The first is to lock in retirement income prior to retirement in order to avoid the possibility that a poor
sequence of asset returns will jeopardize retirement income sustainability.
Based on 50,000 ages of death for the second member of the couple, as well as 50,000
sequences of asset returns through each age of death, we were able to investigate the present value for the cost of retirement based on different asset allocation and product allocation strategies.
Not exact matches
All that matters is the average cumulative compound
return of your
asset no matter what's the
sequence of the
returns.
They use both in -
sequence historical
asset returns and Monte Carlo simulations (random draws with replacement from the historical annual
returns of each portfolio).
So it's a complex mix
of tax management,
asset allocation for growth, risk management (including
sequence of returns), and some relevant psychological considerations.
This addresses the so - called «
sequence of returns» risk with using invested
assets to generate retirement income.
Using block bootstrapping selects a random
sequence of annual
returns and better captures the serial correlation and mean reversion
of assets.
It can be used to coordinate with the investment portfolio, that if markets are down, rather than selling your
assets at a loss and triggering that
sequence of returns risk, you could instead spend money from the reverse mortgage line
of credit.
Asset allocation affects a number
of retirement plan factors including your portfolio's exposure to a market crash, your long term expected portfolio
return and volatility, and your sustainable withdrawal rate (and
sequence of return risk).
This
sequence of return risk means that a bear market near retirement increases the risk
of outliving
assets far more than a bear market later in retirement.