Not exact matches
It's why Wilson stressed that although we're seeing a cyclical top for US
stocks, we're still in the middle of a
secular bull market.
We note, with a more than a little bit of curiosity, that the last
secular bull market in U.S.
stocks began in 1982 — just when the first Boomers turned 35.
«I think the U.S.
stock market is transitioning from an interest rate
secular - driven
bull market to an earnings - driven
bull market.
And: ``... [the] entire not - widely - followed gold -
stock bull was based on the massive fundamental boost to gold - mining profits that gold's own
secular bull created.
«In the past, at the start of these big
secular bull markets, you have really cheap
stocks... I'm not sure we ever got to that point,» he says.
As everyone debates whether the US
stock market is in another
secular bull — near an all time high valuation level — there is one developing in Japan right before our eyes at more than reasonable valuations that almost no one believes is possible.
US
stocks are not now and were not at the beginning of this move cheap enough in my opinion to support a
secular bull market thesis.
3) The
stock market experiences extended periods of
secular bull markets and
secular bear markets based on the trend in P / E ratios, which is driven by the trend in inflation.
Given the extent and maturity of the recent advance, it's very odd that analysts are now beginning to toss around the idea that
stocks have entered a
secular bull market.
The market's valuation in 2000 was so extreme that the resulting
secular bear has the potential to be more extended than others, unless the market was suddenly to collapse to valuations near those where historical
secular bulls have started (where
stocks have typically been priced to achieve 10 - year prospective returns near 20 % annually).
My Latch and Hold investigations showed that it has been a good idea to maintain a high
stock allocation during the upward trend of a long lasting (
secular)
bull market.
I feel that
stocks are still one of the best investments available due real earnings and liquidity, but I need to adjust my strategy depending on the kind of market like cyclical
bull market, cyclical bear market,
secular bull market, and
secular bear market.
The regular
Stock - Return Predictor makes no assumptions as to whether we have reached the turning point, from a
secular Bull Market to a
secular Bear Market.
I do think the
stock market has experienced a
secular bull market breakout.
Exploring the possibility of the next U.S. recession, it's quite normal to experience two quarters of declining gross domestic product (GDP) growth in a
secular bull market for
stocks.
While this can be a good strategy in a sideways or bear market, this strategy does not work too well for the option writer in situations such as
secular bull markets involving rapidly rising
stock values, or catalysts such as analyst upgrades, surprising positive earnings or unanticipated positive business news etc..
The strategy works well in flat or declining markets, but in
secular bull markets where
stock prices rise rapidly, the products mentioned above can underperform.
The book covers the factors that move Gold, why Gold fell into a long bear market that would end soon, why Gold's
secular bull market would resume and why gold mining
stocks were / are the buy of a lifetime.
As I've mentioned, most
stocks are cheap at the start of a
secular bull market.
Also, historically,
stocks spent a good amount of time at below - average valuations before sideways market turned into a
secular bull market.
Chart 2 shows that the current ratio is well below the ratio achieved in the last two peaks (1999 and 2007), but well above the 1982
stock market low preceding the last
secular bull market.
I made two quick runs with
Bull Bear Retirement Trainer B. Using what I have learned about
stock allocations and valuations, I made it through 30 years OK withdrawing 5 % in today's (
secular) Bear Market.
You may know me from my book, The Coming Renewal of Gold's
Secular Bull Market: Dump U.S.
Stocks and Prepare for Gold's Final Run, which was first published in May 2015 and correctly anticipated the revival in Gold and gold mining s
Stocks and Prepare for Gold's Final Run, which was first published in May 2015 and correctly anticipated the revival in Gold and gold mining
stocksstocks.
Earnings Growth Forecasts May Require a Robust Economic Recovery
Secular Bear Markets and the Volatility of Inflation Trading Volume Separates
Bull Markets from Bear Rallies A
Stock Market Rebound Closely Linked with Economic Data Surprises Market Valuations During U.S. Recessions
Stock Market Valuations Following the Great Moderation Will Global Markets Take Their Lead from the U.S.?
A
secular bear or
bull market is a prolonged trend of falling or rising
stock prices, lasting about five to 20 years, though there's no strict definition.
In summary, history shows us that the
stock market moves in long
secular bull and bear market trends lasting 15 - 20 years on average.
Therefore, while the
stock brokers advice to hold for the long term was good advice for a
secular bull market, it is totally the wrong strategy for a new
secular bear market.