For instance, the private
sector yield curve for the corporate credit market is already at zero.
Indeed, some economists believe that if the private
sector yield curve inverts, scores of companies will be forced to service debt and / or let go of employees.
With corporate bond yields falling, the private
sector yield curve has inverted.
You can see that the private
sector yield curve was consistently negative throughout most of the second half of the 1990s.
1 am: The private
sector yield curve inverted = the bull market in stocks doesn't have many years left.
Not exact matches
Rotation towards assets,
sectors, markets that benefit from higher inflation and steeper
yield curve may take longer to play out but destination is clear.
Our alpha transmission process centers on making key decisions across all four of our alpha pods — duration,
sector allocation,
yield curve and currency.
These include financials, which should benefit from a steepening
yield curve, but also segments of the consumer space and «old economy» companies in
sectors such as industrials and energy.
Two
sector trends stand out globally: steeper
yield curves and improving net interest margins have boosted profits for global financials, while long - term demand trends lifted technology revenues.
Depending on where rates land, the intermediate
sector of the
yield curve could outperform, or it could get clobbered.
The GTFM is determined mainly by confidence indicators such as credit spreads, the
yield curve, the relative strength of the banking
sector and inflation expectations, although it also takes into account the US dollar's exchange rate and the general commodity - price trend.
The
yield curve has been impulsively flattening, which is indicative of a boom or risk «on» phase and an impairment of the fundamentals for gold and the gold stock
sector.
The managers consider security selection within
sectors, relative
sector performance,
yield curve shape, and interest rate moves.
The disappearance of low - risk
yield opportunities in fixed income markets has subsequently forced investors out the risk
curve and into traditionally defensive equity
sectors with reasonable payouts.
The temptation to «ride the
yield curve» must be great, and there is indeed evidence that banks have begun to load up on treasury debt (they must do something after all, and the private
sector is out at the moment).
We have: • normalized the domestic
yield curve • issued the country's maiden 15 - year bond in April 2017 • improved external balances, driven by higher export earnings and lower imports • improved gross international reserves to US$ 7.2 billion, equivalent to 4.1 months of imports cover • improved primarybalanceto0.3 percent surplus in September 2017 against a deficit of 1.6 percent in September 2016 • received positive sovereign rating reviews from international ratings Agencies: Fitch, B / stable; Standard & Poor, B - / positive • successfully completed the 4th IMF / ECF program review, and • achieved positive developments in the oil & gas
sector — favorable ITLOS ruling, and Sankofa producing 1st oil three months ahead of schedule.
In contrast, a steeper
yield curve is especially positive for financials, the greatest
sector overweight in value stocks, and thus would be an encouraging indicator for a value market.
As we recently noted, technology historically has been among the
sectors the most insulated from
yield curve shifts.
The Fund seeks value opportunities in the municipal market and tactically manages duration,
yield curve positioning, credit quality and
sector exposure.
Aladdin tools allow an in - depth look at a portfolio down to the security level, and at the same time, give an overview of risk factors such as
sector and subsector exposures,
yield curve, ratings, etc..
From a
sector perspective, energy, materials and financials make up more than a third of the MSCI Europe Index.2 Many of these companies tend do well when inflation is rising and bond
yields are rising because typically inflation nudges up commodity prices and financial companies tend to profit when the
yield curve steepens.
According to the researchers,
sector diversification and
yield curve positioning can help investors during rising - rate periods.
The investment team tactically manages duration,
yield curve positioning, credit quality and
sector exposure.
The banks can easily make money with a
yield curve that steep... not much money, but enough to keep them alive (the financial
sector would shrink under these rules).
These include financials, which should benefit from a steepening
yield curve, but also segments of the consumer space and «old economy» companies in
sectors such as industrials and energy.
Relative value strategy Team relies on credit analysis,
yield curve positioning, and
sector rotation to uncover the most compelling opportunities with a focus on higher
yielding segments of the market.
We also employ
sector, credit, and
yield curve analysis designed to benefit portfolios from rate shifts and spread changes without resorting to excessive swapping to capture tiny price fluctuations.