On this basis they could form a majority government, or even a minority government with more
seats than the Conservatives.
If Labor had more
seats than the conservatives, but still not enough to form a government, there's no reason to assume that the DUP or SF would not happily go into government with them.
Labour needs fewer
seats than the Conservatives to end up in power after 7th May — the reason involves a mixture of rules and arithmetic.
I have no doubt that the Conservative Party will make major gains in votes and seats in the next 10 years that will build to their return to power ultimately, but they are a long way off actually winning a majority and it has to be said that a Hung Parliament now looks more improbable than at any time since 2001, demographic factors are working against the Conservative Party as well - Labour seats mostly are held with far lower turnouts which is partly why Labour can get fewer votes than the Conservatives and end up with an overall majority and far more
seats than the Conservative Party.
Secondly, in 2010 — despite having in Gordon Brown the most electorally unappealing PM since Anthony Eden — Labour still managed to win more
seats than the Conservatives managed in 1997, 2001 and 2005.
He certainly won more council
seats than Conservatives expected him to win.
· Colchester (Essex)- Lib Dems won two more
seats than the Conservatives, despite polling fewer votes.
However these scenarios are at the extreme outer edges of probability, and, in the absence of some extraordinary event, Labour will almost certainly once again win significantly fewer
seats than the Conservatives in 2020, whatever the party's economic policies and whoever is leader.
Not exact matches
The Lib Dems got four less
than expected, taking four
seats; the
Conservatives two more
than forecast, on 307; while Labour held three more
seats than predicted, taking 258.
In recent elections in the UK, the
Conservative Party received 330
seats, and the absolute majority because it is more
than half of the 650 available
seats.
Republican NY - 23 congressional hopeful Matt Doheney is scheduled to meet privately this Monday in Washington, D.C. with leaders of the Club for Growth — the
conservative organization that played a key role in the 2009 campaign of Doheny's primary opponent, Doug Hoffman, spending and / or bundling more
than $ 1 million for his special election bid for the
seat vacated by ex-Rep.
The
Conservatives lost a staggering 28
seats, with the Lib Dems picking up no fewer
than 24 to seize control of the council.
«What the country needs more
than ever is certainty, and having secured the largest number of votes and the greatest number of
seats in the General Election, it is clear that only the
Conservative & Unionist Party has the legitimacy and ability to provide that certainty by commanding a majority in the House of Commons.
The
Conservatives in 2010 got more votes nationally
than Labour in 2005... and fewer
seats.
First, it will lift the threat of possible by - elections that could be triggered by the ongoing police investigation into allegations that the
Conservative Party systematically over-spent in the 2015 election and far exceeded legal restrictions on election expenses in more
than 10
seats.
Add in the 11
seats won by the
Conservatives in Wales, and the right would have taken 360
seats - an overall majority of 70, bigger
than Blair's victory in 2005.
The
Conservatives, though, were thought likely to be the bigger losers, having done well in 2011 and therefore defending far more
seats than Labour, and having also been more damaged by UKIP's dramatic rise.
Such an outcome might still leave Labour with just three
seats more
than the
Conservatives, but it still represents a more attractive prospect
than the one Panelbase portrayed in their previous poll a fortnight ago.
In 2010, though the
Conservatives did not achieve the national vote share they wanted, the party's targeting strategy meant it won 23 more Labour
seats and 9 more Liberal Democrat
seats than it would have done on a uniform swing.
Ruth Davidson's
Conservatives are now the official Holyrood opposition, with seven
seats more
than Labour.
Five years ago, Welsh Labour did very well in the Welsh local elections, increasing the number of council
seats they held by around 70 %; by the end of that night they had substantially more councillor in Wales
than did the
Conservatives, Plaid Cymru and the Liberal Democrats put together.
The lack of any net advantage elsewhere means the
Conservatives can afford to lose no more
than 23
seats to Labour if they are to remain the largest party.
Indeed, it is entirely possible that the
Conservatives could win more votes and gain fewer
seats than Labour.
We similarly use the proportion of poll respondents who think that there will be a
Conservative landslide / the
Conservatives will win more
than 100
seats, for the probability of a
Conservative landslide.
