 19 — the day of New York's
presidential primary next
year.
But between the new district lines and the Democratic enrollment edge
in a
presidential election
year, the Republicans are probably going to need every penny to assist members
in tough general election battles, and perhaps
in trying to help non-incumbents like Bob Cohen, who's making his second attempt at winning retiring Democratic Sen. Suzi Oppenheimer's
seat.
Dadey said he wants a strong Republican candidate with the ability to hold the
seat in a
presidential election
year, which favors Democrats and their small enrollment advantage
in the district.
«We need a candidate who can win not only
in 2014, but keep the
seat two
years later
in a
presidential election
year.»
The open
seat race will draw considerable interest from both national parties, as Arizona has been competitive at the
presidential level
in recent
years.
The
seat tilts slightly toward Democrats
in a
presidential year but
in a midterm it will be very competitive.
She said Democrats always pick up
seats in a
presidential election
year, but this time, the choices are even more sharply defined.
Killian, a former Rye City Councilwoman, ran two
years ago for this same senate
seat, losing to Latimer by a 56 % -44 % margin
in a
presidential election
year.
Two
years ago, Latimer defeated Killian for the same State Senate
seat by a 55 to 45 percent margin,
in a
presidential year where Hillary Clinton trounced Donald Trump for president
in Westchester by a 65 to 31 percent margin, with 4 percent to the minor party candidates.
In 2008, the last
presidential election
year, Democrats took the majority by just one
seat.
But Democrats
in the Senate typically make gains
in a
presidential election
years, and they are playing offense
in districts on Long Island and
in the Hudson Valley (Republicans want to flip a western New York
seat as well as a district
in Westchester County).
As a result, the Democrats are defending some vulnerable members
in a state where they expected to pick up
seats (and still might, given the
presidential election
year dynamic).
ALBANY — Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo said the
seat held for more than two decades by former Assembly Speaker Sheldon Silver before his corruption conviction Monday will be filled
in a special election on the day of New York's
presidential primary next
year.
Several Republicans who won their
seats in the 2010 GOP wave now have to defend them
in a
presidential year, when Democrats tend to have higher turnout.
Mr. Bishop fared significantly better
in the larger turnout
presidential years than he did
in mid-terms, nearly losing his
seat to Republican Randy Altschuler
in a 2010 race that wasn't determined for more than a month after Election Day.
Since the 1952 election, the 1st District
seat has flipped just three times
in a
presidential year, but each time it turned over
in favor of the party that won the presidency.
Katko is also the first Republican to win the 24th District
seat in a
presidential election
year since 2004, when Walsh won his ninth term.
«But heading into a
presidential election
year in his district — which has flipped back and forth between the two parties
in the 2010 and 2014 GOP waves — the
seat is prime for a flip again this cycle,» Rothenberg and Gonzales wrote.
In a presidential election year, in a state that Hillary Clinton won by more than 20 points, with the long - awaited support of Cuomo, the State Senate Democratic Conference managed to pick up a grand total of one seat — and that was thanks to a last minute assist from the Justice Departmen
In a
presidential election
year,
in a state that Hillary Clinton won by more than 20 points, with the long - awaited support of Cuomo, the State Senate Democratic Conference managed to pick up a grand total of one seat — and that was thanks to a last minute assist from the Justice Departmen
in a state that Hillary Clinton won by more than 20 points, with the long - awaited support of Cuomo, the State Senate Democratic Conference managed to pick up a grand total of one
seat — and that was thanks to a last minute assist from the Justice Department.
And with the district's historic inclination to support Democrats
in presidential years (Obama carried the district by an 11 - point margin
in 2012), the
seat could be a challenge for Republicans
in 2016.
Republicans want to retain the
seat, while Democrats hope they can defeat Katko
in a
presidential election
year.
While Republicans hope to retain the
seat, Democrats will be looking to win it back
in a
presidential year.
But, Edwards, who was, interestingly enough, pushed as a vice
presidential candidate by House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (Calif.) last
year, has held the
seat — winning 52 percent
in 2002, 51 percent
in 2004, 58 percent
in 2006 and 53 percent
in 2008.
And
in a
presidential election
year, Democrats are likely to pick up
seats in November, although they will still need to woo the five - member Independent Democratic Conference to join them to have a majority.
Although gerrymandering played no part
in the tumultuous 2016
presidential election, it seems to have influenced who won
seats in the US House of Representatives that
year.