All in all, I think the risks are finely balanced, and certainly do not imply we're definitely
seeing peak earnings now — you should certainly factor in your own growth outlook into this valuation.
Not exact matches
While this week was certainly the
peak of the US and the European
earnings season, traders will
see some other interesting reports coming out in the coming days.
Earnings remain robust but some fear peak With 53 % of the constituents of the S&P 500 Index having reported, blended earnings are seen up 23.2 % versus the same quarter a y
Earnings remain robust but some fear
peak With 53 % of the constituents of the S&P 500 Index having reported, blended
earnings are seen up 23.2 % versus the same quarter a y
earnings are
seen up 23.2 % versus the same quarter a year ago.
The first is the very optimistic assumption that in the decade following each starting point, the price /
peak earnings multiple will move to a level of 20 (the same level
seen in 1929 and other major extremes).
On the subject of valuations, I believe that the
peak level of
earnings seen in the past market cycle was somewhat high, so I'd agree with Bill Gross at PIMCO in the sense that we're not likely to
see that level of
earnings as the «norm.»
Likewise, Aqua America (WTR)
saw its return on invested capital
peak at 4.74 % in the most recent trailing twelve month period, and trades at 18.3 times forward
earnings estimates.
Based on Saga's operating & share price history, I'm confident we'll
see another / higher cyclical
peak in sales &
earnings in due course, and a share price trajectory to match...
The «E»
peaked in February last year (
see Standard & Poor's current S&P 500
Earnings, go to «Download Index Data,» and select «Index
Earnings»).
And the fact Saga now trades on 3.2 times
peak earnings is a great reminder of the potential upside if we
see sales regain / surpass their previous FY - 2013
peak in due course.
Ultimately, I still believe Saga Furs is a cyclical growth company — in due course, I'd hope to
see auction sales double again (and
earnings triple) to reach / surpass the prior
peak we
saw in FY - 2013 (& in FY - 2006 before that).