The
Conservative Party fought a good ground war, winning more
seats than the average national swing would suggest
And if it does not happen the tally of
seats the SNP might fail to win would be no more
than four, two of them picked up by Labour and one each by the
Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats.
If, for example the
Conservatives take 305
seats and the Lib Dems 25, there is more likely to be a continuation of the present coalition arrangement
than a grand alliance of say Labour on 265, ScotNats on 35 and Lib Dems on 25.
We have the Liberal Democrats in government with us and they have fewer women ministers and MPs
than we do, but I think 50 % would be difficult to get to by 2020 but if you look at the candidates we're selecting, including candidates in replacement
seats,
Conservative - held
seats, I think over 33 % are women candidates.
Provided the
Conservatives can indeed win the biggest share of
seats (and they'll probably lose a few — but only a few — to UKIP, so will get a bit less
than they might otherwise), then they'll get the first opportunity to put together a coalition, or at least a working minority government.
In general Labour traditionally does better
than average in urban areas, and the
Conservatives better in rural England, and at this particular point of the local election cycle, most council
seats up for re-election were urban.
He then proceeded according to that view and negotiated primarily with the
Conservatives, who had won 48 more
seats than the incumbent Labour Party.
The
Conservatives» remarkable success in converting coalition into majority government is down to two factors: this was the first governing party to increase its vote share after a full term in office for more
than a century and it succeeded in concentrating that vote increase in the
seats where it counted.
More
than that, R1 predicts at a national level that the CON - LAB lead will be unchanged but the regional redistribution of votes means that the
Conservatives will make a net gain of 8
seats.
Hoffman's weak haul is one factor piquing Republican interest in Matt Doheny, a businessman who's raised more
than $ 500,000 since announcing for the
seat — he lost the nomination to Scozzafava and bowed out while Hoffman stayed in the race as a
Conservative Party candidate.
Nevertheless, the YouGov figures would result in an overall majority for the
Conservatives and their capture of more
than 100 Labour
seats.
Table P0 shows that the
Conservatives will gain 54
seats and lose 9
seats to end up 375
seats, exactly 100
seats more
than all other parties combined.
This includes fixed terms for five years (when average time between elections has been four); the vote to dissolve parliament before calling a general election requiring 55 per cent support in the House of Commons (meaning the Liberal Democrats can not withdraw their support from the Tories and cause a general election as the Lib - Dems, Labour and other parties altogether hold less
than 55 per cent of the
seats); and stuffing the House of Lords with many more
Conservatives and Liberals to weaken opposition there.
But we forgot that the Tories remain the party with the largest number of votes and strongest parliamentary representation in the country, and that the SNP lost more
seats to the
Conservatives than to anyone.
After he was selected for Croydon Central, a less
than safe
Conservative seat, he deployed his personality, political beliefs as a Liberal
Conservative, his local connections and his campaigning skills.
Instead the
Conservative Party was returned with almost 100 more
seats than Labour and a narrow majority.
In 1984, the Progressive
Conservatives came to power by winning more
seats than any party had / has in any other election before or since.
Just 0.0016 % of voters choosing differently would have given the
Conservatives a majority, while the election saw a rise in very marginal
seats: eleven were won by fewer
than 100 votes.
Again, if the
Conservatives were only a little way short (and the recent surge to the Lib Dems may so decimate Labour that the Tories do better in target
seats than expected), they could try to mimic the final years of John Major's government, when the
Conservative PM was forced to rely on the votes of Ulster Unionists.
The
Conservatives in Wales have had their best General Election results for more
than 30 years after gaining three
seats.
In March 1974, Labour won four
seats more
than the
Conservatives, but could not reach a majority even if they did a deal with the Liberals.
The
Conservatives have gained more
seats from the Lib Dems
than they have lost to Labour.
Rather
than direct more resources to try to deal with the yellow peril, they are focusing even more on Labour, believing that the slump in support for Gordon Brown makes Labour
seats newly vulnerable to the
Conservatives.
By 2010, these
seats tended to have smaller electorates
than Conservative heartland
seats.
It's a possibility that Labour might win more
seats but less votes
than the
Conservatives, or vice versa.
Then,
Conservatives won 67 more
seats than Labour, but not a majority.