Not exact matches
What's still not known: Did
climate change alter the odds of
seeing three incredibly strong storms — Harvey, Irma, Maria — in a row this season?
In order to understand the potential importance of the effect, let's look at what it could do to our understanding of
climate: 1) It will have zero effect on the global
climate models, because a) the constraints on these models are derived from other sources b) the effect is known and there are methods for dealing the errors they introduce c) the effect they introduce is local, not global, so they can not be responsible for the signal / trend we
see, but would at most introduce noise into that signal 2) It will not
alter the conclusion that the
climate is
changing or even the degree to which it is
changing because of c) above and because that conclusion is supported by multiple additional lines of evidence, all of which are consistent with the trends shown in the land stations.
On
seeing my post, he offered a deeper look at the 19th - century illustration that I used, and his reflections on how
changes in
climate alter the course of human affairs.
For most recent sampling
see: New Peer - Reviewed Study finds «Solar
changes significantly
alter climate» (11-3-07)(LINK) & «New Peer - Reviewed Study Halves the Global Average Surface Temperature Trend 1980 — 2002» (LINK) & New Study finds Medieval Warm Period «0.3 C Warmer than 20th Century» (LINK) For a more comprehensive sampling of peer - reviewed studies earlier in 2007
see «New Peer - Reviewed Scientific Studies Chill Global Warming Fears» LINK]
(
See slide of Glaciation Periods in http://www.climateimc.org/?q=node/348)(*) There is nothing to cite that
climate change is being unnaturally
altered Coby.
WASHINGTON — A sobering new report warns that the oceans face a «fundamental and irreversible ecological transformation» not
seen in millions of years as greenhouse gases and
climate change already have affected temperature, acidity, sea and oxygen levels, the food chain and possibly major currents that could
alter global weather.
The goal is not to be correct overall but to
alter perceptions about the urgency of doing something about anthropogenic
climate change so as to reverse or forestall various policies
seen as harmful to certain economic interests.
R Gates «The goal is not to be correct overall but to
alter perceptions about the urgency of doing something about anthropogenic
climate change so as to reverse or forestall various policies
seen as harmful to certain economic interests.»
Since to me (and many scientists, although some wanted a lot more corroborative evidence, which they've also gotten) it makes absolutely no sense to presume that the earth would just go about its merry way and keep the
climate nice and relatively stable for us (though this rare actual
climate scientist pseudo skeptic seems to think it would, based upon some non scientific belief —
see second half of this piece), when the earth
changes climate easily as it is,
climate is ultimately an expression of energy, it is stabilized (right now) by the oceans and ice sheets, and increasing the number of long term thermal radiation / heat energy absorbing and re radiating molecules to levels not
seen on earth in several million years would add an enormous influx of energy to the lower atmosphere earth system, which would mildly warm the air and increasingly transfer energy to the earth over time, which in turn would start to
alter those stabilizing systems (and which, with increasing ocean energy retention and accelerating polar ice sheet melting at both ends of the globe, is exactly what we've been
seeing) and start to reinforce the same process until a new stases would be reached well after the atmospheric levels of ghg has stabilized.
And you could promote
climate change by
altering the weather where and when you
see fit.
The most natural way to determine whether global warming is
altering tornado patterns is to look for
changes in tornado statistics and then
see whether
climate models can explain those
changes.
For example, a relatively slow shift in the distribution of precipitation could give rise to relatively rapid
changes in precipitation patterns in regions that lie at the interface of dry and rainy regions (
see Figure 2.8), potentially
altering a location's local
climate with possible ramifications to water supplies and / or agriculture for example.
Although natural events like the solar cycle
alter climate, these occurrences alone can not account for the rate of
change that scientists
see today.
In 2017, we got an up - close look at the raw ferocity of such an
altered world as high - category hurricanes battered the East and Gulf coasts, and wind - whipped fires scorched the West (
see «Did
Climate Change Fuel California's Devastating Fires?